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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 13, 2018·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Ottawa Senators 7, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Away

Ottawa Senators

7

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 68% of the time.

TBL winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:45Shot by Stralman, saved by Condon
  3. P1 1:05Shot by Johnson, saved by Condon
  4. P1 1:09Shot by Coburn, saved by Condon
  5. P1 1:25Shot by Miller, saved by Condon
  6. P1 2:37Shot by Duchene, saved by Vasilevskiy
  7. P1 3:24Shot by Erne, saved by Condon
  8. P1 3:30Shot by Killorn, saved by Condon
  9. P1 3:58Shot by Burgdoerfer, saved by Vasilevskiy
  10. P1 4:03Erne: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Killorn, Hedman, Paquette, Erne · OTT Gaborik, O'Brien, Burgdoerfer, McCormick, Harpur

  11. P1 4:03McCormick: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Killorn, Hedman, Paquette, Erne · OTT Gaborik, O'Brien, Burgdoerfer, McCormick, Harpur

  12. P1 4:19Goal by Miller (Kucherov, Stamkos)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Miller · OTT Karlsson, Hoffman, Duchene, Dzingel, Chabot

  13. P1 4:45Shot by Sergachev, saved by Condon
  14. P1 5:16Shot by Pageau, saved by Vasilevskiy
  15. P1 5:54Shot by Gourde, saved by Condon
  16. P1 6:07Shot by Point, saved by Condon
  17. P1 6:24Shot by Smith, saved by Vasilevskiy
  18. P1 6:31Shot by Chabot, saved by Vasilevskiy
  19. P1 7:44Shot by Pyatt, saved by Vasilevskiy
  20. P1 7:45Shot by Pyatt, saved by Vasilevskiy
  21. P1 7:47Goal by Paajarvi (Pyatt, Pageau)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Stamkos, Kucherov, Miller, Sergachev · OTT Pyatt, Paajarvi, Burgdoerfer, Pageau, Ceci

  22. P1 8:37Shot by Paajarvi, saved by Vasilevskiy
  23. P1 8:53Cirelli: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Kunitz, Coburn, Killorn, Cirelli, Sergachev · OTT Gaborik, O'Brien, Borowiecki, Paajarvi, Burgdoerfer

  24. P1 10:47Goal by Dzingel (Gaborik, Ceci)4v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kunitz, Stralman, Hedman, Paquette · OTT Gaborik, Burrows, Dzingel, Ceci, Chabot

  25. P1 11:24Goal by Pyatt (Ceci, Borowiecki)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Stamkos, Kucherov, Miller, Sergachev · OTT Pyatt, Smith, Borowiecki, Paajarvi, Ceci

  26. P1 12:34Shot by Callahan, saved by Condon
  27. P1 12:58Shot by Ryan, saved by Vasilevskiy
  28. P1 13:16Shot by Harpur, saved by Vasilevskiy
  29. P1 14:00Shot by Smith, saved by Vasilevskiy
  30. P1 14:22Shot by Point, saved by Condon
  31. P1 15:09Shot by Hoffman, saved by Vasilevskiy
  32. P1 15:13Shot by Karlsson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  33. P1 17:21Shot by Hoffman, saved by Vasilevskiy
  34. P1 17:47Shot by Johnson, saved by Condon
  35. P1 18:24Burrows: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Miller · OTT Burrows, Ryan, Borowiecki, Pageau, Ceci

  36. P1 18:23Shot by Miller, saved by Condon
  37. P1 18:08Shot by Miller, saved by Condon
  38. P1 18:30Shot by Miller, saved by Condon5v4
  39. P1 19:10Shot by Killorn, saved by Condon5v4
  40. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  41. P2 0:00Period start
  42. P2 0:39Paajarvi: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stralman, McDonagh, Stamkos, Kucherov, Miller · OTT Burrows, Paajarvi, Pageau, Ceci, Harpur

  43. P2 0:51Shot by Callahan, saved by Condon5v4
  44. P2 1:23Shot by Stamkos, saved by Condon5v4
  45. P2 2:00Shot by Kucherov, saved by Condon5v4
  46. P2 2:03Goal by Miller (Kucherov, Hedman)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Miller · OTT Burrows, Karlsson, Borowiecki, Pageau

