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Ice Lab

Fri, Mar 2, 2018·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise

Ottawa Senators 5, Vegas Golden Knights 4

Away

Ottawa Senators

5

Final

Home

Vegas Golden Knights

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 70% of the time.

VGK winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:58Goal by Smith (Marchessault, Karlsson)+20 pts WP

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Smith, Karlsson, Marchessault, Theodore · OTT Pyatt, Hoffman, Duchene, Ceci, Harpur

  3. P1 2:03Shot by Burrows, saved by Fleury
  4. P1 2:19Goal by Stone (Ryan)+20 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Engelland, Eakin, Merrill, Carpenter, Tuch · OTT Ryan, Stone, Pageau, Ceci, Chabot

  5. P1 4:00Shot by Pyatt, saved by Fleury
  6. P1 5:24Merrill: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Engelland, Eakin, Merrill, Carpenter, Tuch · OTT Ryan, Karlsson, Stone, Pageau, Chabot

  7. P1 6:57Shot by Burrows, saved by Fleury4v5
  8. P1 7:40Haula: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Engelland, Perron, Tatar, Haula, Theodore · OTT Borowiecki, Hoffman, Duchene, Stone, Ceci

  9. P1 0:22Shot by Ryan, saved by Fleury
  10. P1 13:15Shot by O'Brien, saved by Fleury
  11. P1 14:49Shot by Chabot, saved by Fleury
  12. P1 16:27Claesson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Engelland, Reaves, Perron, Haula, Merrill · OTT Burrows, O'Brien, Karlsson, McCormick, Claesson

  13. P1 16:33Shot by Marchessault, saved by Anderson5v4
  14. P1 18:22Goal by Miller (Hunt, Haula)5v4+20 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Perron, Tatar, Haula, Miller, Hunt · OTT Stone, McCormick, Ceci, Harpur

  15. P1 18:38Shot by Hoffman, saved by Fleury
  16. P1 0:00Period end
  17. P2 0:00Period start
  18. P2 0:37Shot by Pageau, saved by Fleury
  19. P2 1:15Shot by Karlsson, saved by Anderson
  20. P2 3:24Shot by Reaves, saved by Anderson
  21. P2 3:57Goal by Ryan (Stone, Karlsson)+22 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Engelland, Perron, Tatar, Haula, Miller · OTT Ryan, Karlsson, Stone, Claesson, Pageau

  22. P2 4:46Shot by Duchene, saved by Fleury
  23. P2 4:50Shot by Borowiecki, saved by Fleury
  24. P2 5:19Shot by Stone, saved by Fleury
  25. P2 6:15Shot by McNabb, saved by Anderson
  26. P2 7:23Shot by Duchene, saved by Fleury
  27. P2 7:46Shot by Dzingel, saved by Fleury
  28. P2 8:28Shot by Marchessault, saved by Anderson
  29. P2 9:06Shot by Duchene, saved by Fleury
  30. P2 9:10Shot by Ceci, saved by Fleury
  31. P2 9:28Nosek: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Engelland, Reaves, Hyka, Theodore, Nosek · OTT Burrows, O'Brien, Borowiecki, McCormick, Harpur

  32. P2 10:45Goal by Duchene (Chabot, Hoffman)4v5+23 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Engelland, Perron, McNabb, Eakin · OTT Smith, Hoffman, Duchene, Stone, Chabot

  33. P2 10:59Shot by Perron, saved by Anderson
  34. P2 11:05Shot by Hunt, saved by Anderson
  35. P2 11:32Shot by Merrill, saved by Anderson
  36. P2 11:36Shot by Tatar, saved by Anderson
  37. P2 11:51Shot by Stone, saved by Fleury
  38. P2 11:59Shot by Ceci, saved by Fleury
  39. P2 12:33Shot by Karlsson, saved by Anderson
  40. P2 12:43Shot by Theodore, saved by Anderson
  41. P2 13:15Shot by O'Brien, saved by Fleury
  42. P2 13:17Shot by Borowiecki, saved by Fleury
  43. P2 13:18Shot by McCormick, saved by Fleury
  44. P2 14:04Shot by Ceci, saved by Fleury
  45. P2 14:41Goal by Pageau (Karlsson, Ryan)+17 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Engelland, Perron, Tatar, Haula, Theodore · OTT Ryan, Karlsson, Stone, Claesson, Pageau

  46. P2 15:15Shot by Smith, saved by Anderson
  47. P2 15:28Shot by Eakin, saved by Anderson
  48. P2 16:39Shot by Theodore, saved by Anderson
  49. P2 17:13Shot by Marchessault, saved by Anderson
  50. P2 18:06Shot by Marchessault, saved by Anderson
  51. P2 18:31Shot by Haula, saved by Anderson
  52. P2 18:31Duchene: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Engelland, Perron, Tatar, Haula, Theodore · OTT Pyatt, Borowiecki, Hoffman, Duchene, Ceci

  53. P2 19:08Shot by Haula, saved by Anderson5v4
  54. P2 19:44Shot by Marchessault, saved by Anderson5v4
  55. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 1:14Shot by Pageau, saved by Fleury
  58. P3 2:13Shot by Duchene, saved by Fleury
  59. P3 3:35Goal by Karlsson (Marchessault, Smith)+17 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Smith, Merrill, Karlsson, Miller, Marchessault · OTT Burrows, O'Brien, McCormick, Claesson, Ceci

  60. P3 3:56Shot by Stone, saved by Fleury
  61. P3 4:01Shot by Karlsson, saved by Fleury
  62. P3 4:40Shot by Perron, saved by Anderson
  63. P3 4:42Shot by Haula, saved by Anderson
  64. P3 5:54Shot by Hoffman, saved by Fleury
  65. P3 6:05Shot by Hoffman, saved by Fleury
  66. P3 6:08Eakin: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Engelland, Perron, Eakin, Theodore, Nosek · OTT Pyatt, Karlsson, Hoffman, Duchene, Claesson

  67. P3 6:12Shot by Hoffman, saved by Fleury4v5
  68. P3 7:55Goal by Carpenter (Miller, Nosek)4v5+33 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Miller, Theodore, Carpenter, Nosek · OTT Burrows, Ryan, Smith, Dzingel, Chabot

  69. P3 8:19Shot by Ceci, saved by Fleury
  70. P3 8:51Goal by Burrows (Karlsson, McCormick)+34 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Perron, Tatar, Haula, Miller, Hunt · OTT Burrows, O'Brien, Karlsson, Borowiecki, McCormick

  71. P3 10:22Shot by Miller, saved by Anderson
  72. P3 10:59Shot by Karlsson, saved by Fleury
  73. P3 11:47Nosek: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Eakin, Hunt, Theodore, Nosek, Tuch · OTT Pyatt, Hoffman, Duchene, Ceci, Chabot

  74. P3 11:58Shot by Hoffman, saved by Fleury4v5
  75. P3 14:21Shot by Smith, saved by Fleury
  76. P3 14:31Shot by Harpur, saved by Fleury
  77. P3 15:04Shot by Merrill, saved by Anderson
  78. P3 18:41Shot by Tatar, saved by Anderson6v5
  79. P3 19:43Shot by Haula, saved by Anderson6v5
  80. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  81. P3 0:00Final6v5