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Ice Lab

Mon, Apr 2, 2018·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Buffalo Sabres 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 5

Away

Buffalo Sabres

2

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 62% of the time.

TOR winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:32Shot by O'Reilly, saved by McElhinney
  3. P1 4:03Shot by Ristolainen, saved by McElhinney
  4. P1 5:39Shot by Johnsson, saved by Johnson
  5. P1 5:44Goal by Johnsson (Plekanec, Polak)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Plekanec, Polak, Gardiner, Martin, Johnsson · BUF Pouliot, Scandella, Larsson, Baptiste, Ristolainen

  6. P1 5:53Shot by Nylander, saved by Johnson
  7. P1 6:05Shot by O'Reilly, saved by McElhinney
  8. P1 6:17Shot by Falk, saved by McElhinney
  9. P1 6:23Shot by Wilson, saved by McElhinney
  10. P1 7:22Shot by Marner, saved by Johnson
  11. P1 7:24Scandella: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Marleau, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Kadri, Marner · BUF Pominville, Scandella, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Eichel

  12. P1 7:52Shot by Kadri, saved by Johnson5v4
  13. P1 7:58Shot by Rielly, saved by Johnson5v4
  14. P1 8:05Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Johnson5v4
  15. P1 8:29Shot by Gardiner, saved by Johnson5v4
  16. P1 9:33Shot by Carrick, saved by Johnson
  17. P1 10:33Shot by Gardiner, saved by Johnson
  18. P1 10:51Shot by Hyman, saved by Johnson
  19. P1 11:30Shot by O'Reilly, saved by McElhinney
  20. P1 12:59Shot by Pominville, saved by McElhinney
  21. P1 13:11Polak: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Polak, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Brown · BUF Gorges, Okposo, Tennyson, Rodrigues, Mittelstadt

  22. P1 15:38Shot by Pouliot, saved by McElhinney
  23. P1 18:08Shot by Rodrigues, saved by McElhinney
  24. P1 19:09Polak: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: TOR Polak, Gardiner, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews · BUF Pominville, Scandella, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Eichel

  25. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  26. P1 5:38Shot by Polak, saved by Johnson
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:17Shot by Okposo, saved by McElhinney4v5
  29. P2 2:27Goal by Reinhart (Ristolainen, O'Reilly)4v5+22 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Plekanec, Hyman, Rielly · BUF Okposo, O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel

  30. P2 3:19Shot by Brown, saved by Johnson
  31. P2 3:59Falk: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Polak, Gardiner, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews · BUF Falk, O'Reilly, Wilson, Reinhart, Nelson

  32. P2 4:35Shot by Girgensons, saved by McElhinney5v4
  33. P2 5:01Goal by Matthews (Rielly, Johnsson)5v4+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Rielly, Johnsson, Nylander, Matthews · BUF Scandella, Larsson, Girgensons, Ristolainen

  34. P2 6:37Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Johnson
  35. P2 7:39Goal by Nylander (Matthews)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Polak, Gardiner, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews · BUF Pominville, Falk, Scandella, O'Reilly, Girgensons

  36. P2 8:00Shot by Marner, saved by Johnson
  37. P2 8:37Shot by Carrick, saved by Johnson
  38. P2 9:22Shot by Nelson, saved by McElhinney
  39. P2 10:10Shot by Brown, saved by Johnson
  40. P2 10:32Goal by Nylander (Hyman)+6 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Polak, Gardiner, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews · BUF Scandella, O'Reilly, Wilson, Ristolainen, Reinhart

  41. P2 11:13Kadri: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Kadri, Johnsson, Marner, Zaitsev · BUF Pominville, Falk, Girgensons, Eichel, Nelson

  42. P2 11:52Shot by Ristolainen, saved by McElhinney4v5
  43. P2 13:34Shot by Rielly, saved by Johnson
  44. P2 13:47Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Johnson
  45. P2 14:07Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Johnson
  46. P2 14:29Shot by Reinhart, saved by McElhinney
  47. P2 15:02Shot by Eichel, saved by McElhinney
  48. P2 15:23Shot by Eichel, saved by McElhinney
  49. P2 15:34Shot by Scandella, saved by McElhinney
  50. P2 16:22Shot by Johnsson, saved by Johnson
  51. P2 18:01Shot by Matthews, saved by Johnson
  52. P2 18:06Shot by Kadri, saved by Johnson
  53. P2 18:30Shot by Marleau, saved by Johnson
  54. P2 19:58Shot by O'Reilly, saved by McElhinney
  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 0:29Shot by Matthews, saved by Johnson
  58. P3 0:58Shot by Girgensons, saved by McElhinney5v6
  59. P3 0:59Zaitsev: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Kadri, Marner, Zaitsev · BUF Pominville, Falk, O'Reilly, Girgensons, Eichel, Nelson

  60. P3 1:17Shot by Reinhart, saved by McElhinney4v5
  61. P3 2:53Shot by Baptiste, saved by McElhinney4v5
  62. P3 2:54Shot by Baptiste, saved by McElhinney4v5
  63. P3 2:56Goal by Pominville (Baptiste, Scandella)4v5+4 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Plekanec, Polak, Hyman, Rielly · BUF Pominville, Scandella, Baptiste, Rodrigues, Mittelstadt

  64. P3 3:26Shot by Falk, saved by McElhinney
  65. P3 3:55Shot by O'Reilly, saved by McElhinney
  66. P3 5:31Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Johnson
  67. P3 5:44Mittelstadt: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly, Carrick, Brown · BUF Okposo, Falk, Rodrigues, Nelson, Mittelstadt

  68. P3 6:29Goal by Matthews (Nylander, Gardiner)5v4+3 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Gardiner, Johnsson, Nylander, Matthews · BUF Scandella, Larsson, Girgensons, Ristolainen

  69. P3 8:22Shot by Pominville, saved by McElhinney
  70. P3 10:14Shot by Rielly, saved by Johnson
  71. P3 11:51Shot by O'Reilly, saved by McElhinney
  72. P3 11:58Shot by O'Reilly, saved by McElhinney
  73. P3 12:05Shot by Matthews, saved by Johnson
  74. P3 12:24Shot by Rodrigues, saved by McElhinney
  75. P3 14:53Shot by Tennyson, saved by McElhinney
  76. P3 16:31Shot by Scandella, saved by McElhinney
  77. P3 16:52Shot by Bozak, saved by Johnson
  78. P3 16:56Shot by Kadri, saved by Johnson
  79. P3 17:16Shot by Eichel, saved by McElhinney
  80. P3 18:32Shot by Okposo, saved by McElhinney
  81. P3 19:32Shot by Matthews, saved by Johnson
  82. P3 19:39Shot by Nylander, saved by Johnson
  83. P3 0:00Period end
  84. P3 0:00Final