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Ice Lab

Mon, Apr 2, 2018·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Buffalo Sabres 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 62% of the time.

TOR winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

O'Reilly–Wilson–ReinhartPominville–Girgensons–EichelOkposo–Rodrigues–MittelstadtPouliot–Larsson–BaptisteLarsson–Baptiste–RodriguesFalk–NelsonScandella–RistolainenGorges–TennysonTennyson–NelsonRistolainen–NelsonTennyson–Ristolainen
Hyman–Nylander–Matthews8:190.29–0.260:510.05–0.004:450.09–0.223:430.27–0.021:530.10–0.071:090.27–0.020:350.00–0.00
Marleau–Kadri–Marner0:510.02–0.027:330.24–0.153:540.15–0.134:350.19–0.121:030.07–0.00
van Riemsdyk–Bozak–Brown0:320.00–0.005:580.11–0.101:070.15–0.033:320.04–0.121:470.17–0.124:130.08–0.11
Plekanec–Martin–Johnsson0:380.00–0.011:180.02–0.043:100.32–0.081:250.02–0.052:200.02–0.092:270.30–0.091:170.02–0.001:080.01–0.00
van Riemsdyk–Bozak–Marner0:440.15–0.00
Polak–Gardiner7:440.31–0.260:500.00–0.011:030.02–0.002:500.31–0.204:550.13–0.175:490.52–0.252:090.00–0.070:490.01–0.000:480.00–0.00
Rielly–Carrick1:000.00–0.006:180.16–0.071:360.00–0.101:250.02–0.054:240.04–0.181:230.00–0.014:260.15–0.110:510.00–0.030:340.00–0.00
Hainsey–Zaitsev0:510.00–0.027:290.24–0.133:350.13–0.094:350.34–0.121:280.07–0.001:070.27–0.00
Gardiner–Rielly0:460.00–0.161:080.20–0.00
Gardiner–Carrick0:390.00–0.000:300.00–0.011:090.00–0.01
Gardiner–Zaitsev0:340.00–0.14
Hainsey–Gardiner0:420.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndHyman FNylander FMatthews FMarleau FMarner FKadri Fvan Riemsdyk FBozak FBrown FMartin FJohnsson FPlekanec FPolak DGardiner DHainsey DZaitsev DCarrick DRielly DMcElhinney GWilson FReinhart FO'Reilly FEichel FPominville FGirgensons FOkposo FRodrigues FMittelstadt FLarsson FBaptiste FPouliot FScandella DRistolainen DNelson DFalk DTennyson DGorges DJohnson G
TORBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus RistolainenBUF3126:000:501:3274
Jake GardinerTOR2724:020:532:2733
Jack EichelBUF2222:491:022:1824
Casey NelsonBUF2721:480:481:3015
Ron HainseyTOR2321:370:562:2723
Ryan O'ReillyBUF2721:250:481:3066
Zach HymanTOR2720:020:451:2846
Morgan RiellyTOR2519:560:481:3833
Sam ReinhartBUF2419:550:501:3073
Roman PolakTOR2719:130:431:3415
Marco ScandellaBUF2818:450:401:2743
Kyle OkposoBUF2118:190:521:5761
Justin FalkBUF2618:040:421:0205
Nikita ZaitsevTOR2217:250:481:4324
William NylanderTOR2016:260:491:2862
Evan RodriguesBUF2016:220:491:2622
Auston MatthewsTOR2015:500:481:2862
Mitch MarnerTOR1915:310:491:2631
Scott WilsonBUF2015:030:451:1032
Andreas JohnssonTOR2014:560:451:2552
Jason PominvilleBUF2214:490:401:1310
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF2114:440:421:1143
Patrick MarleauTOR2014:430:441:1261
Nazem KadriTOR1914:120:451:1831
Tomas PlekanecTOR2014:050:421:2524
Connor CarrickTOR2014:050:421:2525
Connor BrownTOR2014:020:421:2304
Matt TennysonBUF2213:540:381:3623
Johan LarssonBUF1613:300:511:4016
Tyler BozakTOR1813:220:451:1004
James van RiemsdykTOR1813:020:431:1403
Josh GorgesBUF2112:300:361:3634
Casey MittelstadtBUF2012:010:361:0241
Nick BaptisteBUF1210:430:541:2812
Matt MartinTOR118:160:451:2521
Benoit PouliotBUF115:410:310:5311