Fri, Mar 2, 2018·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise
Ottawa Senators 5, Vegas Golden Knights 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 70% of the time.
21%
9%
63%
VGK winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
VGK forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Ryan–Stone–Pageau | Smith–Paajarvi–Dzingel | Pyatt–Hoffman–Duchene | Burrows–O'Brien–McCormick | Hoffman–Duchene–Dzingel | Karlsson–Claesson | Ceci–Chabot | Borowiecki–Harpur | Ceci–Harpur | Borowiecki–Chabot | Borowiecki–Ceci | Karlsson–Borowiecki | Harpur–Chabot | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smith–Karlsson–Marchessault | 3:070.10–0.04 | 1:440.00–0.07 | 2:520.36–0.06 | 0:480.05–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 4:280.01–0.03 | 2:000.13–0.17 | 1:170.00–0.17 | 1:340.23–0.01 | 1:220.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | ||
| Perron–Tatar–Haula | 5:290.22–0.60 | 1:570.06–0.03 | 1:040.09–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.16 | 5:340.11–0.51 | 1:090.07–0.02 | 1:160.00–0.06 | 0:330.18–0.00 | 0:380.03–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.20 | |||
| Eakin–Carpenter–Tuch | 1:160.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.12 | 1:000.00–0.10 | 1:520.05–0.10 | 0:340.00–0.24 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Reaves–Hyka–Nosek | 2:000.08–0.01 | 1:050.00–0.01 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:290.09–0.00 | |||||||||
| Reaves–Hyka–Carpenter | 1:310.00–0.00 | 0:530.01–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 1:030.03–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Eakin–Nosek–Tuch | 1:540.14–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:450.01–0.69 | 0:410.01–0.00 | 1:570.14–0.69 | 0:430.00–0.10 | |||||||
| Perron–Smith–Haula | 0:360.00–0.09 | 0:410.00–0.09 | |||||||||||
| Engelland–Merrill | 3:220.12–0.24 | 0:460.00–0.03 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 3:060.03–0.11 | 0:590.00–0.12 | 0:420.00–0.01 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.05 | ||||
| McNabb–Theodore | 0:370.00–0.16 | 1:330.00–0.00 | 1:170.23–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.01 | 1:040.00–0.02 | 3:010.05–0.03 | 1:250.00–0.11 | 1:030.24–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | ||||
| Engelland–Theodore | 2:040.00–0.06 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 1:390.09–0.15 | 1:490.09–0.00 | 2:370.00–0.07 | 1:350.08–0.14 | 1:080.00–0.00 | 0:390.08–0.00 | 0:550.03–0.00 | ||||
| Miller–Hunt | 1:350.00–0.07 | 1:250.00–0.26 | 1:310.00–0.24 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:320.03–0.00 | |||||||
| McNabb–Miller | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:020.13–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:490.00–0.00 | 0:500.14–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.01 | |||||||
| Merrill–Hunt | 1:270.13–0.00 | 1:200.13–0.16 | 0:340.00–0.09 | 0:380.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Miller–Theodore | 1:040.00–0.00 | 0:450.01–0.69 | 0:450.01–0.69 | 0:460.00–0.10 | |||||||||
| Merrill–Miller | 1:380.07–0.03 | 0:340.01–0.00 | 1:420.07–0.12 | 0:340.01–0.00 | |||||||||
| Engelland–McNabb | 0:440.00–0.20 | 0:570.01–0.06 | 0:340.00–0.20 | 0:580.01–0.06 | |||||||||
| McNabb–Hunt | 1:270.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Engelland–Hunt | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
VGKOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Erik KarlssonOTT | 31 | 25:31 | 0:49 | 1:37 | 7 | 6 |
 Shea TheodoreVGK | 32 | 25:16 | 0:47 | 1:51 | 7 | 1 |
 Deryk EngellandVGK | 24 | 23:17 | 0:58 | 2:29 | 3 | 2 |
 Cody CeciOTT | 37 | 22:12 | 0:36 | 2:28 | 3 | 5 |
 Colin MillerVGK | 27 | 21:43 | 0:48 | 1:38 | 6 | 2 |
 William KarlssonVGK | 25 | 21:37 | 0:52 | 1:31 | 2 | 7 |
 Mark StoneOTT | 27 | 21:06 | 0:47 | 1:36 | 4 | 4 |
 Brayden McNabbVGK | 26 | 20:55 | 0:48 | 1:25 | 2 | 8 |
 Reilly SmithVGK | 24 | 20:53 | 0:52 | 1:31 | 2 | 5 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT | 27 | 19:49 | 0:44 | 1:36 | 4 | 3 |
 David PerronVGK | 22 | 18:35 | 0:51 | 1:51 | 2 | 1 |
 Zack SmithOTT | 24 | 18:19 | 0:46 | 1:33 | 3 | 6 |
 Jonathan MarchessaultVGK | 20 | 18:06 | 0:54 | 1:49 | 1 | 3 |
 Matt DucheneOTT | 25 | 18:03 | 0:43 | 1:44 | 4 | 4 |
 Mike HoffmanOTT | 21 | 17:35 | 0:50 | 1:44 | 3 | 2 |
 Ryan DzingelOTT | 22 | 17:30 | 0:48 | 1:33 | 3 | 3 |
 Fredrik ClaessonOTT | 26 | 16:59 | 0:39 | 1:23 | 4 | 5 |
 Thomas ChabotOTT | 26 | 16:22 | 0:38 | 1:33 | 4 | 1 |
 Erik HaulaVGK | 22 | 16:19 | 0:45 | 1:27 | 3 | 1 |
 Bobby RyanOTT | 24 | 16:05 | 0:40 | 1:33 | 0 | 3 |
 Ben HarpurOTT | 23 | 15:44 | 0:41 | 1:08 | 4 | 7 |
 Tomas TatarVGK | 19 | 15:25 | 0:49 | 1:25 | 2 | 1 |
 Mark BorowieckiOTT | 23 | 15:01 | 0:39 | 1:08 | 4 | 4 |
 Magnus PaajarviOTT | 20 | 14:26 | 0:43 | 1:01 | 3 | 3 |
 Jon MerrillVGK | 18 | 13:39 | 0:46 | 1:28 | 3 | 0 |
 Brad HuntVGK | 17 | 13:13 | 0:47 | 1:43 | 2 | 3 |
 Ryan CarpenterVGK | 18 | 12:23 | 0:41 | 1:25 | 2 | 2 |
 Cody EakinVGK | 19 | 12:22 | 0:39 | 1:05 | 3 | 3 |
 Tom PyattOTT | 22 | 11:53 | 0:32 | 0:51 | 2 | 3 |
 Tomas NosekVGK | 18 | 11:38 | 0:39 | 1:14 | 3 | 4 |
 Alexandre BurrowsOTT | 16 | 11:33 | 0:43 | 1:13 | 2 | 1 |
 Alex TuchVGK | 16 | 10:59 | 0:41 | 1:05 | 5 | 1 |
 Max McCormickOTT | 15 | 9:04 | 0:36 | 1:01 | 2 | 2 |
 Jim O'BrienOTT | 13 | 8:53 | 0:41 | 1:33 | 2 | 1 |
 Ryan ReavesVGK | 11 | 8:18 | 0:45 | 1:18 | 1 | 2 |
 Tomas HykaVGK | 10 | 7:54 | 0:47 | 1:30 | 1 | 2 |