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Ice Lab

Thu, Nov 1, 2018·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Nashville Predators 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 57% of the time.

TBL winsNSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Johansen–Forsberg–SissonsTurris–Smith–JarnkrokBonino–Hartman–FialaGrimaldi–Salomaki–GaudreauTurris–Smith–FialaSubban–EkholmJosi–EllisWeber–IrwinEllis–Ekholm
Stamkos–Kucherov–Miller2:410.07–0.003:390.22–0.263:570.13–0.080:330.03–0.009:010.51–0.361:560.06–0.290:380.03–0.00
Johnson–Gourde–Point7:000.43–0.262:580.12–0.071:320.28–0.003:500.39–0.137:190.47–0.261:450.22–0.00
Killorn–Joseph–Cirelli2:030.00–0.094:260.06–0.072:270.07–0.001:520.20–0.162:020.03–0.095:500.07–0.063:060.26–0.00
Callahan–Paquette–Erne0:570.00–0.000:390.00–0.002:110.08–0.052:590.02–0.092:040.08–0.020:450.00–0.045:400.02–0.09
Stralman–McDonagh9:420.39–0.221:440.09–0.001:000.03–0.000:420.00–0.065:150.50–0.247:500.33–0.572:210.03–0.00
Coburn–Sergachev1:250.00–0.136:420.05–0.222:390.27–0.003:270.17–0.105:490.16–0.173:280.09–0.065:400.25–0.00
Girardi–Koekkoek1:000.00–0.002:560.19–0.075:250.10–0.142:010.06–0.090:330.03–0.004:500.16–0.023:460.17–0.153:060.06–0.090:400.03–0.00
Coburn–Stralman0:480.12–0.070:370.10–0.00
Koekkoek–Sergachev0:470.10–0.001:020.21–0.00
Girardi–McDonagh0:340.16–0.000:520.05–0.06
Coburn–Koekkoek0:490.00–0.16
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndJohnson FPoint FGourde FCirelli FMiller FKucherov FStamkos FKillorn FPaquette FCallahan FJoseph FErne FStralman DMcDonagh DCoburn DSergachev DGirardi DKoekkoek DVasilevskiy GForsberg FSissons FJohansen FSmith FJarnkrok FTurris FFiala FHartman FBonino FGrimaldi FSalomaki FGaudreau FEkholm DSubban DWeber DIrwin DEllis DJosi DRinne G
TBLNSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Ryan EllisNSH2823:010:491:56110
Mattias EkholmNSH3122:360:441:2864
Roman JosiNSH2822:220:481:56010
P.K. SubbanNSH3021:570:441:2355
Ryan McDonaghTBL2621:510:501:4854
Anton StralmanTBL2920:070:421:2834
Mikhail SergachevTBL2519:560:481:2581
Braydon CoburnTBL2619:330:451:2662
Ryan JohansenNSH2718:310:411:1655
Calle JarnkrokNSH2618:190:421:2124
Nikita KucherovTBL2017:390:531:4684
Filip ForsbergNSH2717:360:391:1155
Tyler JohnsonTBL2717:340:391:0965
J.T. MillerTBL2017:260:522:0884
Slater KoekkoekTBL2017:210:521:4233
Steven StamkosTBL2017:130:521:4184
Nick BoninoNSH2117:130:491:4806
Craig SmithNSH2217:070:471:2122
Yanni GourdeTBL2517:020:411:1254
Dan GirardiTBL2117:000:491:2932
Colton SissonsNSH2716:590:381:0645
Kyle TurrisNSH2216:530:461:2133
Brayden PointTBL2716:270:371:0645
Alex KillornTBL2016:150:491:2261
Ryan HartmanNSH1815:590:531:3313
Matt IrwinNSH2015:520:481:3601
Kevin FialaNSH1815:100:511:4223
Anthony CirelliTBL1913:500:441:1341
Mathieu JosephTBL1813:390:461:0640
Yannick WeberNSH1713:280:481:2600
Adam ErneTBL1611:590:451:1632
Ryan CallahanTBL1511:550:481:0822
Cedric PaquetteTBL1411:290:491:1612
Miikka SalomakiNSH138:180:381:0221
Rocco GrimaldiNSH127:350:381:0221
Frederick GaudreauNSH127:040:351:0221