Sun, Feb 11, 2018·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Colorado Avalanche 5, Buffalo Sabres 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 55% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 0:43Goal by Kerfoot (Wilson, Zadorov)+15 pts WP
On ice: BUF Okposo, Larsson, Beaulieu, Girgensons, Ristolainen · COL Wilson, Barrie, Landeskog, Kerfoot, Lindholm
- P1 1:34Shot by Wilson, saved by Bernier
- P1 2:00Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Bernier
- P1 4:54Shot by Nieto, saved by Lehner
- P1 6:02Shot by Kane, saved by Bernier
- P1 6:10Shot by Jost, saved by Lehner
- P1 6:45Nolan: High sticking (2 min)
On ice: BUF Pouliot, Josefson, Nolan, Beaulieu, Ristolainen · COL Yakupov, Toninato, Zadorov, Greer, Girard
- P1 7:00Shot by Rantanen, saved by Lehner4v5
- P1 7:06Shot by Jost, saved by Lehner4v5
- P1 7:56Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Bernier4v5
- P1 7:57Goal by Pouliot (O'Reilly)4v5+17 pts WP
On ice: BUF Pouliot, Falk, O'Reilly, Nelson · COL Soderberg, Wilson, Yakupov, Kerfoot, Girard
- P1 8:57Greer: Too many men on the ice (2 min)
On ice: BUF Scandella, Kane, Nolan, Larsson, Ristolainen · COL Johnson, Landeskog, Compher, Zadorov, Jost
- P1 9:19Goal by Nieto, unassisted5v4+17 pts WP
On ice: BUF Okposo, O'Reilly, Kane, Ristolainen, Reinhart · COL Soderberg, Johnson, Nemeth, Nieto
- P1 10:22Shot by Lindholm, saved by Lehner5v4
- P1 11:39Shot by Antipin, saved by Bernier
- P1 13:52Shot by Greer, saved by Lehner
- P1 14:49Shot by Girgensons, saved by Bernier
- P1 15:52Scandella: Slashing (2 min)
On ice: BUF Okposo, Scandella, Larsson, Girgensons, Nelson · COL Soderberg, Barrie, Bourque, Nieto, Lindholm
- P1 16:14Shot by Barrie, saved by Lehner4v5
- P1 17:02Shot by Girard, saved by Lehner4v5
- P1 17:42Wilson: High sticking (2 min)4v6
On ice: BUF Falk, Wilson, Ristolainen, Rodrigues · COL Soderberg, Barrie, Landeskog, Compher, Rantanen, Jost
- P1 17:42Jost: Delaying game bench face off violation (2 min)other
On ice: BUF Falk, Wilson, Ristolainen, Rodrigues · COL Soderberg, Barrie, Landeskog, Compher, Rantanen, Jost
- P1 17:57Shot by Barrie, saved by Lehner4v4
- P1 18:20Shot by Compher, saved by Lehner4v4
- P1 19:46Shot by Rantanen, saved by Lehner
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 1:07Goal by Wilson (Landeskog)+17 pts WP
On ice: BUF Pouliot, Okposo, Larsson, Beaulieu, Ristolainen · COL Wilson, Nemeth, Landeskog, Kerfoot, Lindholm
- P2 3:02Shot by Beaulieu, saved by Bernier
- P2 3:07Shot by Wilson, saved by Bernier
- P2 3:20Zadorov: Holding (2 min)
On ice: BUF Pominville, Falk, O'Reilly, Kane, Beaulieu · COL Barrie, Yakupov, Toninato, Zadorov, Jost
- P2 4:13Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Bernier5v4
- P2 6:33Shot by Rantanen, saved by Lehner5v6
- P2 6:34Josefson: Holding (2 min)5v6
On ice: BUF Pouliot, Falk, Josefson, Nolan, Beaulieu · COL Johnson, Barrie, Landeskog, Compher, Rantanen, Jost
- P2 6:40Shot by Yakupov, saved by Lehner4v5
- P2 8:40Barrie: Slashing (2 min)
