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Ice Lab

Thu, Nov 1, 2018·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Colorado Avalanche 5, Calgary Flames 6

Away

Colorado Avalanche

5

Final

Home

Calgary Flames

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 78% of the time.

CGY winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:34Frolik: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Frolik, Backlund, Brodie, Tkachuk · COL Cole, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen

  3. P1 3:52Shot by Hanifin, saved by Varlamov
  4. P1 4:54Shot by Backlund, saved by Varlamov
  5. P1 5:19Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Smith
  6. P1 6:11Shot by Brodie, saved by Varlamov
  7. P1 7:07Shot by Bourque, saved by Smith
  8. P1 7:44Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Varlamov
  9. P1 8:38Shot by Bennett, saved by Varlamov
  10. P1 8:50Shot by Jankowski, saved by Varlamov
  11. P1 11:10Shot by Hathaway, saved by Varlamov
  12. P1 12:51Shot by Rantanen, saved by Smith
  13. P1 12:55Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Smith
  14. P1 15:41Shot by Frolik, saved by Varlamov
  15. P1 16:37Shot by Hamonic, saved by Varlamov
  16. P1 17:48Shot by Ryan, saved by Varlamov
  17. P1 18:04Shot by Hanifin, saved by Varlamov
  18. P1 19:20Shot by Giordano, saved by Varlamov
  19. P1 19:27Shot by Giordano, saved by Varlamov
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 1:01Shot by Monahan, saved by Varlamov
  23. P2 1:18Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Varlamov
  24. P2 1:31Calvert: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CGY Neal, Hamonic, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan, Hanifin · COL Soderberg, Johnson, Calvert, Nieto, Girard

  25. P2 2:43Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Varlamov5v4
  26. P2 2:45Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Varlamov5v4
  27. P2 3:22Goal by Kamenev, unassisted5v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan, Tkachuk · COL Johnson, Cole, Bourque, Kamenev

  28. P2 4:04Shot by Frolik, saved by Varlamov
  29. P2 4:14Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Smith
  30. P2 5:01Shot by Girard, saved by Smith
  31. P2 5:12Goal by Dries (Barrie, Kerfoot)+15 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Hathaway, Andersson, Ryan, Dube, Välimäki · COL Wilson, Barrie, Kerfoot, Girard, Dries

  32. P2 6:34Goal by Backlund (Tkachuk, Giordano)+15 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Frolik, Backlund, Brodie, Tkachuk · COL Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard

  33. P2 7:36Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Smith
  34. P2 8:08Shot by Girard, saved by Smith
  35. P2 8:20Rantanen: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Frolik, Backlund, Brodie, Tkachuk · COL Johnson, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard

  36. P2 8:44Shot by Giordano, saved by Varlamov5v4
  37. P2 9:15Shot by Lindholm, saved by Varlamov5v4
  38. P2 10:25Shot by Bennett, saved by Varlamov
  39. P2 11:04Goal by Wilson (Dries, Cole)+16 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Hamonic, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan, Hanifin · COL Cole, Wilson, Barrie, Kerfoot, Dries

  40. P2 12:28Shot by Soderberg, saved by Smith
  41. P2 12:30Shot by Soderberg, saved by Smith
  42. P2 13:27Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Varlamov
  43. P2 13:33Shot by Giordano, saved by Varlamov
  44. P2 16:41Goal by Soderberg (Bourque)+7 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Neal, Hamonic, Gaudreau, Jankowski, Hanifin · COL Soderberg, Cole, Calvert, Barrie, Bourque

  45. P2 16:53Bennett: Instigator (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Neal, Hamonic, Jankowski, Bennett, Hanifin · COL Cole, Barrie, Nieto, Kerfoot, Dries

  46. P2 16:53Cole: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: CGY Neal, Hamonic, Jankowski, Bennett, Hanifin · COL Cole, Barrie, Nieto, Kerfoot, Dries

  47. P2 16:53Bennett: Fighting (5 min)4v4

    On ice: CGY Neal, Hamonic, Jankowski, Bennett, Hanifin · COL Cole, Barrie, Nieto, Kerfoot, Dries

  48. P2 16:53Cole: Charging (5 min)4v4

    On ice: CGY Neal, Hamonic, Jankowski, Bennett, Hanifin · COL Cole, Barrie, Nieto, Kerfoot, Dries

  49. P2 16:53Bennett: Misconduct (10 min)4v4

    On ice: CGY Neal, Hamonic, Jankowski, Bennett, Hanifin · COL Cole, Barrie, Nieto, Kerfoot, Dries

  50. P2 16:53Cole: Game misconduct (10 min)4v4

    On ice: CGY Neal, Hamonic, Jankowski, Bennett, Hanifin · COL Cole, Barrie, Nieto, Kerfoot, Dries

  51. P2 17:14Shot by Giordano, saved by Varlamov4v4
  52. P2 19:59Shot by Giordano, saved by Varlamov5v4
  53. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 0:47Goal by Lindholm (Giordano, Monahan)5v4+6 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan, Tkachuk · COL Johnson, Calvert, Bourque, Zadorov

  56. P3 2:56Shot by Lindholm, saved by Varlamov
  57. P3 3:03Shot by Hamonic, saved by Varlamov
  58. P3 4:48Shot by Barrie, saved by Smith
  59. P3 4:56Shot by Barrie, saved by Smith
  60. P3 5:21Goal by Monahan (Hanifin, Ryan)+15 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Hamonic, Monahan, Hanifin, Ryan, Dube · COL Wilson, Barberio, Kerfoot, Kamenev, Girard

  61. P3 6:18Shot by Rantanen, saved by Smith
  62. P3 7:24Shot by Soderberg, saved by Smith
  63. P3 8:57Shot by Brodie, saved by Varlamov
  64. P3 10:52Goal by Neal (Gaudreau, Välimäki)+32 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Neal, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Andersson, Välimäki · COL Johnson, Calvert, Barberio, Nieto, Kerfoot

  65. P3 12:43Shot by Hamonic, saved by Varlamov
  66. P3 13:47Goal by Giordano (Backlund, Tkachuk)+39 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Frolik, Backlund, Brodie, Tkachuk · COL Barberio, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen

  67. P3 14:08Shot by Välimäki, saved by Varlamov
  68. P3 14:29Shot by Johnson, saved by Smith
  69. P3 14:54Goal by Frolik (Tkachuk, Giordano)+10 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Frolik, Backlund, Brodie, Tkachuk · COL Johnson, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard

  70. P3 15:13Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Varlamov
  71. P3 16:04Shot by Soderberg, saved by Smith
  72. P3 16:08Shot by Zadorov, saved by Smith
  73. P3 16:15Shot by Zadorov, saved by Smith
  74. P3 16:30Shot by Johnson, saved by Smith
  75. P3 18:47Backlund: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CGY Frolik, Backlund, Brodie, Hanifin, Tkachuk · COL Soderberg, Calvert, Barrie, MacKinnon, Kamenev, Dries

  76. P3 18:54Shot by Rantanen, saved by Smith4v6
  77. P3 18:57Goal by Landeskog (Wilson, Kerfoot)4v6+3 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Hamonic, Lindholm, Ryan · COL Wilson, Landeskog, Kerfoot, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard

  78. P3 19:36Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Smith5v6
  79. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  80. P3 0:00Final5v6