Tue, Mar 13, 2018·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Ottawa Senators 7, Tampa Bay Lightning 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 68% of the time.
58%
11%
24%
TBL winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Hoffman–Duchene–Dzingel | Burrows–Ryan–Pageau | Pyatt–Smith–Paajarvi | Gaborik–O'Brien–McCormick | Gaborik–O'Brien–Paajarvi | Karlsson–Chabot | Borowiecki–Burgdoerfer | Borowiecki–Ceci | Ceci–Harpur | Burgdoerfer–Harpur | Karlsson–Harpur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stamkos–Kucherov–Miller | 5:230.44–0.04 | 2:130.28–0.01 | 3:020.22–0.17 | 1:400.04–0.00 | 2:420.45–0.00 | 1:530.04–0.00 | 5:290.18–0.11 | 2:420.26–0.00 | 1:050.07–0.00 | ||
| Johnson–Gourde–Point | 5:180.22–0.35 | 1:530.06–0.00 | 0:530.02–0.00 | 1:030.05–0.00 | 3:390.16–0.12 | 3:250.13–0.09 | 1:230.19–0.03 | 1:030.00–0.00 | 0:430.06–0.05 | ||
| Kunitz–Callahan–Paquette | 2:070.06–0.30 | 2:290.03–0.02 | 1:380.03–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.01 | 2:540.03–0.04 | 0:460.04–0.30 | 1:220.05–0.00 | 1:460.00–0.01 | 0:580.00–0.02 | ||
| Killorn–Erne–Cirelli | 0:350.00–0.06 | 2:070.00–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.00 | 1:300.09–0.01 | 0:320.00–0.04 | 1:020.00–0.06 | 1:110.00–0.00 | 2:310.09–0.05 | |||
| Killorn–Gourde–Cirelli | 1:590.02–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:550.02–0.00 | 0:310.07–0.00 | ||||||
| Johnson–Erne–Point | 1:280.07–0.00 | 1:130.07–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Callahan–Killorn–Cirelli | 0:360.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Stralman–Hedman | 3:340.23–0.06 | 2:530.17–0.11 | 1:580.05–0.06 | 2:100.14–0.02 | 3:130.22–0.12 | 1:540.00–0.00 | 2:370.32–0.00 | 1:060.07–0.00 | 3:190.17–0.13 | ||
| Girardi–McDonagh | 6:380.36–0.25 | 1:010.03–0.00 | 1:240.00–0.00 | 3:350.30–0.08 | 1:590.03–0.09 | 1:480.00–0.07 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 1:080.06–0.05 | ||
| McDonagh–Sergachev | 1:320.02–0.00 | 4:000.13–0.00 | 1:220.15–0.00 | 1:170.08–0.02 | 0:510.02–0.00 | 1:370.04–0.00 | 2:040.04–0.02 | 3:130.20–0.00 | 0:350.07–0.00 | ||
| Coburn–Girardi | 0:520.00–0.00 | 2:170.00–0.00 | 3:110.00–0.04 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.01 | ||||||
| Coburn–Sergachev | 1:110.06–0.00 | 2:090.18–0.16 | 0:480.00–0.04 | 1:300.15–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.04 | 0:450.00–0.07 | 0:360.03–0.00 | ||||
| Coburn–Stralman | 0:440.13–0.00 | 0:490.04–0.02 | 1:040.03–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.04 | 1:100.13–0.00 | 0:450.03–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.04 | ||||
| Girardi–Hedman | 1:060.03–0.44 | 0:450.00–0.01 | 0:460.05–0.05 | 0:410.06–0.00 | |||||||
| Coburn–Hedman | 0:400.00–0.01 | ||||||||||
| Hedman–Sergachev | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Victor HedmanTBL | 29 | 24:22 | 0:50 | 2:16 | 9 | 5 |
 Erik KarlssonOTT | 27 | 23:17 | 0:52 | 1:47 | 4 | 4 |
 Ryan McDonaghTBL | 26 | 21:22 | 0:49 | 1:18 | 4 | 4 |
 Cody CeciOTT | 31 | 21:18 | 0:41 | 1:59 | 4 | 7 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 23 | 21:17 | 0:56 | 2:16 | 5 | 5 |
 J.T. MillerTBL | 24 | 20:36 | 0:52 | 2:16 | 5 | 6 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 24 | 20:31 | 0:51 | 2:16 | 5 | 6 |
 Mark BorowieckiOTT | 27 | 20:16 | 0:45 | 1:39 | 4 | 7 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT | 30 | 20:15 | 0:41 | 1:39 | 3 | 8 |
 Ben HarpurOTT | 29 | 20:13 | 0:42 | 1:25 | 3 | 6 |
 Dan GirardiTBL | 24 | 19:31 | 0:49 | 1:22 | 4 | 3 |
 Mike HoffmanOTT | 22 | 19:28 | 0:53 | 1:39 | 4 | 4 |
 Anton StralmanTBL | 26 | 19:12 | 0:44 | 1:16 | 4 | 6 |
 Matt DucheneOTT | 23 | 19:05 | 0:50 | 1:39 | 4 | 4 |
 Ryan DzingelOTT | 23 | 17:11 | 0:45 | 1:39 | 2 | 4 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 22 | 16:27 | 0:45 | 1:19 | 4 | 4 |
 Erik BurgdoerferOTT | 25 | 16:27 | 0:39 | 1:39 | 3 | 4 |
 Mikhail SergachevTBL | 21 | 16:20 | 0:47 | 1:35 | 6 | 0 |
 Yanni GourdeTBL | 20 | 16:15 | 0:49 | 1:33 | 5 | 1 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 20 | 16:00 | 0:48 | 2:12 | 6 | 2 |
 Thomas ChabotOTT | 22 | 16:00 | 0:44 | 1:26 | 0 | 3 |
 Bobby RyanOTT | 22 | 15:41 | 0:43 | 1:31 | 2 | 6 |
 Alexandre BurrowsOTT | 25 | 15:41 | 0:38 | 1:06 | 2 | 6 |
 Magnus PaajarviOTT | 24 | 14:59 | 0:37 | 1:06 | 1 | 4 |
 Tyler JohnsonTBL | 19 | 14:44 | 0:47 | 1:33 | 6 | 1 |
 Zack SmithOTT | 23 | 14:05 | 0:37 | 1:06 | 1 | 5 |
 Braydon CoburnTBL | 21 | 13:24 | 0:38 | 1:09 | 2 | 1 |
 Ryan CallahanTBL | 21 | 13:23 | 0:38 | 1:05 | 6 | 0 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 18 | 12:43 | 0:42 | 1:02 | 2 | 2 |
 Tom PyattOTT | 21 | 12:37 | 0:36 | 1:06 | 1 | 4 |
 Chris KunitzTBL | 17 | 11:09 | 0:39 | 1:06 | 3 | 0 |
 Cedric PaquetteTBL | 19 | 10:56 | 0:35 | 0:59 | 4 | 0 |
 Marian GaborikOTT | 19 | 10:49 | 0:34 | 0:59 | 3 | 0 |
 Jim O'BrienOTT | 15 | 8:14 | 0:33 | 0:59 | 3 | 0 |
 Adam ErneTBL | 13 | 8:11 | 0:38 | 1:11 | 2 | 2 |
 Max McCormickOTT | 14 | 8:02 | 0:34 | 0:59 | 2 | 0 |