Thu, Oct 11, 2018·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Detroit Red Wings 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 72% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 1:50Shot by Dermott, saved by Howard
- P1 3:26Shot by Mantha, saved by Andersen
- P1 4:45Kadri: Slashing (2 min)
On ice: DET Nielsen, Bertuzzi, Hicketts, Rasmussen, Sulak · TOR Kadri, Marincin, Brown, Dermott, Lindholm
- P1 5:11Shot by Kronwall, saved by Andersen5v4
- P1 5:19Shot by Brown, saved by Howard5v4
- P1 7:18Goal by Jensen (Helm, Ehn)+16 pts WP
On ice: DET Kronwall, Helm, Jensen, Glendening, Ehn · TOR Tavares, Marincin, Hyman, Dermott, Marner
- P1 7:33Shot by Kapanen, saved by Howard
- P1 7:38DeKeyser: Interference (2 min)
On ice: DET Vanek, Abdelkader, Athanasiou, DeKeyser, Hronek · TOR Marleau, Gardiner, Rielly, Kapanen, Matthews
- P1 8:10Shot by Rielly, saved by Howard4v5
- P1 8:21Shot by Kadri, saved by Howard4v5
- P1 9:23Shot by Leivo, saved by Howard4v5
- P1 9:49DeKeyser: Fighting (5 min)
On ice: DET Jensen, Glendening, DeKeyser, Larkin, Sulak · TOR Marleau, Gardiner, Ennis, Leivo, Zaitsev
- P1 9:49Leivo: Fighting (5 min)4v5
On ice: DET Jensen, Glendening, DeKeyser, Larkin, Sulak · TOR Marleau, Gardiner, Ennis, Leivo, Zaitsev
- P1 10:45Shot by Hronek, saved by Andersen
- P1 11:22Shot by Tavares, saved by Howard
- P1 11:25Shot by Matthews, saved by Howard
- P1 12:02Shot by Rielly, saved by Howard
- P1 15:48Goal by Rielly (Marner, Tavares)+18 pts WP
On ice: DET Nielsen, Vanek, Nyquist, DeKeyser, Hronek · TOR Hainsey, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Marner
- P1 17:03Shot by Kronwall, saved by Andersen
- P1 18:28Shot by Hainsey, saved by Howard
- P1 18:40Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Andersen
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 1:27Shot by Hyman, saved by Howard
- P2 1:54Shot by Tavares, saved by Howard
- P2 2:00Goal by Marner (Hyman, Tavares)+20 pts WP
On ice: DET Kronwall, Nielsen, Abdelkader, Jensen, Rasmussen · TOR Tavares, Marincin, Hyman, Dermott, Marner
- P2 2:24Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Andersen
- P2 3:00Shot by Sulak, saved by Andersen
- P2 3:36Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Howard
- P2 4:24Shot by Larkin, saved by Andersen
- P2 4:47Shot by Marleau, saved by Howard
- P2 6:01Shot by Lindholm, saved by Howard
- P2 6:03Sulak: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: DET Vanek, Nyquist, Athanasiou, Hicketts, Sulak · TOR Kadri, Marincin, Brown, Dermott, Lindholm
- P2 6:29Shot by Helm, saved by Andersen4v5
- P2 7:30Goal by Matthews (Rielly, Kadri)4v5+15 pts WP
On ice: DET Abdelkader, Jensen, DeKeyser, Ehn · TOR Tavares, Kadri, Rielly, Marner, Matthews
- P2 7:42Shot by Lindholm, saved by Howard
- P2 8:24Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Howard
- P2 8:33Matthews: Holding (2 min)
On ice: DET Kronwall, Vanek, Nyquist, Jensen, Athanasiou · TOR Marleau, Gardiner, Kapanen, Matthews, Zaitsev
- P2 10:25Shot by Marner, saved by Howard5v4
- P2 12:37Shot by Rielly, saved by Howard
- P2 14:00Shot by Marleau, saved by Howard
- P2 14:34Shot by Dermott, saved by Howard
- P2 16:07Shot by Lindholm, saved by Howard
- P2 16:28Sulak: Hooking (2 min)5v6
On ice: DET Abdelkader, Mantha, Larkin, Hicketts, Sulak · TOR Hainsey, Kadri, Rielly, Brown, Matthews, Lindholm
- P2 16:41Shot by Marner, saved by Howard4v5
- P2 19:17Shot by Jensen, saved by Andersen
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 1:20Shot by Rielly, saved by Howard
- P3 1:50Shot by Nielsen, saved by Andersen
- P3 1:54Shot by Hicketts, saved by Andersen
- P3 2:01Shot by Sulak, saved by Andersen
- P3 4:17Shot by Hicketts, saved by Andersen
- P3 4:32Shot by Leivo, saved by Howard
- P3 5:51Shot by Nielsen, saved by Andersen
- P3 7:37Shot by Tavares, saved by Howard
- P3 7:59Shot by Nielsen, saved by Andersen
- P3 9:44Shot by Hyman, saved by Howard
- P3 10:10Shot by Jensen, saved by Andersen
- P3 10:18Goal by Jensen (Glendening, Mantha)+13 pts WP
On ice: DET Jensen, Glendening, Athanasiou, DeKeyser, Mantha · TOR Marleau, Gardiner, Kapanen, Matthews, Zaitsev
- P3 11:01DeKeyser: Holding (2 min)
On ice: DET Nielsen, Abdelkader, Jensen, DeKeyser, Bertuzzi · TOR Hainsey, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Marner
- P3 11:10Shot by Marner, saved by Howard4v5
- P3 11:11Goal by Matthews (Kadri, Tavares)4v5+13 pts WP
On ice: DET Kronwall, Helm, Jensen, Glendening · TOR Tavares, Kadri, Rielly, Marner, Matthews
- P3 11:50Hainsey: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: DET Vanek, Nyquist, Larkin, Hicketts, Sulak · TOR Hainsey, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Marner
- P3 11:57Shot by Nielsen, saved by Andersen5v4
- P3 11:59Shot by Mantha, saved by Andersen5v4
- P3 12:28Shot by Marincin, saved by Howard5v4
- P3 12:42Shot by Kapanen, saved by Howard5v4
- P3 13:56Goal by Larkin (Bertuzzi, Hronek)+10 pts WP
On ice: DET Nyquist, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Hronek, Rasmussen · TOR Hainsey, Marincin, Hyman, Zaitsev, Lindholm
- P3 10:10Shot by Glendening, saved by Andersen
- P3 10:16Shot by Jensen, saved by Andersen
- P3 15:38Marincin: High sticking (2 min)
On ice: DET Nielsen, Abdelkader, Bertuzzi, Hicketts, Sulak · TOR Kadri, Marincin, Brown, Dermott, Lindholm
- P3 15:38Abdelkader: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: DET Nielsen, Abdelkader, Bertuzzi, Hicketts, Sulak · TOR Kadri, Marincin, Brown, Dermott, Lindholm
- P3 16:29Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Andersen4v4
- P3 17:09Shot by Sulak, saved by Andersen4v4
- P3 17:30Shot by Mantha, saved by Andersen4v4
- P3 18:13Shot by Nyquist, saved by Andersen
- P3 18:39Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Andersen6v5
- P3 19:39Goal by Hainsey (Tavares, Zaitsev)6v5+2 pts WP
On ice: DET Kronwall, Nielsen, Vanek, Nyquist, Mantha, Larkin · TOR Hainsey, Tavares, Hyman, Kapanen, Zaitsev
- P3 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Final