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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 22, 2018·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Buffalo Sabres 3, Detroit Red Wings 2 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 59% of the time.

DET winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:56Shot by Ouellet, saved by Lehner
  3. P1 2:21Shot by Kronwall, saved by Lehner
  4. P1 2:38Shot by Jensen, saved by Lehner
  5. P1 2:50Shot by Nelson, saved by Howard
  6. P1 3:30Shot by Larsson, saved by Howard
  7. P1 3:39Goal by Ristolainen (Beaulieu, Larsson)+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET Daley, Ericsson, Booth, Glendening, Bertuzzi · BUF Pominville, Larsson, Wilson, Beaulieu, Ristolainen

  8. P1 4:11Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Howard
  9. P1 4:40Shot by Jensen, saved by Lehner
  10. P1 4:47Shot by Ericsson, saved by Lehner
  11. P1 5:07Shot by Gorges, saved by Howard
  12. P1 5:09Shot by Reinhart, saved by Howard
  13. P1 5:10Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Howard
  14. P1 5:34Shot by Beaulieu, saved by Howard
  15. P1 8:05Glendening: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Booth, Jensen, Glendening, DeKeyser, Bertuzzi · BUF Pominville, Larsson, Wilson, Beaulieu, Ristolainen

  16. P1 8:26Shot by Reinhart, saved by Howard4v5
  17. P1 8:27Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Howard4v5
  18. P1 8:45Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Howard4v5
  19. P1 10:13Shot by Pouliot, saved by Howard
  20. P1 13:48Shot by Nielsen, saved by Lehner
  21. P1 14:11Shot by Girgensons, saved by Howard
  22. P1 15:32Shot by Jensen, saved by Lehner
  23. P1 16:35Shot by Ericsson, saved by Lehner
  24. P1 16:58Shot by Beaulieu, saved by Howard
  25. P1 18:53Shot by Helm, saved by Lehner
  26. P1 19:00Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Lehner
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:10Shot by Helm, saved by Lehner
  30. P2 0:39Shot by Ericsson, saved by Lehner6v5
  31. P2 0:40Nelson: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Daley, Nielsen, Ericsson, Abdelkader, Helm · BUF Scandella, O'Reilly, Kane, Reinhart, Nelson

  32. P2 1:01Shot by Nyquist, saved by Lehner5v4
  33. P2 1:51Shot by Tatar, saved by Lehner5v4
  34. P2 2:48Shot by Nelson, saved by Howard
  35. P2 3:42Goal by Ericsson, unassisted+21 pts WP

    On ice: DET Daley, Nielsen, Ericsson, Helm, Glendening · BUF Pominville, Gorges, Wilson, Rodrigues, Antipin

  36. P2 4:07Shot by Ericsson, saved by Lehner
  37. P2 6:41Shot by Larsson, saved by Howard
  38. P2 8:01Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Lehner
  39. P2 8:09Shot by Ouellet, saved by Lehner
  40. P2 9:33Shot by Jensen, saved by Lehner
  41. P2 10:13Shot by Nyquist, saved by Lehner
  42. P2 10:30Shot by Kane, saved by Howard
  43. P2 11:26Shot by Wilson, saved by Howard
  44. P2 11:27Shot by Pominville, saved by Howard
  45. P2 11:32Kronwall: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Nielsen, Abdelkader, Helm, Ouellet · BUF Pominville, Scandella, Wilson, Rodrigues, Nelson

  46. P2 13:09Goal by Kane (Pominville, Ristolainen)4v5+25 pts WP

    On ice: DET Daley, Ericsson, Abdelkader, Glendening · BUF Pominville, Pouliot, Scandella, Kane, Antipin

  47. P2 13:35Shot by Nyquist, saved by Lehner
  48. P2 14:15Shot by Beaulieu, saved by Howard
  49. P2 15:36Shot by Pominville, saved by Howard
  50. P2 15:59Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Lehner
  51. P2 16:27Shot by Kronwall, saved by Lehner
  52. P2 17:06Baptiste: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Daley, Ericsson, Bertuzzi, Mantha · BUF Pouliot, Josefson, Beaulieu, Baptiste, Ristolainen

  53. P2 17:14Shot by Daley, saved by Lehner5v4
  54. P2 17:36Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Lehner5v4
  55. P2 19:09Shot by Girgensons, saved by Howard
  56. P2 19:14Shot by Reinhart, saved by Howard
  57. P2 19:55Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Lehner
  58. P2 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 2:29Larkin: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DET Daley, Ericsson, Helm, Athanasiou, Larkin · BUF Okposo, Scandella, O'Reilly, Girgensons, Rodrigues, Nelson

  61. P3 4:04Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Howard4v5
  62. P3 4:15Shot by Reinhart, saved by Howard4v5
  63. P3 9:43Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Lehner
  64. P3 14:14Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Lehner
  65. P3 17:04Larsson: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Tatar, Jensen, DeKeyser, Bertuzzi, Larkin · BUF Pominville, Scandella, Larsson, Wilson, Nelson

  66. P3 18:00Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Lehner6v4
  67. P3 18:31Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Lehner6v4
  68. P3 18:35Goal by Abdelkader (Nielsen, Zetterberg)6v4+49 pts WP

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Nielsen, Abdelkader, Bertuzzi, Larkin · BUF Scandella, O'Reilly, Girgensons, Ristolainen

  69. P3 18:34Shot by Nielsen, saved by Lehner6v4
  70. P3 19:14Shot by Nielsen, saved by Lehner
  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. P3 19:59Shot by Mantha, saved by Lehner
  73. OT 0:00Period start
  74. OT 0:56Shot by Tatar, saved by Lehner3v3
  75. OT 2:57Shot by Kane, saved by Howard3v3
  76. OT 3:16Shot by Helm, saved by Lehner3v3
  77. OT 3:23Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Howard3v3
  78. OT 3:33Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Howard3v3
  79. OT 3:43Shot by Nyquist, saved by Lehner3v3
  80. OT 4:59Goal by Scandella (Larsson, Reinhart)3v3+57 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Tatar, Larkin · BUF Scandella, Larsson, Reinhart

  81. OT 5:00Period end3v3
  82. OT 5:00Final3v3