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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 4, 2018·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Washington Capitals 6, Pittsburgh Penguins 7 (OT)

Away

Washington Capitals

6

Final

Overtime

Home

Pittsburgh Penguins

7

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 80% of the time.

PIT winsWSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:49Goal by Oleksiak (Malkin, Kessel)+14 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Kessel, Hagelin, Schultz, Oleksiak · WSH Carlson, Kuznetsov, Connolly, Stephenson, Djoos

  3. P1 3:08Shot by Crosby, saved by Holtby
  4. P1 3:30Goal by Vrana (Backstrom, Oshie)+14 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Johnson, Sheahan, Maatta, Sprong · WSH Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, Djoos, Vrana

  5. P1 4:18Goal by Orpik, unassisted+18 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Kessel, Hagelin, Dumoulin · WSH Orpik, Ovechkin, Kuznetsov, Connolly, Bowey

  6. P1 5:47Niskanen: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Johnson, Brassard, Rust, Maatta, Simon · WSH Niskanen, Eller, Orlov, Stephenson, Burakovsky

  7. P1 7:27Goal by Guentzel (Sprong, Schultz)5v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Johnson, Brassard, Schultz, Guentzel, Sprong · WSH Orlov, Kuznetsov, Bowey, Walker

  8. P1 7:41Shot by Eller, saved by Murray
  9. P1 8:00Goal by Ovechkin (Djoos, Kuznetsov)+18 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Letang, Dumoulin, Sheahan, Rust · WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Kuznetsov, Connolly, Djoos

  10. P1 8:18Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Holtby
  11. P1 11:01Shot by Kessel, saved by Holtby
  12. P1 11:17Shot by Backstrom, saved by Murray
  13. P1 12:52Shot by Walker, saved by Murray
  14. P1 13:11Shot by Smith-Pelly, saved by Murray
  15. P1 15:25Shot by Connolly, saved by Murray
  16. P1 17:28Shot by Smith-Pelly, saved by Murray
  17. P1 18:03Shot by Backstrom, saved by Murray
  18. P1 18:11Hagelin: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Kessel, Hagelin, Dumoulin · WSH Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, Djoos, Vrana

  19. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:16Shot by Vrana, saved by Murray
  22. P2 0:27Shot by Crosby, saved by Holtby
  23. P2 0:30Goal by Letang (Crosby, Dumoulin)+20 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Dumoulin, Guentzel · WSH Oshie, Niskanen, Backstrom, Orlov, Vrana

  24. P2 0:41Shot by Carlson, saved by Murray
  25. P2 1:28Shot by Hagelin, saved by Holtby
  26. P2 2:22Shot by Brassard, saved by Holtby
  27. P2 2:49Shot by Orlov, saved by Murray
  28. P2 3:31Shot by Oshie, saved by Murray
  29. P2 3:41Shot by Guentzel, saved by Holtby
  30. P2 3:54Goal by Carlson (Connolly)+21 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Hornqvist, Schultz, Oleksiak, Guentzel · WSH Carlson, Orlov, Kuznetsov, Connolly, Vrana

  31. P2 4:12Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Murray
  32. P2 4:13Kessel: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Kessel, Hagelin, Dumoulin · WSH Ovechkin, Niskanen, Orlov, Kuznetsov, Connolly

  33. P2 4:23Shot by Letang, saved by Holtby4v5
  34. P2 5:29Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Murray4v5
  35. P2 5:36Shot by Carlson, saved by Murray4v5
  36. P2 5:48Shot by Sheahan, saved by Holtby4v5
  37. P2 6:17Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Murray
  38. P2 6:35Shot by Connolly, saved by Murray
  39. P2 6:56Shot by Crosby, saved by Holtby
  40. P2 7:23Shot by Hagelin, saved by Holtby
  41. P2 7:24Eller: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Kessel, Hagelin, Dumoulin · WSH Niskanen, Eller, Orlov, Stephenson, Burakovsky

