Sun, Feb 11, 2018·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Colorado Avalanche 5, Buffalo Sabres 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 55% of the time.
44%
11%
37%
BUF winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26:31 | 0.03 | 24.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:08 | 0.14 | 26.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 20:48 | 0.00 | 55.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 19:22 | 0.30 | 26.5% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 19:00 | 0.29 | 40.5% | +15.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 18:43 | 0.28 | 16.3% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:23 | 0.11 | 56.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 17:50 | 0.19 | 30.7% | +16.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:34 | 0.00 | 41.0% | +14.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 16:05 | 0.49 | 54.0% | +17.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:18 | 0.24 | 61.9% | +5.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 14:51 | 0.03 | 52.6% | +5.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:45 | 0.13 | 49.0% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:54 | 0.09 | 46.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13:16 | 0.04 | 29.8% | +31.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:06 | 0.02 | 30.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 7:11 | 0.05 | 11.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:04 | 0.04 | 35.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 32 | 28 | 4 | .875 | 2.67 | −1.3 | 59:39 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 5 | 26:48 | 0.47 | 71.9% | +37.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25:10 | 0.04 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 1 | 23:48 | 0.05 | 36.3% | +3.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21:44 | 0.13 | 73.1% | +8.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:37 | 0.05 | 86.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:22 | 0.34 | 71.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 19:17 | 0.31 | 65.8% | +17.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 2 | 16:34 | 0.06 | 20.2% | +3.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:01 | 0.28 | 58.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 15:30 | 0.05 | 78.5% | +17.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:02 | 0.08 | 74.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 13:32 | 0.07 | 51.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:39 | 0.21 | 10.4% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:27 | 0.26 | 80.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 11:27 | 0.00 | 4.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:16 | 0.03 | 46.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:07 | 0.03 | 88.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:39 | 0.20 | 82.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 27 | 22 | 5 | .815 | 2.46 | −2.5 | 56:29 |