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Ice Lab

Sun, Feb 18, 2018·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Detroit Red Wings 2

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Final

Home

Detroit Red Wings

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 51% of the time.

DET winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:13Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Mrazek
  3. P1 0:27Shot by Larkin, saved by McElhinney
  4. P1 1:15Shot by Helm, saved by McElhinney
  5. P1 1:54Shot by Marner, saved by Mrazek
  6. P1 2:07Shot by Carrick, saved by Mrazek
  7. P1 4:03Shot by Nylander, saved by Mrazek
  8. P1 6:10Shot by Komarov, saved by Mrazek
  9. P1 6:21Shot by Larkin, saved by McElhinney
  10. P1 7:07Shot by Nielsen, saved by McElhinney
  11. P1 7:45Shot by Nyquist, saved by McElhinney
  12. P1 8:02Shot by Mantha, saved by McElhinney
  13. P1 9:06Shot by Tatar, saved by McElhinney
  14. P1 11:29Shot by Matthews, saved by Mrazek
  15. P1 12:39Shot by Rielly, saved by Mrazek
  16. P1 12:43Shot by Hainsey, saved by Mrazek
  17. P1 13:12Shot by Gardiner, saved by Mrazek
  18. P1 13:18Shot by Kapanen, saved by Mrazek
  19. P1 14:52Shot by Nylander, saved by Mrazek
  20. P1 14:56Shot by Hyman, saved by Mrazek
  21. P1 16:35Shot by Glendening, saved by McElhinney
  22. P1 17:11Shot by Ericsson, saved by McElhinney
  23. P1 17:21Shot by Abdelkader, saved by McElhinney
  24. P1 17:28Shot by Ericsson, saved by McElhinney
  25. P1 19:09Shot by Mantha, saved by McElhinney
  26. P1 19:33Shot by Marleau, saved by Mrazek
  27. P1 19:45Shot by Hyman, saved by Mrazek
  28. P1 19:53Shot by Hyman, saved by Mrazek
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 1:12Shot by Nielsen, saved by McElhinney
  32. P2 1:54Shot by Rielly, saved by Mrazek
  33. P2 2:46Shot by Ouellet, saved by McElhinney
  34. P2 3:04Shot by Marner, saved by Mrazek
  35. P2 4:05Zaitsev: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DET Ericsson, Nyquist, Witkowski, Glendening, Bertuzzi, Larkin · TOR Moore, Komarov, Gardiner, Kapanen, Zaitsev

  36. P2 4:19Shot by Daley, saved by McElhinney5v4
  37. P2 4:35Shot by Hyman, saved by Mrazek5v4
  38. P2 5:06Shot by Larkin, saved by McElhinney5v4
  39. P2 5:51Goal by Mantha (Nyquist, Tatar)5v4+20 pts WP

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Nyquist, Tatar, Mantha · TOR Hainsey, Komarov, Hyman, Dermott

  40. P2 7:02Goal by van Riemsdyk (Gardiner, Bozak)+22 pts WP

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Ericsson, Helm, Jensen, Larkin · TOR van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Brown, Zaitsev

  41. P2 7:20Goal by Marner (Kadri)+22 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Tatar, Ouellet, Athanasiou, Larkin · TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Kadri, Rielly, Marner

  42. P2 7:46Shot by Hyman, saved by Mrazek
  43. P2 10:20Shot by Nylander, saved by Mrazek
  44. P2 10:39Ouellet: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Nyquist, Ouellet, Mantha · TOR van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Brown, Zaitsev

  45. P2 11:10Shot by Marleau, saved by Mrazek4v5
  46. P2 11:30Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Mrazek4v5
  47. P2 11:54Shot by Rielly, saved by Mrazek4v5
  48. P2 13:28Shot by Zetterberg, saved by McElhinney
  49. P2 15:30Shot by Rielly, saved by Mrazek
  50. P2 16:00Larkin: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Daley, Tatar, Athanasiou, Larkin · TOR Gardiner, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews, Zaitsev

  51. P2 18:19Shot by Tatar, saved by McElhinney
  52. P2 19:24Shot by Nyquist, saved by McElhinney
  53. P2 19:52Shot by Marner, saved by Mrazek
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 2:54Shot by Komarov, saved by Mrazek
  57. P3 3:21Shot by Abdelkader, saved by McElhinney
  58. P3 6:05Shot by Matthews, saved by Mrazek
  59. P3 6:39Shot by Mantha, saved by McElhinney
  60. P3 6:51Shot by Zetterberg, saved by McElhinney
  61. P3 7:04Shot by DeKeyser, saved by McElhinney
  62. P3 8:41Shot by Hyman, saved by Mrazek
  63. P3 8:55Shot by Carrick, saved by Mrazek
  64. P3 9:17Goal by Zetterberg (Nyquist, Helm)+34 pts WP

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Nyquist, Jensen, DeKeyser, Mantha · TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Carrick, Nylander, Dermott

  65. P3 10:02Shot by Larkin, saved by McElhinney
  66. P3 9:23Shot by Tatar, saved by McElhinney
  67. P3 12:30Shot by Nyquist, saved by McElhinney
  68. P3 13:43Shot by Kapanen, saved by Mrazek
  69. P3 15:22Shot by Nielsen, saved by McElhinney
  70. P3 19:09Shot by Marleau, saved by Mrazek
  71. P3 19:29Goal by Matthews (Nylander, Hyman)+53 pts WP

    On ice: DET Tatar, Jensen, Athanasiou, DeKeyser, Larkin · TOR Hainsey, Hyman, Rielly, Nylander, Matthews

  72. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  73. P3 0:00Final6v5