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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 8, 2018·Amalie Arena, Tampa

New York Rangers 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 66% of the time.

TBL winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:31Goal by Paquette (Kunitz, Callahan)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kunitz, Callahan, Hedman, Paquette, Dotchin · NYR McLeod, Desharnais, Carey, Skjei, Gilmour

  3. P1 2:43Shot by Girardi, saved by Lundqvist
  4. P1 3:14Shot by Hedman, saved by Lundqvist
  5. P1 2:29Shot by Kunitz, saved by Lundqvist
  6. P1 3:14Kreider: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Johnson, Hedman, Kucherov, Dotchin · NYR Staal, Kreider, Zuccarello, Namestnikov, Pionk

  7. P1 3:51Shot by Sergachev, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  8. P1 4:10Shot by Gourde, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  9. P1 4:13Shot by Point, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  10. P1 5:09Shot by Killorn, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  11. P1 7:10Shot by Girardi, saved by Lundqvist
  12. P1 7:30Shot by Sergachev, saved by Lundqvist
  13. P1 7:50Goal by Erne (Cirelli)+12 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Killorn, Erne, Cirelli, Sergachev · NYR Spooner, Hayes, Fast, Skjei, Gilmour

  14. P1 8:16Shot by Miller, saved by Lundqvist
  15. P1 8:21Shot by Hedman, saved by Lundqvist
  16. P1 9:04Shot by Johnson, saved by Lundqvist
  17. P1 9:37Shot by Koekkoek, saved by Lundqvist
  18. P1 9:46Shot by Cirelli, saved by Lundqvist
  19. P1 10:20Shot by Killorn, saved by Lundqvist
  20. P1 10:52Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  21. P1 11:16Shot by Johnson, saved by Lundqvist
  22. P1 11:20Namestnikov: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Girardi, Stamkos, Johnson, Kucherov, Koekkoek · NYR Zuccarello, O'Gara, Namestnikov, Vesey, DeAngelo

  23. P1 13:52Shot by Erne, saved by Lundqvist
  24. P1 14:25Shot by Hedman, saved by Lundqvist
  25. P1 15:36Shot by Hayes, saved by Vasilevskiy
  26. P1 16:18Shot by Gilmour, saved by Vasilevskiy
  27. P1 16:24Shot by Skjei, saved by Vasilevskiy
  28. P1 16:34Shot by Johnson, saved by Lundqvist
  29. P1 16:55Shot by Vesey, saved by Vasilevskiy
  30. P1 17:28Sergachev: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Killorn, Erne, Cirelli, Sergachev · NYR Staal, Spooner, Hayes, Fast, Pionk

  31. P1 0:00Period end
  32. P2 0:00Period start
  33. P2 1:53Goal by Cirelli (Sergachev, Killorn)+6 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Girardi, Killorn, Erne, Cirelli, Sergachev · NYR Spooner, Hayes, Fast, O'Gara, DeAngelo

  34. P2 2:42Shot by Callahan, saved by Lundqvist
  35. P2 3:05Gilmour: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Miller, Gourde, Dotchin, Point · NYR Zuccarello, Spooner, Zibanejad, Skjei, Gilmour

  36. P2 4:11Shot by Kucherov, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  37. P2 4:50Shot by Point, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  38. P2 6:22Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Vasilevskiy
  39. P2 6:37Shot by Pionk, saved by Vasilevskiy
  40. P2 7:07Shot by Hayes, saved by Vasilevskiy
  41. P2 7:10Goal by Spooner (Hayes, Fast)+6 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Girardi, Stamkos, Johnson, Kucherov, Sergachev · NYR Spooner, Hayes, Fast, Gilmour, Pionk

  42. P2 7:24Shot by Paquette, saved by Lundqvist
  43. P2 7:31Shot by Dotchin, saved by Lundqvist
  44. P2 7:36Callahan: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Kunitz, Callahan, Hedman, Paquette, Dotchin · NYR McLeod, Desharnais, Carey, Skjei, Gilmour

  45. P2 8:27Zuccarello: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Kunitz, Girardi, Killorn, Hedman · NYR Zuccarello, Zibanejad, Vesey, Buchnevich, DeAngelo

  46. P2 8:46Shot by Point, saved by Lundqvist4v4
  47. P2 9:36Shot by Pionk, saved by Vasilevskiy4v4
  48. P2 10:22Shot by Stamkos, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  49. P2 10:38Shot by Skjei, saved by Vasilevskiy
  50. P2 10:45Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Vasilevskiy
  51. P2 12:09Shot by Erne, saved by Lundqvist
  52. P2 12:35Goal by Kunitz (Cirelli)+6 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kunitz, Hedman, Dotchin, Erne, Cirelli · NYR Desharnais, Vesey, Gilmour, Buchnevich, Pionk

  53. P2 12:57Shot by Cirelli, saved by Georgiev
  54. P2 13:13Shot by Pionk, saved by Vasilevskiy
  55. P2 13:56Shot by McLeod, saved by Vasilevskiy
  56. P2 15:04Stamkos: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Girardi, Stamkos, Johnson, Kucherov, Sergachev · NYR Staal, Desharnais, Zuccarello, Vesey, Pionk

  57. P2 15:39Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  58. P2 15:52Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  59. P2 16:43Shot by Spooner, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  60. P2 17:09Shot by Gilmour, saved by Vasilevskiy
  61. P2 17:21Shot by Fast, saved by Vasilevskiy
  62. P2 17:28Shot by Sergachev, saved by Georgiev
  63. P2 17:30Goal by Johnson (Kucherov, Sergachev)+2 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Girardi, Stamkos, Johnson, Kucherov, Sergachev · NYR McLeod, Staal, Carey, Fast, Pionk

  64. P2 17:53Shot by Point, saved by Georgiev
  65. P2 18:16Shot by Pionk, saved by Vasilevskiy
  66. P2 18:25Shot by Kucherov, saved by Georgiev
  67. P2 0:00Period end
  68. P3 0:00Period start
  69. P3 0:30Shot by Sergachev, saved by Georgiev
  70. P3 1:16Shot by Killorn, saved by Georgiev
  71. P3 2:21Shot by Hedman, saved by Georgiev
  72. P3 2:44Shot by Point, saved by Georgiev
  73. P3 2:54Shot by Desharnais, saved by Vasilevskiy
  74. P3 3:27Goal by Zuccarello (Spooner)+1 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Stamkos, Johnson, Kucherov, Sergachev · NYR Zuccarello, Spooner, O'Gara, Vesey, DeAngelo

  75. P3 3:32Shot by Koekkoek, saved by Georgiev
  76. P3 3:55Shot by Hedman, saved by Georgiev
  77. P3 4:55Shot by Gilmour, saved by Vasilevskiy
  78. P3 5:02Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Vasilevskiy
  79. P3 5:23Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Vasilevskiy
  80. P3 5:48Shot by Desharnais, saved by Vasilevskiy
  81. P3 8:09Shot by Skjei, saved by Vasilevskiy
  82. P3 12:09Shot by Staal, saved by Vasilevskiy
  83. P3 12:14Shot by Vesey, saved by Vasilevskiy
  84. P3 12:44Shot by Hedman, saved by Georgiev
  85. P3 15:41Shot by Gourde, saved by Georgiev
  86. P3 17:01Shot by Kucherov, saved by Georgiev
  87. P3 17:41Goal by Hayes (O'Gara, Spooner)0 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kunitz, Callahan, Stralman, Koekkoek, Paquette · NYR Spooner, Hayes, Fast, O'Gara, DeAngelo

  88. P3 0:00Period end
  89. P3 0:00Final