Sun, Feb 18, 2018·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Detroit Red Wings 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 51% of the time.
38%
11%
8%
43%
DET winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Nikita ZaitsevD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:50 | 0.03 | 48.8% | 0.0 |
 Ron HainseyD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 21:43 | 0.06 | 48.6% | 0.0 |
 Jake GardinerD · #51 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 21:19 | 0.02 | 59.2% | +22.1 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 4 | 21:07 | 0.13 | 52.3% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #29 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:12 | 0.28 | 64.9% | +52.7 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:08 | 0.30 | 65.2% | +52.7 |
 Tyler BozakC · #42 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:39 | 0.00 | 27.9% | +22.1 |
 Nazem KadriC · #43 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:49 | 0.00 | 49.9% | +22.1 |
 Connor BrownRW · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:36 | 0.04 | 46.9% | 0.0 |
 James van RiemsdykLW · #25 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:21 | 0.22 | 29.8% | +22.1 |
 Patrick MarleauC · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 16:14 | 0.26 | 49.9% | 0.0 |
 Zach HymanLW · #11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 15:57 | 0.45 | 69.8% | +52.7 |
 Connor CarrickD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:12 | 0.05 | 59.9% | 0.0 |
 Travis DermottD · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:12 | 0.00 | 58.6% | 0.0 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 15:03 | 0.35 | 56.9% | +22.1 |
 Leo KomarovRW · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:12 | 0.18 | 46.4% | 0.0 |
 Kasperi KapanenRW · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:53 | 0.18 | 54.6% | 0.0 |
 Dominic MooreC · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:47 | 0.04 | 54.6% | 0.0 |
 Curtis McElhinney#35 | W | 29 | 27 | 2 | .931 | 2.46 | +0.5 | 60:00 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Trevor DaleyD · #83 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:46 | 0.03 | 33.0% | 0.0 |
 Dylan LarkinC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 4 | 21:13 | 0.46 | 43.5% | 0.0 |
 Jonathan EricssonD · #52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:01 | 0.06 | 43.6% | 0.0 |
 Danny DeKeyserD · #65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:27 | 0.02 | 54.1% | 0.0 |
 Nick JensenD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:21 | 0.02 | 56.6% | 0.0 |
 Henrik ZetterbergC · #40 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:11 | 0.24 | 65.3% | +33.9 |
 Justin AbdelkaderLW · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:02 | 0.44 | 32.1% | 0.0 |
 Gustav NyquistRW · #14 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 18:11 | 0.23 | 65.3% | +54.3 |
 Andreas AthanasiouC · #72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:26 | 0.00 | 53.6% | 0.0 |
 Niklas KronwallD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:59 | 0.13 | 48.2% | 0.0 |
 Anthony ManthaRW · #39 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 16:28 | 0.46 | 68.5% | +20.4 |
 Tomas TatarLW · #21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 16:20 | 0.15 | 43.7% | +20.4 |
 Frans NielsenC · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:53 | 0.08 | 24.8% | 0.0 |
 Darren HelmC · #43 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 14:43 | 0.06 | 31.4% | +33.9 |
 Xavier OuelletD · #61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:46 | 0.02 | 14.8% | 0.0 |
 Luke GlendeningC · #41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:54 | 0.07 | 10.4% | 0.0 |
 Tyler BertuzziLW · #59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:44 | 0.00 | 33.2% | 0.0 |
 Luke WitkowskiD · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:08 | 0.00 | 82.4% | 0.0 |
 Petr Mrazek#34 | L | 34 | 31 | 3 | .912 | 2.59 | −0.4 | 59:32 |