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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 18, 2018·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Detroit Red Wings 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 74% of the time.

TBL winsDET wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DET's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Helm–Nyquist–LarkinNielsen–Athanasiou–BertuzziVanek–Mantha–EhnAbdelkader–Glendening–RasmussenAbdelkader–Helm–GlendeningNyquist–Larkin–RasmussenNyquist–Glendening–LarkinDaley–CholowskiKronwall–JensenWitkowski–HickettsDaley–JensenJensen–HickettsKronwall–WitkowskiDaley–HickettsKronwall–Daley
Stamkos–Gourde–Point1:460.00–0.081:420.00–0.001:110.10–0.001:050.00–0.002:210.25–0.004:280.10–0.081:050.00–0.021:030.00–0.000:460.00–0.00
Johnson–Palat–Kucherov1:020.05–0.003:330.02–0.380:570.02–0.000:370.00–0.000:340.00–0.093:270.13–0.473:270.00–0.251:130.00–0.051:070.00–0.00
Callahan–Miller–Paquette1:320.00–0.001:420.01–0.071:420.06–0.000:330.00–0.042:230.03–0.101:160.02–0.142:330.05–0.00
Killorn–Joseph–Cirelli3:230.00–0.040:590.00–0.000:350.06–0.002:350.00–0.011:230.00–0.001:180.06–0.03
Callahan–Paquette–Joseph0:350.00–0.00
Stralman–McDonagh4:380.00–0.102:100.01–0.082:050.04–0.000:350.06–0.003:030.14–0.105:260.00–0.203:030.11–0.030:360.00–0.000:330.00–0.05
Girardi–Hedman2:330.05–0.023:130.02–0.201:280.00–0.000:490.00–0.040:340.00–0.094:490.14–0.473:150.10–0.133:380.00–0.03
Coburn–Sergachev1:370.00–0.001:450.00–0.161:260.10–0.150:490.04–0.001:430.09–0.003:420.21–0.002:380.02–0.141:560.00–0.191:160.01–0.000:410.00–0.000:380.00–0.00
Girardi–McDonagh0:360.00–0.000:310.00–0.000:350.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndJoseph FKillorn FCirelli FPoint FGourde FStamkos FJohnson FPalat FKucherov FMiller FPaquette FCallahan FStralman DMcDonagh DGirardi DHedman DSergachev DCoburn DVasilevskiy GNyquist FHelm FLarkin FNielsen FBertuzzi FAthanasiou FAbdelkader FGlendening FRasmussen FVanek FMantha FEhn FWitkowski FJensen DKronwall DCholowski DDaley DHicketts DHoward G
TBLDETFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Trevor DaleyDET3123:020:452:1949
Dylan LarkinDET3022:430:451:5868
Ryan McDonaghTBL2522:040:531:3546
Dennis CholowskiDET3121:580:431:19114
Anton StralmanTBL2521:330:521:4845
Nick JensenDET2721:120:471:3148
Victor HedmanTBL2521:030:512:0958
Frans NielsenDET2719:460:442:2982
Gustav NyquistDET2419:330:491:3175
Niklas KronwallDET3019:240:391:1576
Yanni GourdeTBL2219:190:531:3354
Andreas AthanasiouDET2118:320:532:2851
Tyler JohnsonTBL2218:250:501:4327
Dan GirardiTBL2317:490:461:1238
Steven StamkosTBL1717:321:021:5034
Mikhail SergachevTBL2116:580:481:3532
Nikita KucherovTBL1816:100:541:5634
Joe HickettsDET2716:080:361:2504
Brayden PointTBL2016:060:481:3354
Ondrej PalatTBL1915:550:501:3513
Tyler BertuzziDET2415:390:391:2082
Alex KillornTBL2215:270:421:1365
Darren HelmDET2214:450:401:1725
Luke GlendeningDET2414:290:361:3929
J.T. MillerTBL2013:330:411:3663
Anthony ManthaDET1713:130:471:1560
Justin AbdelkaderDET1913:020:411:3225
Thomas VanekDET1912:500:411:0970
Cedric PaquetteTBL1812:450:431:2133
Anthony CirelliTBL2012:210:371:1146
Mathieu JosephTBL2011:520:361:1243
Braydon CoburnTBL1811:420:391:3132
Ryan CallahanTBL1711:030:391:1233
Luke WitkowskiDET1710:340:371:2510
Michael RasmussenDET139:560:461:2853
Christoffer EhnDET86:480:511:3101