Sat, Mar 10, 2018·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Pittsburgh Penguins 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 53% of the time.
42%
11%
40%
TOR winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24:54 | 0.09 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 24:01 | 0.09 | 54.4% | +0.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:41 | 0.26 | 75.9% | +0.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:47 | 0.13 | 57.1% | +0.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 20:10 | 0.29 | 69.8% | +0.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:13 | 0.16 | 44.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:32 | 0.07 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:25 | 0.00 | 66.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 16:31 | 0.65 | 57.4% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16:05 | 0.25 | 68.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:50 | 0.00 | 64.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:17 | 0.27 | 68.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:51 | 0.22 | 45.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:31 | 0.04 | 61.2% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:42 | 0.00 | 47.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:42 | 0.07 | 66.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:40 | 0.12 | 66.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:06 | 0.00 | 66.1% | 0.0 |
| – | 9 | 9 | 0 | 1.000 | 0.63 | +0.6 | 17:51 | |
| L | 16 | 12 | 4 | .750 | 1.43 | −2.6 | 39:34 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 25:12 | 0.00 | 45.6% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 23:05 | 0.00 | 31.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:45 | 0.00 | 23.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 19:36 | 0.12 | 59.2% | +18.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:23 | 0.02 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17:21 | 0.21 | 44.4% | +5.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:09 | 0.14 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:43 | 0.19 | 33.6% | +12.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:23 | 0.86 | 35.8% | +0.1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15:46 | 0.47 | 39.9% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:32 | 0.00 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:28 | 0.19 | 26.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:46 | 0.00 | 52.9% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:10 | 0.07 | 20.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:16 | 0.14 | 33.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:52 | 0.33 | 77.0% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:29 | 0.00 | 5.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 8:04 | 0.00 | 79.3% | +20.2 |
| W | 40 | 38 | 2 | .950 | 2.71 | +0.7 | 60:00 |