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Ice Lab

Thu, Nov 1, 2018·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Nashville Predators 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 57% of the time.

TBL winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:35Shot by Stralman, saved by Rinne
  3. P1 1:06Shot by Smith, saved by Vasilevskiy
  4. P1 1:35Shot by McDonagh, saved by Rinne
  5. P1 1:41Point: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stralman, McDonagh, Johnson, Gourde, Point · NSH Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Forsberg, Sissons

  6. P1 1:45Shot by Ellis, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  7. P1 3:56Shot by Johnson, saved by Rinne
  8. P1 5:27Shot by Turris, saved by Vasilevskiy
  9. P1 5:39Shot by Smith, saved by Vasilevskiy
  10. P1 6:02Goal by Turris (Ekholm, Jarnkrok)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Miller, Joseph, Cirelli, Sergachev · NSH Turris, Ekholm, Smith, Irwin, Jarnkrok

  11. P1 6:15Shot by Joseph, saved by Rinne
  12. P1 6:24Shot by Sergachev, saved by Rinne
  13. P1 7:01Shot by Josi, saved by Vasilevskiy
  14. P1 7:55Shot by Bonino, saved by Vasilevskiy
  15. P1 8:56Shot by Miller, saved by Rinne
  16. P1 9:05Shot by Stralman, saved by Rinne
  17. P1 9:58Shot by Subban, saved by Vasilevskiy
  18. P1 10:16Shot by Coburn, saved by Rinne
  19. P1 10:36Shot by Joseph, saved by Rinne
  20. P1 11:38Shot by Paquette, saved by Rinne
  21. P1 13:49Shot by Stamkos, saved by Rinne
  22. P1 14:30Shot by Joseph, saved by Rinne
  23. P1 15:15Shot by Ekholm, saved by Vasilevskiy
  24. P1 15:47Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Vasilevskiy
  25. P1 15:50Shot by Ellis, saved by Vasilevskiy
  26. P1 16:06Shot by Ellis, saved by Vasilevskiy
  27. P1 16:47Shot by Sergachev, saved by Rinne
  28. P1 19:26Shot by Ekholm, saved by Vasilevskiy
  29. P1 19:38Shot by Johansen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  30. P1 19:53Goal by Josi (Johansen, Ellis)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stralman, McDonagh, Stamkos, Kucherov, Miller · NSH Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Forsberg, Fiala

  31. P1 0:00Period end
  32. P2 0:00Period start
  33. P2 0:29Shot by Gourde, saved by Rinne
  34. P2 3:21Shot by Smith, saved by Vasilevskiy
  35. P2 4:49Shot by Sissons, saved by Vasilevskiy
  36. P2 5:12Shot by Coburn, saved by Rinne
  37. P2 5:47Shot by Kucherov, saved by Rinne6v5
  38. P2 5:48Ekholm: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Stamkos, Kucherov, Miller, Point, Sergachev · NSH Ellis, Ekholm, Hartman, Gaudreau, Fiala

  39. P2 6:20Shot by Erne, saved by Rinne5v4
  40. P2 6:19Shot by Gourde, saved by Rinne5v4
  41. P2 7:15Shot by McDonagh, saved by Rinne5v4
  42. P2 7:45Shot by Sergachev, saved by Rinne5v4
  43. P2 8:19Shot by Killorn, saved by Rinne
  44. P2 8:32Shot by Turris, saved by Vasilevskiy
  45. P2 8:42Shot by Paquette, saved by Rinne
  46. P2 11:39Shot by McDonagh, saved by Rinne
  47. P2 12:06Shot by McDonagh, saved by Rinne
  48. P2 12:03Shot by Point, saved by Rinne
  49. P2 14:21Goal by Koekkoek (Killorn, Cirelli)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Girardi, Killorn, Koekkoek, Joseph, Cirelli · NSH Josi, Ellis, Grimaldi, Salomaki, Gaudreau

  50. P2 14:47Shot by Stamkos, saved by Rinne
  51. P2 16:44Shot by Johnson, saved by Rinne
  52. P2 17:19Shot by Callahan, saved by Rinne
  53. P2 17:27Shot by Fiala, saved by Vasilevskiy
  54. P2 18:25Shot by Coburn, saved by Rinne
  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 1:48Shot by Miller, saved by Rinne
  58. P3 3:10Shot by Weber, saved by Vasilevskiy
  59. P3 4:25Shot by Stralman, saved by Rinne
  60. P3 4:30Josi: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stralman, McDonagh, Johnson, Gourde, Point · NSH Turris, Josi, Smith, Irwin, Jarnkrok

  61. P3 8:53Shot by Forsberg, saved by Vasilevskiy
  62. P3 9:00Shot by Sissons, saved by Vasilevskiy
  63. P3 10:19Shot by Joseph, saved by Rinne
  64. P3 11:38Shot by McDonagh, saved by Rinne
  65. P3 13:13Shot by Gourde, saved by Rinne
  66. P3 13:13Shot by McDonagh, saved by Rinne
  67. P3 13:30Shot by Koekkoek, saved by Rinne
  68. P3 14:44Shot by Stamkos, saved by Rinne
  69. P3 14:59Shot by McDonagh, saved by Rinne
  70. P3 15:51Shot by Sergachev, saved by Rinne
  71. P3 16:42Goal by Jarnkrok (Johansen)+8 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stralman, McDonagh, Stamkos, Kucherov, Miller · NSH Subban, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Johansen, Sissons

  72. P3 17:22Shot by Killorn, saved by Rinne
  73. P3 17:36Goal by Salomaki (Hartman, Turris)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Killorn, Johnson, Koekkoek, Point, Joseph · NSH Turris, Josi, Ellis, Salomaki, Hartman

  74. P3 19:14Shot by Koekkoek, saved by Rinne
  75. P3 19:55Shot by Gourde, saved by Rinne
  76. P3 0:00Period end
  77. P3 0:00Final