Sat, Nov 3, 2018·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Pittsburgh Penguins 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 80% of the time.
13%
73%
PIT winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 23:09 | 0.67 | 60.7% | +8.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 22:57 | 0.04 | 52.9% | +18.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 22:09 | 0.34 | 68.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 20:53 | 0.44 | 71.0% | +18.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 20:42 | 0.05 | 72.7% | +0.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 20:26 | 0.85 | 77.9% | +26.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 20:20 | 0.02 | 69.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:27 | 0.01 | 75.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:43 | 0.16 | 54.4% | +15.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:26 | 0.13 | 63.4% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 14:17 | 0.30 | 69.5% | +23.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:03 | 0.06 | 42.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:00 | 0.22 | 38.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:48 | 0.02 | 84.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:25 | 0.03 | 41.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10:09 | 0.27 | 71.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:44 | 0.00 | 64.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:37 | 0.05 | 69.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 31 | 0 | 1.000 | 1.81 | +1.8 | 59:56 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 26:59 | 0.14 | 36.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 20:37 | 0.10 | 31.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:42 | 0.12 | 37.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 6 | 19:30 | 0.42 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:14 | 0.05 | 26.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:14 | 0.02 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:13 | 0.21 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:33 | 0.09 | 30.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:10 | 0.12 | 36.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:40 | 0.02 | 31.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:42 | 0.00 | 32.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:41 | 0.13 | 22.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:39 | 0.00 | 39.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:05 | 0.19 | 25.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:00 | 0.02 | 17.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10:34 | 0.11 | 53.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:21 | 0.03 | 64.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:15 | 0.05 | 74.5% | 0.0 |
| – | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1.000 | 0.12 | +0.1 | 3:13 | |
| L | 31 | 26 | 5 | .839 | 3.55 | −1.5 | 56:47 |