Thu, Oct 11, 2018·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Detroit Red Wings 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 72% of the time.
21%
65%
DET winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Nikita ZaitsevD · #22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 24:17 | 0.12 | 28.5% | +1.7 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 22:05 | 0.18 | 70.0% | +33.1 |
 Ron HainseyD · #2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:01 | 0.52 | 66.4% | +1.7 |
 Jake GardinerD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:42 | 0.03 | 39.2% | 0.0 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 2 | 0 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 19:35 | 0.79 | 42.6% | +28.3 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 18:36 | 0.36 | 68.7% | +38.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 3 | 18:35 | 0.54 | 72.2% | +52.6 |
 Kasperi KapanenRW · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:49 | 0.31 | 37.3% | 0.0 |
 Patrick MarleauC · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:00 | 0.22 | 41.8% | 0.0 |
 Par LindholmC · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:35 | 0.37 | 49.5% | 0.0 |
 Zach HymanLW · #11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:14 | 0.16 | 71.1% | +20.3 |
 Nazem KadriC · #43 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16:05 | 0.40 | 54.9% | +28.3 |
 Connor BrownRW · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:39 | 0.17 | 55.8% | 0.0 |
 Martin MarincinD · #52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:06 | 0.01 | 53.9% | 0.0 |
 Travis DermottD · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:41 | 0.05 | 65.3% | 0.0 |
 Tyler EnnisRW · #63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:17 | 0.09 | 64.6% | 0.0 |
 Josh LeivoLW · #32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:24 | 0.14 | 64.6% | 0.0 |
 Frederik GauthierC · #33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:27 | 0.00 | 57.9% | 0.0 |
 Frederik Andersen#31 | W | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 2.99 | 0.0 | 59:52 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Dylan LarkinC · #71 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:17 | 0.39 | 49.0% | +10.4 |
 Niklas KronwallD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:16 | 0.07 | 32.5% | 0.0 |
 Nick JensenD · #3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 21:20 | 0.45 | 37.3% | +29.0 |
 Filip HronekD · #17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:44 | 0.04 | 46.9% | +10.4 |
 Danny DeKeyserD · #65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:25 | 0.01 | 53.9% | 0.0 |
 Thomas VanekLW · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:58 | 0.33 | 58.0% | 0.0 |
 Anthony ManthaRW · #39 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:51 | 0.39 | 51.1% | +13.0 |
 Gustav NyquistRW · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:01 | 0.04 | 57.6% | 0.0 |
 Tyler BertuzziLW · #59 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:51 | 0.16 | 37.3% | +10.4 |
 Libor SulakD · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:44 | 0.12 | 48.8% | 0.0 |
 Frans NielsenC · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 4 | 16:31 | 0.27 | 38.0% | 0.0 |
 Andreas AthanasiouC · #72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 16:16 | 0.50 | 62.4% | 0.0 |
 Joe HickettsD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:10 | 0.05 | 59.4% | 0.0 |
 Justin AbdelkaderLW · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:34 | 0.00 | 17.3% | 0.0 |
 Luke GlendeningC · #41 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 12:42 | 0.06 | 66.7% | +13.0 |
 Michael RasmussenC · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:24 | 0.00 | 15.7% | 0.0 |
 Darren HelmC · #43 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:55 | 0.11 | 45.7% | +16.1 |
 Christoffer EhnC · #70 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 9:47 | 0.00 | 45.6% | +16.1 |
 Jimmy Howard#35 | L | 34 | 30 | 4 | .882 | 3.96 | 0.0 | 58:37 |