  47. P2 2:28Shot by Duchene, saved by Vasilevskiy
  48. P2 2:45Shot by Dzingel, saved by Vasilevskiy
  49. P2 3:23Shot by O'Brien, saved by Vasilevskiy
  50. P2 3:52Shot by Kunitz, saved by Condon
  51. P2 4:35Shot by Miller, saved by Condon
  52. P2 5:19Shot by Kucherov, saved by Condon
  53. P2 5:35Coburn: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Kunitz, Coburn, Callahan, Stralman, Paquette · OTT Burrows, Ryan, Pageau, Ceci, Harpur

  54. P2 7:18Goal by Gaborik (Dzingel, Burrows)4v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Callahan, Stralman, Hedman, Paquette · OTT Gaborik, Burrows, Karlsson, Dzingel, Ceci

  55. P2 7:54Shot by Coburn, saved by Condon
  56. P2 9:05Shot by Kucherov, saved by Condon
  57. P2 9:17Shot by Duchene, saved by Vasilevskiy
  58. P2 9:30Shot by Duchene, saved by Vasilevskiy
  59. P2 9:40Shot by Girardi, saved by Condon
  60. P2 9:49Shot by Johnson, saved by Condon
  61. P2 9:54Shot by Kucherov, saved by Condon
  62. P2 10:13Shot by Sergachev, saved by Condon
  63. P2 11:01Shot by Hedman, saved by Condon
  64. P2 11:32Shot by Paquette, saved by Condon
  65. P2 13:21Shot by Miller, saved by Condon
  66. P2 13:42Shot by Burgdoerfer, saved by Vasilevskiy
  67. P2 13:44Goal by Hoffman (Burgdoerfer, Duchene)+8 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kunitz, Callahan, Girardi, Hedman, Paquette · OTT Borowiecki, Hoffman, Duchene, Burgdoerfer, Dzingel

  68. P2 14:10Gaborik: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Stralman, Johnson, Gourde, Point · OTT Gaborik, O'Brien, Borowiecki, Burgdoerfer, McCormick

  69. P2 14:54Shot by Kucherov, saved by Condon5v4
  70. P2 15:27Shot by Killorn, saved by Condon5v4
  71. P2 15:28Smith: Holding (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Miller · OTT Pyatt, Smith, Karlsson, Borowiecki

  72. P2 16:26Goal by Miller (Stamkos, Hedman)5v4+7 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Miller, Point · OTT Gaborik, Karlsson, Paajarvi, Ceci

  73. P2 17:36Shot by Coburn, saved by Condon
  74. P2 18:02Shot by Paquette, saved by Condon
  75. P2 18:30Goal by Karlsson, unassisted+7 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kunitz, Coburn, Callahan, Stralman, Paquette · OTT Burrows, Ryan, Karlsson, Pageau, Harpur

  76. P2 18:41Shot by Ceci, saved by Vasilevskiy
  77. P2 19:27Shot by Ryan, saved by Vasilevskiy
  78. P2 19:37Shot by Harpur, saved by Vasilevskiy
  79. P2 0:00Period end
  80. P3 0:00Period start
  81. P3 1:46Shot by Johnson, saved by Condon
  82. P3 2:52Shot by O'Brien, saved by Budaj
  83. P3 3:12Shot by Smith, saved by Budaj
  84. P3 3:46Goal by Hoffman (Karlsson, Duchene)+2 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Killorn, Hedman, Erne, Cirelli · OTT Karlsson, Hoffman, Duchene, Dzingel, Chabot

  85. P3 4:43Shot by McCormick, saved by Budaj
  86. P3 7:56Shot by Coburn, saved by Condon
  87. P3 8:20Shot by Coburn, saved by Condon
  88. P3 10:25Shot by McDonagh, saved by Condon
  89. P3 12:20Shot by Stamkos, saved by Condon
  90. P3 12:44Goal by McDonagh (Stamkos, Kucherov)+1 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Stamkos, Kucherov, Miller, Sergachev · OTT Pyatt, Smith, Paajarvi, Ceci, Harpur

  91. P3 14:34Shot by Miller, saved by Condon
  92. P3 16:25Shot by Gourde, saved by Condon
  93. P3 0:00Period end
  94. P3 0:00Final