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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 17, 2018·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

New York Rangers 3, Ottawa Senators 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 58% of the time.

OTT winsNYR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NYR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Nash–Zuccarello–ZibanejadCarey–Holland–HayesGrabner–Miller–BuchnevichDesharnais–Fast–VeseyNash–Zibanejad–BuchnevichDesharnais–Carey–HollandGrabner–Hayes–FastFast–Miller–VeseyCarey–Hayes–ZibanejadGrabner–Fast–MillerHolden–DeAngeloSkjei–PionkSproul–GilmourDeAngelo–PionkHolden–GilmourHolden–Skjei
Gaborik–Hoffman–Duchene2:300.06–0.141:020.00–0.000:590.00–0.013:310.25–0.071:120.26–0.070:420.00–0.053:120.00–0.165:480.52–0.242:470.04–0.10
Brassard–Smith–Stone1:390.03–0.004:590.43–0.660:430.00–0.071:160.01–0.010:430.03–0.004:540.33–0.022:350.26–0.081:280.00–0.64
Pyatt–Paajarvi–Pageau4:510.02–0.040:540.00–0.000:420.00–0.000:300.50–0.000:520.02–0.002:280.00–0.032:300.02–0.023:230.01–0.040:570.02–0.00
Dumont–McCormick–Shore3:550.24–0.091:040.00–0.001:290.04–0.045:230.24–0.091:360.05–0.00
Pyatt–Duchene–Paajarvi0:350.03–0.040:480.03–0.25
Brassard–Hoffman–Stone0:310.00–0.001:070.00–0.00
Oduya–Karlsson5:120.06–0.181:060.08–0.001:540.00–0.360:480.04–0.020:430.00–0.070:440.00–0.010:420.00–0.050:480.08–0.003:290.08–0.034:310.06–0.214:370.13–0.46
Ceci–Chabot2:090.02–0.000:580.05–0.011:410.24–0.020:300.00–0.011:010.00–0.010:400.03–0.013:560.04–0.082:590.36–0.040:370.00–0.000:510.05–0.00
Borowiecki–Ceci1:260.02–0.020:300.00–0.002:070.29–0.020:370.00–0.002:430.27–0.032:030.18–0.041:400.00–0.00
Karlsson–Borowiecki1:100.00–0.021:300.11–0.000:540.03–0.092:110.15–0.250:570.00–0.071:270.00–0.02
Borowiecki–Harpur2:010.05–0.090:350.09–0.002:080.02–0.081:050.09–0.021:160.16–0.00
Karlsson–Chabot0:300.01–0.000:400.00–0.001:200.00–0.020:560.01–0.072:170.26–0.00
Oduya–Ceci0:410.30–0.000:450.00–0.010:520.02–0.001:070.00–0.050:310.30–0.000:570.02–0.00
Ceci–Harpur0:430.01–0.000:430.01–0.000:370.00–0.36
Oduya–Harpur1:040.00–0.000:550.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndPyatt FPageau FPaajarvi FStone FSmith FBrassard FDuchene FGaborik FHoffman FShore FDumont FMcCormick FOduya DKarlsson DBorowiecki DCeci DHarpur DChabot DAnderson GZuccarello FNash FZibanejad FFast FVesey FDesharnais FMiller FGrabner FBuchnevich FHolland FHayes FCarey FPionk DSkjei DHolden DDeAngelo DSproul DGilmour DLundqvist GHalverson G
OTTNYRFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Erik KarlssonOTT3128:030:542:5454
Cody CeciOTT3023:530:482:3416
Nick HoldenNYR3023:000:461:1931
Tony DeAngeloNYR2921:310:452:3431
Brady SkjeiNYR2721:220:471:2226
Neal PionkNYR2520:170:492:2215
Mark BorowieckiOTT2519:240:471:2917
Mika ZibanejadNYR2218:250:501:4441
Johnny OduyaOTT2618:220:421:2612
Derick BrassardOTT2318:180:481:4731
Rick NashNYR2318:010:471:2951
Mike HoffmanOTT2117:360:502:2642
Matt DucheneOTT2217:270:481:5052
Kevin HayesNYR2116:530:482:3443
Marian GaborikOTT2116:450:481:2042
Mark StoneOTT2316:400:431:2531
Zack SmithOTT2416:360:421:1613
John GilmourNYR2416:300:411:2070
Mats ZuccarelloNYR2416:200:411:1851
Thomas ChabotOTT2016:100:491:4921
Magnus PaajarviOTT2115:370:451:3114
Paul CareyNYR1715:370:552:3411
Michael GrabnerNYR2315:270:401:0933
Ryan SproulNYR2215:000:411:1060
Pavel BuchnevichNYR2014:420:441:2230
Tom PyattOTT2114:380:421:2214
Peter HollandNYR1714:340:511:1911
J.T. MillerNYR2414:290:361:1440
Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT2114:200:411:1615
David DesharnaisNYR1611:410:441:0821
Ben HarpurOTT1711:340:411:1112
Jesper FastNYR1911:100:351:3741
Jimmy VeseyNYR1911:030:351:2231
Nicholas ShoreOTT1310:570:511:2112
Gabriel DumontOTT1210:570:551:2512
Max McCormickOTT129:370:481:2112