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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 10, 2018·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Pittsburgh Penguins 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 53% of the time.

TOR winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:30Shot by Malkin, saved by Andersen
  3. P1 1:22Shot by Guentzel, saved by Andersen
  4. P1 2:29Shot by Kuhnhackl, saved by Andersen
  5. P1 2:34Shot by Kuhnhackl, saved by Andersen
  6. P1 3:38Shot by Hagelin, saved by Andersen
  7. P1 3:41Shot by Hagelin, saved by Andersen
  8. P1 3:59Komarov: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Komarov, Gardiner, Kadri · PIT Crosby, Maatta, Ruhwedel, Guentzel, Sheary

  9. P1 4:33Shot by Crosby, saved by Andersen4v5
  10. P1 5:20Shot by Rielly, saved by Jarry4v5
  11. P1 7:07Shot by Marner, saved by Jarry
  12. P1 9:10Shot by Rielly, saved by Jarry
  13. P1 9:10Goal by Kapanen (Bozak, Leivo)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Bozak, Leivo, Rielly, Kapanen · PIT Letang, Brassard, Kessel, Dumoulin, Sheahan

  14. P1 9:26Shot by Kadri, saved by Jarry
  15. P1 9:57Shot by Ruhwedel, saved by Andersen
  16. P1 11:19Shot by Kessel, saved by Andersen
  17. P1 13:29Shot by Hagelin, saved by Andersen
  18. P1 14:32Shot by Rielly, saved by Jarry
  19. P1 16:07Carrick: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Carrick, Brown, Dermott · PIT Malkin, Letang, Hornqvist, Hagelin, Dumoulin

  20. P1 19:13Goal by Kadri (Rielly, Komarov)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Komarov, Kadri, Rielly · PIT Crosby, Letang, Ruhwedel, Guentzel, Sheary

  21. P1 19:34Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Andersen
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 2:00Shot by Guentzel, saved by Andersen5v6
  25. P2 2:01Shot by Guentzel, saved by Andersen5v6
  26. P2 2:01Marleau: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Komarov, Kadri, Rielly · PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Kessel, Schultz, Guentzel

  27. P2 2:14Shot by Kessel, saved by Andersen4v5
  28. P2 3:22Shot by Letang, saved by Andersen4v5
  29. P2 4:04Shot by Malkin, saved by Andersen
  30. P2 8:18Shot by Ruhwedel, saved by Andersen
  31. P2 8:35Shot by Sheary, saved by Andersen
  32. P2 10:03Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Andersen
  33. P2 10:43Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Andersen
  34. P2 11:16Shot by Brassard, saved by Andersen
  35. P2 11:26Oleksiak: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Komarov, Kadri, Rielly · PIT Crosby, Schultz, Oleksiak, Guentzel, Sheary

  36. P2 11:34Shot by Marner, saved by Jarry5v4
  37. P2 11:35Goal by Kadri (Marner, Rielly)5v4+5 pts WP

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Kadri, Rielly, Marner · PIT Letang, Hagelin, Dumoulin, Sheahan

  38. P2 13:05Shot by Hagelin, saved by Andersen
  39. P2 14:48Shot by Kadri, saved by Jarry
  40. P2 14:55Shot by Rielly, saved by Jarry
  41. P2 15:28Shot by Guentzel, saved by Andersen
  42. P2 15:45Shot by Brown, saved by Jarry
  43. P2 15:53Shot by Nylander, saved by Jarry
  44. P2 16:20Polak: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Polak, Gardiner, Hyman, Nylander, Marner · PIT Malkin, Letang, Hornqvist, Hagelin, Dumoulin

  45. P2 16:20Malkin: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Polak, Gardiner, Hyman, Nylander, Marner · PIT Malkin, Letang, Hornqvist, Hagelin, Dumoulin

  46. P2 16:52Shot by Rielly, saved by Jarry4v4
  47. P2 17:18Shot by Dermott, saved by Jarry4v4
  48. P2 17:56Dumoulin: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Plekanec, Rielly, Kapanen · PIT Letang, Brassard, Dumoulin, Guentzel

  49. P2 18:24Goal by Marner (Rielly)5v4+1 pts WP

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Kadri, Rielly, Marner · PIT Malkin, Sheahan, Kuhnhackl, Maatta

  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 1:06Shot by Marleau, saved by DeSmith
  53. P3 3:25Shot by Hyman, saved by DeSmith
  54. P3 4:06Shot by Crosby, saved by Andersen
  55. P3 4:11Shot by Oleksiak, saved by Andersen
  56. P3 4:29Shot by Oleksiak, saved by Andersen
  57. P3 5:31Shot by Hagelin, saved by Andersen
  58. P3 5:41Shot by Nylander, saved by DeSmith
  59. P3 6:39Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by DeSmith
  60. P3 6:44Shot by Dermott, saved by DeSmith
  61. P3 9:32Shot by Schultz, saved by Andersen
  62. P3 10:16Shot by Jooris, saved by Andersen
  63. P3 11:14Shot by Brown, saved by DeSmith
  64. P3 11:21Shot by Brassard, saved by Andersen
  65. P3 11:39Shot by Dermott, saved by DeSmith
  66. P3 12:25Shot by Letang, saved by Andersen
  67. P3 13:35Shot by Komarov, saved by DeSmith
  68. P3 14:09Shot by Brassard, saved by Andersen
  69. P3 14:15Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by DeSmith
  70. P3 14:51Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Andersen
  71. P3 15:38Shot by Oleksiak, saved by Andersen
  72. P3 15:58Shot by Kessel, saved by Andersen
  73. P3 16:24Goal by Crosby (Guentzel, Ruhwedel)0 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Komarov, Kadri, Rielly · PIT Crosby, Maatta, Ruhwedel, Guentzel, Sheary

  74. P3 17:18Shot by Schultz, saved by Andersen5v6
  75. P3 17:32Goal by Hornqvist (Malkin, Letang)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Komarov, Kadri, Rielly · PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Kessel, Schultz

  76. P3 18:06Shot by Schultz, saved by Andersen5v6
  77. P3 18:25Shot by Schultz, saved by Andersen5v6
  78. P3 19:02Goal by Marleau (Hainsey)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Polak, Komarov, Kadri · PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Kessel, Schultz, Guentzel

  79. P3 0:00Period end
  80. P3 0:00Final