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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 22, 2018·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Buffalo Sabres 3, Detroit Red Wings 2 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 59% of the time.

DET winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

O'Reilly–Kane–ReinhartPominville–Larsson–WilsonPouliot–Josefson–BaptisteOkposo–Girgensons–RodriguesScandella–NelsonBeaulieu–RistolainenGorges–AntipinScandella–Ristolainen
Zetterberg–Nyquist–Mantha4:550.23–0.031:540.15–0.001:110.00–0.031:190.00–0.001:190.01–0.006:540.16–0.051:410.03–0.000:310.14–0.00
Nielsen–Abdelkader–Helm3:400.08–0.621:110.01–0.001:340.01–0.001:100.04–0.005:550.06–0.451:180.04–0.001:330.02–0.61
Tatar–Athanasiou–Larkin2:060.00–0.030:380.01–0.002:580.06–0.003:180.04–0.031:570.02–0.002:110.11–0.00
Nielsen–Helm–Glendening1:250.03–0.000:450.00–0.001:250.02–0.000:450.01–0.000:450.03–0.00
Tatar–Bertuzzi–Larkin0:410.00–0.020:480.06–0.000:500.00–0.120:370.06–0.00
Booth–Glendening–Bertuzzi0:520.00–0.030:330.00–0.000:570.00–0.04
Glendening–Athanasiou–Bertuzzi1:020.00–0.000:540.00–0.00
Athanasiou–Bertuzzi–Larkin0:340.00–0.000:390.00–0.010:450.00–0.000:390.00–0.01
Zetterberg–Nyquist–Glendening0:300.00–0.000:390.00–0.00
Jensen–DeKeyser5:490.20–0.224:020.14–0.030:500.00–0.002:480.08–0.006:150.06–0.165:230.13–0.103:400.03–0.000:480.14–0.00
Daley–Ericsson6:020.10–0.641:000.00–0.021:120.01–0.002:320.00–0.014:250.01–0.025:130.08–0.061:100.05–0.61
Kronwall–Ouellet0:420.00–0.014:170.17–0.033:250.08–0.030:440.01–0.004:460.11–0.443:370.07–0.063:330.18–0.00
Kronwall–DeKeyser0:510.00–0.000:360.00–0.00
Kronwall–Daley0:370.00–0.000:370.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndAbdelkader FHelm FNielsen FNyquist FZetterberg FMantha FLarkin FAthanasiou FTatar FBertuzzi FBooth FGlendening FEricsson DDaley DJensen DDeKeyser DKronwall DOuellet DHoward GKane FReinhart FO'Reilly FLarsson FPominville FWilson FOkposo FGirgensons FRodrigues FPouliot FJosefson FBaptiste FScandella DNelson DRistolainen DBeaulieu DGorges DAntipin DLehner G
DETBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Marco ScandellaBUF2828:271:012:4925
Rasmus RistolainenBUF2728:001:021:4137
Danny DeKeyserDET3324:190:441:3635
Ryan O'ReillyBUF2922:210:461:36510
Trevor DaleyDET3222:010:411:4045
Henrik ZetterbergDET2521:500:521:2981
Nick JensenDET2921:320:451:3124
Sam ReinhartBUF2320:550:551:3644
Niklas KronwallDET2820:370:441:2972
Gustav NyquistDET2320:170:531:2981
Evander KaneBUF2320:060:521:3144
Dylan LarkinDET2420:030:501:4942
Casey NelsonBUF2519:440:471:3214
Frans NielsenDET2418:570:471:2744
Johan LarssonBUF2518:210:441:3345
Anthony ManthaDET2218:200:501:2891
Darren HelmDET2518:140:441:2044
Tomas TatarDET2218:030:491:5731
Nathan BeaulieuBUF1917:220:551:3333
Jonathan EricssonDET2617:100:401:4045
Andreas AthanasiouDET1916:120:512:0052
Justin AbdelkaderDET2215:540:431:0973
Victor AntipinBUF2215:420:431:4212
Scott WilsonBUF1915:390:491:1931
Evan RodriguesBUF1715:270:551:3222
Jason PominvilleBUF1915:250:491:2060
Benoit PouliotBUF2013:500:421:3213
Kyle OkposoBUF1613:360:511:3642
Xavier OuelletDET2013:230:401:1941
Josh GorgesBUF2013:010:391:1004
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF1812:320:421:0716
Tyler BertuzziDET1511:350:461:2452
Jacob JosefsonBUF1611:090:421:3202
Luke GlendeningDET179:570:351:2016
Nick BaptisteBUF158:150:330:5402
David BoothDET42:010:301:1201