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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 17, 2018·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

New York Rangers 3, Ottawa Senators 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 58% of the time.

OTT winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:03Goal by Stone (Brassard, Smith)+20 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Brassard, Smith, Borowiecki, Stone, Ceci · NYR Desharnais, Holden, Fast, Vesey, DeAngelo

  3. P1 1:24Shot by Stone, saved by Lundqvist
  4. P1 2:49Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Anderson
  5. P1 3:01Shot by Paajarvi, saved by Lundqvist
  6. P1 4:08Shot by Chabot, saved by Lundqvist
  7. P1 4:11Shot by Stone, saved by Lundqvist
  8. P1 7:10Shot by Fast, saved by Anderson
  9. P1 7:22Shot by Pionk, saved by Anderson
  10. P1 8:24Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Anderson
  11. P1 9:42Shot by Pionk, saved by Anderson
  12. P1 12:07Goal by Oduya (Karlsson, Duchene)+12 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Gaborik, Oduya, Karlsson, Hoffman, Duchene · NYR Desharnais, Fast, Sproul, Vesey, Gilmour

  13. P1 12:14Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Anderson
  14. P1 13:09Shot by Brassard, saved by Lundqvist
  15. P1 14:45Shot by Karlsson, saved by Lundqvist
  16. P1 15:23Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Anderson
  17. P1 15:58Shot by Sproul, saved by Anderson
  18. P1 16:01Goal by Grabner (Sproul, Buchnevich)+12 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Brassard, Smith, Stone, Ceci, Harpur · NYR Grabner, Sproul, Miller, Gilmour, Buchnevich

  19. P1 16:31Shot by Shore, saved by Lundqvist
  20. P1 16:36Shot by Dumont, saved by Lundqvist
  21. P1 17:35Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Anderson
  22. P1 19:16Shot by Pyatt, saved by Lundqvist
  23. P1 19:17Shot by Brassard, saved by Lundqvist
  24. P1 19:57Shot by Pionk, saved by Anderson
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:43Shot by Miller, saved by Anderson
  28. P2 0:46Shot by Gilmour, saved by Anderson
  29. P2 0:59Shot by Sproul, saved by Anderson
  30. P2 2:28Shot by Pageau, saved by Lundqvist
  31. P2 4:15Zuccarello: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Gaborik, Oduya, Karlsson, Hoffman, Duchene · NYR Nash, Zuccarello, Sproul, Miller, Gilmour

  32. P2 7:02Shot by Pyatt, saved by Lundqvist
  33. P2 7:22Shot by Shore, saved by Lundqvist
  34. P2 8:53Shot by Holden, saved by Anderson
  35. P2 9:08Shot by Nash, saved by Anderson
  36. P2 10:01Shot by Holland, saved by Anderson
  37. P2 11:53Shot by Gaborik, saved by Lundqvist
  38. P2 11:59Goal by Duchene (Ceci, Chabot)+13 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Gaborik, Hoffman, Duchene, Ceci, Chabot · NYR Desharnais, Fast, Skjei, Vesey, Pionk

  39. P2 12:48Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Anderson
  40. P2 12:51Shot by Sproul, saved by Anderson
  41. P2 13:25Oduya: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Oduya, Pyatt, Karlsson, Paajarvi, Pageau · NYR Nash, Holden, Zuccarello, Zibanejad, DeAngelo

  42. P2 14:01Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Anderson4v5
  43. P2 14:31Goal by Zibanejad (Zuccarello, Miller)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Pyatt, Karlsson, Pageau, Harpur · NYR Zuccarello, Zibanejad, Miller, Skjei, Buchnevich

  44. P2 14:41Shot by Smith, saved by Lundqvist
  45. P2 16:26Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Anderson
  46. P2 18:21Shot by Brassard, saved by Lundqvist
  47. P2 18:53Goal by Brassard (Borowiecki, Smith)+13 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Brassard, Smith, Borowiecki, Stone, Ceci · NYR Grabner, Miller, Skjei, Buchnevich, Pionk

  48. P2 19:40Shot by Gilmour, saved by Anderson
  49. P2 19:58Shot by Fast, saved by Anderson
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 0:09Holden: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Brassard, Smith, Borowiecki, Stone, Ceci · NYR Holden, Zuccarello, Hayes, Vesey, DeAngelo

  53. P3 1:30Shot by Smith, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  54. P3 1:31Shot by Smith, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  55. P3 2:41Shot by Duchene, saved by Lundqvist
  56. P3 2:52Shot by Nash, saved by Anderson
  57. P3 2:59Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Anderson
  58. P3 3:08Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Anderson
  59. P3 4:44Shot by Chabot, saved by Lundqvist
  60. P3 5:06Shot by McCormick, saved by Lundqvist
  61. P3 6:36Shot by Karlsson, saved by Lundqvist
  62. P3 7:27Goal by Chabot (Brassard, Stone)+4 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Brassard, Smith, Stone, Ceci, Chabot · NYR Grabner, Holden, Fast, Miller, DeAngelo

  63. P3 7:50Shot by Hayes, saved by Anderson
  64. P3 8:08Shot by Skjei, saved by Anderson
  65. P3 10:05Shot by Grabner, saved by Anderson
  66. P3 10:38Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Anderson
  67. P3 10:55Oduya: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Oduya, Brassard, Smith, Karlsson, Stone · NYR Grabner, Holden, Fast, Miller, DeAngelo

  68. P3 11:35Shot by Skjei, saved by Anderson4v5
  69. P3 12:25Shot by Gilmour, saved by Anderson4v5
  70. P3 13:46Shot by Duchene, saved by Halverson
  71. P3 14:04Shot by Karlsson, saved by Halverson
  72. P3 14:38Shot by Stone, saved by Halverson
  73. P3 15:11Goal by Grabner (Hayes)+1 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Gaborik, Hoffman, Duchene, Ceci, Chabot · NYR Grabner, Holden, Zuccarello, Hayes, DeAngelo

  74. P3 15:35Shot by Holden, saved by Anderson
  75. P3 16:38Shot by Nash, saved by Anderson
  76. P3 17:13Shot by Ceci, saved by Halverson
  77. P3 17:15Goal by Paajarvi (Ceci, Pageau)+1 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Pyatt, Paajarvi, Pageau, Ceci, Harpur · NYR Fast, Miller, Vesey, Gilmour, Pionk

  78. P3 17:41Shot by Stone, saved by Halverson
  79. P3 19:00Shot by Holland, saved by Anderson
  80. P3 19:17Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Anderson
  81. P3 0:00Period end
  82. P3 0:00Final