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Ice Lab

Wed, Mar 14, 2018·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Dallas Stars 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 6 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 73% of the time.

TOR winsDAL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:53Shot by Seguin, saved by Andersen
  3. P1 2:04Shot by Brown, saved by Lehtonen
  4. P1 2:23Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Lehtonen
  5. P1 2:52Shot by Polak, saved by Lehtonen
  6. P1 4:17Shot by Klingberg, saved by Andersen
  7. P1 4:28Goal by Kadri, unassisted+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Komarov, Kadri, Rielly · DAL Benn, Seguin, Klingberg, Ritchie, Lindell

  8. P1 4:51Shot by Carrick, saved by Lehtonen
  9. P1 4:52Shot by Bozak, saved by Lehtonen
  10. P1 4:53Goal by van Riemsdyk (Bozak, Carrick)+12 pts WP

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Carrick, Brown, Dermott · DAL Radulov, Klingberg, Lindell, Shore, Janmark

  11. P1 6:15Shot by Johnsson, saved by Lehtonen
  12. P1 8:58Shot by Honka, saved by Andersen
  13. P1 10:17Shot by Gardiner, saved by Lehtonen
  14. P1 11:08Shot by Hyman, saved by Lehtonen
  15. P1 13:23Shot by Benn, saved by Andersen
  16. P1 13:30Shot by Spezza, saved by Andersen
  17. P1 14:24Polak: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Polak, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Brown · DAL Radulov, Klingberg, Lindell, Shore, Elie

  18. P1 14:24Radulov: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Polak, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Brown · DAL Radulov, Klingberg, Lindell, Shore, Elie

  19. P1 14:29Goal by Benn (Seguin, Lindell)4v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Kadri, Rielly · DAL Benn, Seguin, Klingberg, Lindell

  20. P1 15:02Shot by Kadri, saved by Lehtonen4v4
  21. P1 16:01Goal by Faksa (Pateryn, Pitlick)4v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Plekanec, Rielly, Kapanen · DAL Pateryn, Johns, Pitlick, Faksa

  22. P1 18:47Shot by Seguin, saved by Andersen
  23. P1 18:52Shot by Spezza, saved by Andersen
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:26Shot by Hamhuis, saved by Andersen
  27. P2 0:29Shot by Klingberg, saved by Andersen
  28. P2 1:03Shot by Lindell, saved by Andersen
  29. P2 1:10Shot by Benn, saved by Andersen
  30. P2 1:12Shot by Lindell, saved by Andersen
  31. P2 1:49Shot by Klingberg, saved by Andersen
  32. P2 2:09Shot by Kadri, saved by Lehtonen
  33. P2 4:08Shot by Radulov, saved by Andersen
  34. P2 4:28Shot by Seguin, saved by Andersen
  35. P2 4:30Goal by Seguin, unassisted+21 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Polak, Komarov, Gardiner, Kadri · DAL Benn, Seguin, Klingberg, Ritchie, Lindell

  36. P2 4:51Shot by Roussel, saved by Andersen
  37. P2 5:56Shot by Klingberg, saved by Andersen
  38. P2 11:45Shot by Pateryn, saved by McElhinney
  39. P2 12:11Shot by Gardiner, saved by Lehtonen
  40. P2 12:56Shot by Brown, saved by Lehtonen
  41. P2 13:53Shot by Dickinson, saved by McElhinney
  42. P2 14:03Goal by Elie (Shore, Klingberg)+17 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Plekanec, Carrick, Johnsson, Kapanen, Dermott · DAL Klingberg, Lindell, Shore, Dickinson, Elie

  43. P2 17:46Shot by Kadri, saved by Lehtonen
  44. P2 18:12Shot by Radulov, saved by McElhinney
  45. P2 19:03Shot by Ritchie, saved by McElhinney
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 1:44Shot by Marleau, saved by Lehtonen
  49. P3 5:10Shot by Bozak, saved by Lehtonen
  50. P3 5:11Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Lehtonen
  51. P3 5:13Goal by van Riemsdyk (Bozak, Dermott)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Brown, Dermott · DAL Klingberg, Lindell, Shore, Dickinson, Elie

  52. P3 5:47Shot by Gardiner, saved by Lehtonen
  53. P3 6:32Shot by Komarov, saved by Lehtonen
  54. P3 9:28Shot by Nylander, saved by Lehtonen
  55. P3 9:30Johns: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Hyman, Nylander, Dermott · DAL Johns, Shore, Dickinson, Elie, Honka

  56. P3 9:43Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  57. P3 9:45Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  58. P3 10:43Goal by van Riemsdyk (Marner, Rielly)5v4+33 pts WP

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Kadri, Rielly, Marner · DAL Klingberg, Lindell, Shore, Janmark

  59. P3 11:02Shot by Ritchie, saved by McElhinney
  60. P3 13:00Shot by Klingberg, saved by McElhinney
  61. P3 13:18Goal by Ritchie (Seguin, Benn)+39 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Gardiner, Hyman, Carrick, Nylander · DAL Hamhuis, Benn, Pateryn, Seguin, Ritchie

  62. P3 14:39Shot by Kapanen, saved by Lehtonen
  63. P3 16:39Shot by Hainsey, saved by Lehtonen
  64. P3 17:26Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Lehtonen
  65. P3 17:50Shot by Gardiner, saved by Lehtonen
  66. P3 19:44Goal by Marleau (Marner, Gardiner)6v5+53 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Marleau, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Rielly, Marner · DAL Seguin, Klingberg, Ritchie, Lindell, Janmark

  67. P3 0:00Period end
  68. OT 0:00Period start
  69. OT 0:09Shot by Radulov, saved by McElhinney3v3
  70. OT 1:53Shot by Seguin, saved by McElhinney3v3
  71. OT 2:07Shot by Janmark, saved by McElhinney3v3
  72. OT 2:10Marner: Hooking (2 min)3v3

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Nylander, Marner · DAL Seguin, Lindell, Janmark

  73. OT 2:34Shot by Benn, saved by McElhinney3v4
  74. OT 2:45Shot by Seguin, saved by McElhinney3v4
  75. OT 3:26Shot by Hainsey, saved by Lehtonen3v4
  76. OT 3:43Shot by Benn, saved by McElhinney3v4
  77. OT 4:04Shot by Spezza, saved by McElhinney3v4
  78. OT 4:23Shot by Marner, saved by Lehtonen4v4
  79. OT 4:19Shot by Rielly, saved by Lehtonen4v4
  80. OT 5:00Period end4v4
  81. SO Period start
  82. SO Goal by Bozak, unassistedother
  83. SO Shot by Seguin, saved by McElhinneyother
  84. SO Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Lehtonenother
  85. SO Shot by Radulov, saved by McElhinneyother
  86. SO Goal by Marner, unassistedother
  87. SO Period end
  88. SO Final