  42. P2 8:55Shot by Backstrom, saved by Murray5v4
  43. P2 9:29Shot by Brassard, saved by Holtby
  44. P2 10:20Shot by Eller, saved by Murray
  45. P2 10:53Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Holtby
  46. P2 11:06Shot by Crosby, saved by Holtby
  47. P2 11:24Shot by Guentzel, saved by Holtby
  48. P2 12:52Shot by Connolly, saved by Murray
  49. P2 13:34Shot by Rust, saved by Holtby
  50. P2 13:40Shot by Maatta, saved by Holtby
  51. P2 13:43Shot by Simon, saved by Holtby
  52. P2 14:43Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Holtby
  53. P2 14:52Shot by Guentzel, saved by Holtby
  54. P2 15:09Goal by Guentzel (Schultz, Hornqvist)+24 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Hornqvist, Schultz, Oleksiak, Guentzel · WSH Niskanen, Eller, Orlov, Stephenson, Burakovsky

  55. P2 16:56Shot by Simon, saved by Holtby
  56. P2 16:58Goal by Brassard (Simon, Dumoulin)+26 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Letang, Brassard, Dumoulin, Rust, Simon · WSH Orpik, Ovechkin, Kuznetsov, Connolly, Bowey

  57. P2 18:32Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Murray
  58. P2 19:11Shot by Brassard, saved by Holtby
  59. P2 19:12Shot by Rust, saved by Holtby
  60. P2 19:20Shot by Vrana, saved by Murray
  61. P2 19:52Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Murray
  62. P2 0:00Period end
  63. P3 0:00Period start
  64. P3 0:29Shot by Backstrom, saved by Murray
  65. P3 0:39Connolly: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Johnson, Sheahan, Rust, Maatta · WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Kuznetsov, Connolly, Djoos

  66. P3 2:20Shot by Kessel, saved by Holtby5v4
  67. P3 2:45Goal by Malkin (Letang, Crosby)+15 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Johnson, Letang, Kessel · WSH Niskanen, Eller, Orlov, Connolly, Stephenson

  68. P3 3:51Shot by Brassard, saved by Holtby
  69. P3 3:53Bowey: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Brassard, Schultz, Oleksiak, Sprong, Simon · WSH Orpik, Ovechkin, Kuznetsov, Connolly, Bowey

  70. P3 4:54Shot by Orlov, saved by Murray5v4
  71. P3 5:02Shot by Orlov, saved by Murray5v4
  72. P3 5:37Shot by Schultz, saved by Holtby5v4
  73. P3 6:27Shot by Sheahan, saved by Holtby
  74. P3 7:21Shot by Malkin, saved by Holtby
  75. P3 7:26Shot by Hagelin, saved by Holtby
  76. P3 7:51Shot by Carlson, saved by Murray
  77. P3 8:13Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Holtby
  78. P3 8:40Vrana: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Johnson, Hornqvist, Maatta, Guentzel · WSH Oshie, Niskanen, Backstrom, Orlov, Vrana

  79. P3 9:22Shot by Smith-Pelly, saved by Murray5v4
  80. P3 10:52Shot by Orlov, saved by Murray
  81. P3 11:13Shot by Orlov, saved by Murray
  82. P3 13:01Goal by Oshie, unassisted+11 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Kessel, Hagelin, Schultz, Oleksiak · WSH Orpik, Oshie, Niskanen, Backstrom, Vrana

  83. P3 13:22Goal by Oshie (Carlson)+38 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Letang, Brassard, Dumoulin, Rust, Simon · WSH Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, Djoos, Vrana

  84. P3 15:32Shot by Cullen, saved by Holtby
  85. P3 17:15Shot by Smith-Pelly, saved by Murray
  86. P3 19:46Shot by Brassard, saved by Holtby
  87. P3 19:50Shot by Rust, saved by Holtby
  88. P3 0:00Period end
  89. OT 0:00Period start
  90. OT 0:18Shot by Crosby, saved by Holtby3v3
  91. OT 0:19Kuznetsov: Hooking (2 min)3v3

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Guentzel · WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Kuznetsov

  92. OT 1:20Goal by Letang (Malkin, Kessel)4v3+53 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Kessel · WSH Orpik, Niskanen, Eller

  93. OT 1:20Period end
  94. OT 1:20Final