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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 18, 2018·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Detroit Red Wings 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 74% of the time.

TBL winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:53Shot by Daley, saved by Vasilevskiy
  3. P1 0:55Shot by Daley, saved by Vasilevskiy
  4. P1 1:05Shot by Johnson, saved by Howard
  5. P1 1:27Shot by Coburn, saved by Howard
  6. P1 2:14Shot by Coburn, saved by Howard
  7. P1 5:04Shot by Witkowski, saved by Vasilevskiy
  8. P1 5:19Kronwall: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Stamkos, Gourde, Point, Sergachev · DET Kronwall, Nielsen, Vanek, Jensen, Mantha

  9. P1 5:27Shot by Stamkos, saved by Howard5v4
  10. P1 5:35Shot by Kucherov, saved by Howard5v4
  11. P1 5:37Shot by Killorn, saved by Howard5v4
  12. P1 6:11Shot by Ehn, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  13. P1 6:19Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  14. P1 6:24Shot by Miller, saved by Howard5v4
  15. P1 7:33Goal by Point (Gourde, Palat)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Johnson, Palat, Gourde, Point, Sergachev · DET Kronwall, Daley, Nielsen, Jensen, Glendening

  16. P1 8:29Shot by Larkin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  17. P1 9:36Glendening: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Johnson, Palat, Kucherov, Sergachev · DET Daley, Abdelkader, Glendening, Cholowski, Rasmussen

  18. P1 10:44Shot by Johnson, saved by Howard5v4
  19. P1 11:32Shot by Stamkos, saved by Howard5v4
  20. P1 13:28Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Vasilevskiy
  21. P1 15:15Shot by Hedman, saved by Howard
  22. P1 15:51Shot by Stralman, saved by Howard
  23. P1 16:53Shot by Nielsen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  24. P1 18:31Shot by McDonagh, saved by Howard
  25. P1 18:50Miller: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Callahan, Miller, Paquette, Sergachev · DET Daley, Abdelkader, Glendening, Larkin, Cholowski, Rasmussen

  26. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:18Shot by Mantha, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  29. P2 0:26Shot by Vanek, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  30. P2 1:44Shot by Kucherov, saved by Howard
  31. P2 3:28Shot by Witkowski, saved by Vasilevskiy
  32. P2 3:56Miller: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Callahan, Stralman, McDonagh, Miller, Paquette · DET Nielsen, Witkowski, Athanasiou, Bertuzzi, Hicketts

  33. P2 5:02Shot by Kronwall, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  34. P2 5:11Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  35. P2 5:16Shot by Hedman, saved by Howard4v5
  36. P2 6:19Shot by Glendening, saved by Vasilevskiy
  37. P2 6:20Goal by Glendening (Daley, Abdelkader)+22 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Girardi, Johnson, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov · DET Daley, Helm, Nyquist, Glendening, Cholowski

  38. P2 7:58Shot by Vanek, saved by Vasilevskiy
  39. P2 8:10Shot by Hicketts, saved by Vasilevskiy
  40. P2 9:19Shot by Larkin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  41. P2 11:35Shot by McDonagh, saved by Howard
  42. P2 12:07Shot by Nielsen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  43. P2 12:08Bertuzzi: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Callahan, Miller, Paquette, Sergachev · DET Kronwall, Nielsen, Jensen, Athanasiou, Bertuzzi

  44. P2 12:08Paquette: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Callahan, Miller, Paquette, Sergachev · DET Kronwall, Nielsen, Jensen, Athanasiou, Bertuzzi

  45. P2 12:08Paquette: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Callahan, Miller, Paquette, Sergachev · DET Kronwall, Nielsen, Jensen, Athanasiou, Bertuzzi

  46. P2 13:28Shot by Joseph, saved by Howard4v5
  47. P2 13:43Shot by Callahan, saved by Howard4v5
  48. P2 14:34Shot by Daley, saved by Vasilevskiy
  49. P2 16:28Shot by Cholowski, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  50. P2 15:19Goal by Stamkos (Kucherov, Sergachev)+25 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Stamkos, Johnson, Kucherov, Sergachev · DET Daley, Abdelkader, Helm, Glendening, Cholowski

  51. P2 15:33Palat: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Girardi, Hedman, Palat, Gourde, Point · DET Nielsen, Witkowski, Athanasiou, Bertuzzi, Hicketts

  52. P2 12:53Shot by Cholowski, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  53. P2 18:56Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Vasilevskiy
  54. P2 18:59Shot by Kronwall, saved by Vasilevskiy
  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 2:23Shot by Coburn, saved by Howard
  58. P3 4:13Ehn: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL Girardi, Stamkos, Johnson, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov · DET Witkowski, Athanasiou, Mantha, Ehn, Hicketts

  59. P3 4:50Shot by Stamkos, saved by Howard5v4
  60. P3 5:43Shot by Johnson, saved by Howard5v4
  61. P3 5:58Shot by Sergachev, saved by Howard5v4
  62. P3 6:17Shot by Point, saved by Howard
  63. P3 7:01Shot by Joseph, saved by Howard
  64. P3 7:24Shot by Girardi, saved by Howard
  65. P3 7:28Shot by Hedman, saved by Howard
  66. P3 7:40Kronwall: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Stamkos, Gourde, Point, Sergachev · DET Kronwall, Abdelkader, Helm, Jensen, Glendening

  67. P3 10:22Shot by Mantha, saved by Vasilevskiy
  68. P3 10:50Shot by Mantha, saved by Vasilevskiy
  69. P3 11:52Shot by Mantha, saved by Vasilevskiy
  70. P3 15:17Shot by Johnson, saved by Howard
  71. P3 16:11Shot by Girardi, saved by Howard
  72. P3 16:24Shot by Hicketts, saved by Vasilevskiy
  73. P3 17:05Shot by Stamkos, saved by Howard
  74. P3 17:17Shot by Kronwall, saved by Vasilevskiy
  75. P3 17:21Shot by Nyquist, saved by Vasilevskiy
  76. P3 18:53Goal by Killorn (McDonagh)5v6+4 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Killorn, McDonagh, Joseph, Cirelli · DET Daley, Nielsen, Vanek, Athanasiou, Bertuzzi, Mantha

  77. P3 19:21Coburn: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Callahan, Miller, Paquette, Sergachev · DET Kronwall, Daley, Helm, Nyquist, Larkin

  78. P3 0:00Period end4v6
  79. P3 0:00Final4v6