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Ice Lab

Mon, Feb 12, 2018·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 4

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

3

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 51% of the time.

TOR winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:44Shot by Gourde, saved by Andersen
  3. P1 4:18Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Andersen
  4. P1 5:30Shot by Dermott, saved by Vasilevskiy
  5. P1 5:52Shot by Kadri, saved by Vasilevskiy
  6. P1 9:10Shot by Bozak, saved by Vasilevskiy
  7. P1 9:26Shot by Komarov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  8. P1 10:21Shot by Marner, saved by Vasilevskiy
  9. P1 10:39Shot by Marner, saved by Vasilevskiy
  10. P1 10:48Shot by Marner, saved by Vasilevskiy
  11. P1 11:53Shot by Johnson, saved by Andersen
  12. P1 11:55Goal by Nylander (Matthews, Gardiner)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews, Zaitsev · TBL Girardi, Stamkos, Johnson, Gourde, Sergachev

  13. P1 12:45Shot by Paquette, saved by Andersen
  14. P1 13:20Kucherov: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Kadri, Rielly, Marner · TBL Girardi, Killorn, Hedman, Kucherov, Point

  15. P1 14:09Shot by Johnson, saved by Andersen5v4
  16. P1 14:35Shot by Marleau, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  17. P1 15:01Shot by Hedman, saved by Andersen5v4
  18. P1 16:02Zaitsev: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Moore, Komarov, Kapanen, Zaitsev · TBL Coburn, Killorn, Kucherov, Sustr, Point

  19. P1 17:15Shot by Hedman, saved by Andersen4v5
  20. P1 17:22Shot by Hedman, saved by Andersen4v5
  21. P1 18:02Shot by Point, saved by Andersen4v5
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:20Shot by Point, saved by Andersen
  25. P2 0:43Shot by Erne, saved by Andersen
  26. P2 1:24Shot by Hainsey, saved by Vasilevskiy
  27. P2 2:00Shot by Johnson, saved by Andersen
  28. P2 2:38Shot by Killorn, saved by Andersen
  29. P2 3:08Goal by Nylander (Matthews, Marner)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Polak, Nylander, Dermott, Marner, Matthews · TBL Coburn, Killorn, Kucherov, Sustr, Point

  30. P2 4:31Shot by Girardi, saved by Andersen
  31. P2 4:37Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Andersen
  32. P2 7:02Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy
  33. P2 7:57Shot by Hyman, saved by Vasilevskiy
  34. P2 8:22Shot by Johnson, saved by Andersen
  35. P2 11:36Goal by Gardiner (Nylander, Matthews)+6 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews, Zaitsev · TBL Stamkos, Johnson, Hedman, Gourde, Sustr

  36. P2 13:07Shot by Kapanen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  37. P2 13:22Bozak: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Brown, Zaitsev · TBL Kunitz, Coburn, Girardi, Stamkos, Conacher

  38. P2 14:37Shot by Kucherov, saved by Andersen4v5
  39. P2 15:08Shot by Sergachev, saved by Andersen4v5
  40. P2 15:20Shot by Sergachev, saved by Andersen4v5
  41. P2 15:43Shot by Stralman, saved by Andersen
  42. P2 15:58Shot by Point, saved by Andersen
  43. P2 15:59Goal by Killorn (Point, Kucherov)+5 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Kadri, Rielly, Marner · TBL Stralman, Killorn, Hedman, Kucherov, Point

  44. P2 18:33Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Vasilevskiy
  45. P2 19:34Shot by Kucherov, saved by Andersen
  46. P2 19:47Shot by Marner, saved by Vasilevskiy
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 0:09Shot by Marleau, saved by Vasilevskiy
  50. P3 0:58Goal by Kucherov (Killorn)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Kadri, Rielly, Marner · TBL Stralman, Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov

  51. P3 1:18Goal by Gourde (Coburn, Stamkos)+25 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews, Zaitsev · TBL Coburn, Girardi, Stamkos, Gourde, Erne

  52. P3 2:37Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy
  53. P3 3:05Shot by Marner, saved by Vasilevskiy
  54. P3 4:07Shot by Erne, saved by Andersen
  55. P3 4:36Shot by Bozak, saved by Vasilevskiy
  56. P3 4:37Goal by van Riemsdyk (Bozak)+27 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Polak, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Brown, Dermott · TBL Coburn, Callahan, Johnson, Namestnikov, Sustr

  57. P3 7:30Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Vasilevskiy
  58. P3 9:12Shot by Erne, saved by Andersen
  59. P3 10:55Shot by Point, saved by Andersen
  60. P3 11:02Shot by Sustr, saved by Andersen
  61. P3 15:36Shot by Callahan, saved by Andersen
  62. P3 19:00Shot by Stamkos, saved by Andersen5v6
  63. P3 19:19Shot by Kucherov, saved by Andersen5v6
  64. P3 19:49Shot by Johnson, saved by Andersen5v6
  65. P3 19:55Shot by Johnson, saved by Andersen5v6
  66. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  67. P3 0:00Final5v6