Skip to content
Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 11, 2018·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Detroit Red Wings 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 72% of the time.

DET winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Marleau–Kapanen–MatthewsTavares–Hyman–MarnerKadri–Brown–LindholmEnnis–Leivo–GauthierGauthier–Kapanen–LindholmGardiner–ZaitsevHainsey–RiellyMarincin–DermottHainsey–Zaitsev
Vanek–Nyquist–Athanasiou1:450.21–0.221:540.09–0.121:030.01–0.001:190.00–0.191:350.21–0.033:180.10–0.15
Helm–Glendening–Ehn1:070.00–0.001:460.21–0.000:420.00–0.001:290.00–0.143:450.10–0.140:460.00–0.000:470.11–0.00
Bertuzzi–Mantha–Larkin2:340.05–0.170:370.00–0.001:580.05–0.001:150.00–0.161:180.07–0.00
Vanek–Nyquist–Larkin1:130.05–0.001:180.00–0.000:510.02–0.001:560.46–0.001:580.05–0.000:470.00–0.05
Nielsen–Abdelkader–Rasmussen2:060.00–0.401:290.03–0.001:310.00–0.12
Nielsen–Abdelkader–Bertuzzi0:410.03–0.001:130.00–0.120:480.01–0.001:250.03–0.001:250.00–0.12
Abdelkader–Mantha–Larkin0:410.08–0.090:300.00–0.001:270.00–0.380:410.08–0.091:470.07–0.38
Glendening–Athanasiou–Mantha0:580.20–0.000:330.03–0.000:530.00–0.001:400.20–0.00
Nielsen–Bertuzzi–Rasmussen0:360.05–0.001:050.00–0.001:060.00–0.001:010.05–0.00
Hicketts–Sulak0:470.21–0.011:040.00–0.006:400.28–0.392:120.09–0.002:310.02–0.004:450.42–0.284:130.15–0.18
Kronwall–Jensen2:540.12–0.294:400.11–0.400:310.00–0.004:020.07–0.193:460.00–0.122:450.23–0.19
DeKeyser–Hronek4:580.51–0.340:540.10–0.131:020.00–0.111:530.00–0.145:410.64–0.232:230.00–0.351:270.00–0.000:350.00–0.00
Jensen–DeKeyser1:310.23–0.041:450.05–0.121:260.25–0.001:290.03–0.040:370.00–0.12
Kronwall–Hronek1:220.00–0.041:030.01–0.001:120.00–0.041:340.01–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndAbdelkader FMantha FLarkin FRasmussen FNielsen FBertuzzi FVanek FAthanasiou FNyquist FGlendening FHelm FEhn FHronek DDeKeyser DJensen DKronwall DHicketts DSulak DHoward GMarleau FKapanen FMatthews FHyman FMarner FTavares FLindholm FKadri FBrown FEnnis FLeivo FGauthier FZaitsev DGardiner DHainsey DRielly DDermott DMarincin DAndersen G
DETTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Nikita ZaitsevTOR2824:170:521:55510
Dylan LarkinDET2522:170:531:3153
Niklas KronwallDET2722:160:491:4242
Morgan RiellyTOR2522:050:532:1930
Ron HainseyTOR2322:010:571:5522
Nick JensenDET2721:200:471:4227
Jake GardinerTOR2519:420:471:4537
Auston MatthewsTOR2419:350:491:2871
Filip HronekDET2518:440:451:3642
Mitch MarnerTOR2318:360:491:2772
John TavaresTOR2418:350:461:2773
Danny DeKeyserDET2618:250:431:2744
Thomas VanekDET2117:580:512:0150
Anthony ManthaDET2217:510:491:2852
Kasperi KapanenTOR2317:490:461:1642
Gustav NyquistDET2117:010:492:0740
Patrick MarleauTOR2417:000:431:1752
Tyler BertuzziDET1916:510:531:3522
Libor SulakDET2416:440:421:1932
Par LindholmTOR2416:350:411:1613
Frans NielsenDET2216:310:451:5524
Andreas AthanasiouDET2316:160:421:2141
Zach HymanTOR2516:140:391:1445
Nazem KadriTOR2016:050:482:0141
Joe HickettsDET2315:100:401:0230
Connor BrownTOR2614:390:341:0711
Martin MarincinTOR2314:060:371:2002
Justin AbdelkaderDET2113:340:390:5813
Luke GlendeningDET2112:420:361:2248
Travis DermottTOR2212:410:351:1311
Michael RasmussenDET1310:240:481:0922
Darren HelmDET169:550:371:0235
Christoffer EhnDET159:470:391:1221
Tyler EnnisTOR108:170:501:1702
Josh LeivoTOR97:240:491:1702
Frederik GauthierTOR96:270:431:0302