On ice: BUF Okposo, Scandella, Josefson, Ristolainen, Rodrigues · COL Barrie, Landeskog, Compher, Rantanen, Jost
- P2 8:53Shot by Okposo, saved by Bernier5v4
- P2 9:38Shot by Nieto, saved by Lehner5v4
- P2 11:45Nolan: Holding (2 min)
On ice: BUF Falk, Josefson, Nolan, Wilson, Nelson · COL Wilson, Landeskog, Kerfoot, Zadorov, Girard
- P2 12:43Shot by Rantanen, saved by Lehner4v5
- P2 13:13Shot by Nelson, saved by Bernier4v5
- P2 13:15Goal by Nelson (O'Reilly, Falk)4v5+18 pts WP
On ice: BUF Pouliot, Falk, O'Reilly, Nelson · COL Soderberg, Johnson, Wilson, Yakupov, Kerfoot
- P2 13:44Shot by Soderberg, saved by Lehner4v5
- P2 13:49Shot by Barrie, saved by Lehner
- P2 14:24Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Bernier
- P2 14:29Shot by Falk, saved by Bernier
- P2 15:52Shot by Compher, saved by Lehner
- P2 15:57Shot by Barrie, saved by Lehner
- P2 16:20Shot by Antipin, saved by Bernier
- P2 16:28Shot by Josefson, saved by Bernier
- P2 16:33Shot by Nolan, saved by Bernier
- P2 19:56Shot by Reinhart, saved by Bernier
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 0:08Shot by Kane, saved by Bernier
- P3 1:04Shot by Wilson, saved by Bernier
- P3 1:10Shot by Falk, saved by Bernier
- P3 2:34Larsson: Boarding (2 min)5v6
On ice: BUF Pouliot, Okposo, Scandella, Larsson, Beaulieu · COL Soderberg, Bourque, Nemeth, Nieto, Rantanen, Girard
- P3 3:05Goal by Jost (Barrie, Rantanen)4v5+16 pts WP
On ice: BUF Pouliot, Scandella, O'Reilly, Ristolainen · COL Barrie, Landeskog, Compher, Rantanen, Jost
- P3 4:01Shot by Nelson, saved by Bernier
- P3 4:58Shot by Kane, saved by Bernier
- P3 5:56Shot by Toninato, saved by Lehner
- P3 7:01Shot by Lindholm, saved by Lehner
- P3 7:03Goal by Bourque (Lindholm)+5 pts WP
On ice: BUF Pouliot, Okposo, Scandella, Larsson, Ristolainen · COL Barrie, Bourque, Nieto, Kerfoot, Lindholm
- P3 7:32Shot by Nieto, saved by Lehner
- P3 8:49Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Bernier
- P3 10:42Greer: Interference (2 min)6v5
On ice: BUF Pominville, Okposo, O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Rodrigues, Antipin · COL Wilson, Nemeth, Landeskog, Kerfoot, Lindholm
- P3 10:46Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Bernier5v4
- P3 12:06Soderberg: Hooking (2 min)6v4
On ice: BUF Pominville, Pouliot, O'Reilly, Kane, Nelson, Antipin · COL Soderberg, Johnson, Nemeth, Nieto
- P3 12:14Goal by O'Reilly (Okposo, Ristolainen)5v3+3 pts WP
On ice: BUF Okposo, O'Reilly, Kane, Ristolainen, Reinhart · COL Bourque, Nemeth, Compher
- P3 13:03Shot by Okposo, saved by Bernier5v4
- P3 15:34Shot by Beaulieu, saved by Bernier
- P3 15:37Shot by Beaulieu, saved by Bernier
- P3 17:08Goal by Kane, unassisted6v5+9 pts WP
On ice: BUF Okposo, Scandella, O'Reilly, Kane, Ristolainen, Reinhart · COL Barrie, Compher, Rantanen, Jost, Girard
- P3 18:12Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Bernier6v5
- P3 19:00Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Bernier6v5
- P3 0:00Period end6v5
- P3 0:00Final6v5