Tue, Oct 9, 2018·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Toronto Maple Leafs 7, Dallas Stars 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 74% of the time.
19%
67%
DAL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 22:12 | 0.04 | 38.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 20:33 | 0.06 | 57.8% | +48.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:10 | 0.02 | 42.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:58 | 0.04 | 64.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 18:49 | 0.45 | 65.6% | +61.5 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18:45 | 0.36 | 60.1% | +21.8 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 18:30 | 0.44 | 50.9% | +41.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 18:13 | 0.11 | 54.2% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:57 | 0.00 | 45.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 16:44 | 0.51 | 50.7% | +35.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:25 | 0.08 | 74.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:22 | 0.21 | 74.3% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 15:15 | 0.46 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 13:46 | 0.11 | 46.4% | +15.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:45 | 0.79 | 37.3% | +0.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:19 | 0.29 | 80.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:00 | 0.00 | 52.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:58 | 0.06 | 60.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 34 | 30 | 4 | .882 | 2.49 | −1.5 | 60:00 |
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 6 | 25:12 | 0.19 | 40.1% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24:47 | 0.02 | 42.7% | +21.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 23:51 | 0.27 | 62.4% | +19.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:21 | 0.01 | 48.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:48 | 0.22 | 65.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 17:26 | 0.18 | 39.8% | +6.2 | |
| 1 | 3 | 4 | −1 | 3 | 17:09 | 0.31 | 45.5% | +62.5 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | −1 | 3 | 17:02 | 0.28 | 42.1% | +40.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16:30 | 0.45 | 66.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:29 | 0.11 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:08 | 0.10 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:31 | 0.05 | 45.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:08 | 0.03 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:56 | 0.12 | 71.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:54 | 0.10 | 24.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:55 | 0.00 | 10.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:28 | 0.02 | 9.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:07 | 0.02 | 39.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 29 | 23 | 6 | .793 | 3.28 | −2.7 | 59:14 |