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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 3, 2018·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Pittsburgh Penguins 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 80% of the time.

PIT winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:44Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Andersen
  3. P1 3:16Shot by Marner, saved by Murray
  4. P1 3:33Shot by Marner, saved by Murray
  5. P1 4:44Shot by Kapanen, saved by Murray
  6. P1 4:46Marleau: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Hornqvist, Sheahan, Rust, Oleksiak, Maatta · TOR Marleau, Gardiner, Kadri, Rielly, Kapanen

  7. P1 5:23Shot by Kessel, saved by Andersen5v4
  8. P1 7:29Shot by Sheahan, saved by Andersen
  9. P1 8:49Shot by Hyman, saved by Murray
  10. P1 9:00Shot by Marner, saved by Murray
  11. P1 9:34Goal by Tavares (Marner, Hainsey)+18 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Johnson, Ruhwedel, Guentzel, Simon · TOR Gardiner, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Marner

  12. P1 10:41Shot by Johnsson, saved by Murray
  13. P1 11:28Shot by Letang, saved by Andersen
  14. P1 11:52Shot by Marner, saved by Murray
  15. P1 12:32Shot by Kessel, saved by Andersen
  16. P1 12:47Shot by Kadri, saved by Murray
  17. P1 13:39Shot by Lindholm, saved by Murray
  18. P1 13:41Shot by Brown, saved by Murray
  19. P1 14:07Shot by Tavares, saved by Murray
  20. P1 15:26Shot by Cullen, saved by Andersen
  21. P1 17:28Shot by Gauthier, saved by Murray
  22. P1 17:48Shot by Letang, saved by Andersen
  23. P1 18:39Shot by Grant, saved by Andersen
  24. P1 19:14Shot by Crosby, saved by Andersen
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:26Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Andersen
  28. P2 0:44Goal by Marleau (Kapanen, Kadri)+15 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Kessel, Hagelin, Oleksiak, Maatta · TOR Marleau, Gardiner, Kadri, Kapanen, Zaitsev

  29. P2 1:21Ozhiganov: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Johnson, Dumoulin, Sheahan, Rust, Guentzel · TOR Brown, Johnsson, Dermott, Ozhiganov, Lindholm

  30. P2 1:56Shot by Malkin, saved by Andersen5v4
  31. P2 2:19Shot by Letang, saved by Andersen5v4
  32. P2 2:21Shot by Kessel, saved by Andersen5v4
  33. P2 2:47Shot by Lindholm, saved by Murray5v4
  34. P2 3:13Shot by Rielly, saved by Murray5v4
  35. P2 3:22Kadri: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Sheahan, Rust, Oleksiak, Maatta, Guentzel · TOR Marleau, Gardiner, Kadri, Zaitsev, Ozhiganov

  36. P2 3:48Shot by Lindholm, saved by Murray5v4
  37. P2 5:20Shot by Marner, saved by Murray5v4
  38. P2 6:23Shot by Ennis, saved by Murray
  39. P2 6:48Shot by Guentzel, saved by Andersen
  40. P2 8:17Shot by Hainsey, saved by DeSmith
  41. P2 9:33Shot by Ennis, saved by DeSmith
  42. P2 9:37Oleksiak: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Kessel, Hagelin, Oleksiak, Maatta · TOR Gardiner, Ennis, Leivo, Gauthier, Ozhiganov

  43. P2 10:06Shot by Tavares, saved by Murray4v5
  44. P2 10:32Shot by Tavares, saved by Murray4v5
  45. P2 11:18Shot by Ennis, saved by Murray4v5
  46. P2 11:22Shot by Rust, saved by Andersen4v5
  47. P2 11:49Goal by Rielly (Tavares, Kapanen)+8 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Hornqvist, Hagelin, Dumoulin, Ruhwedel · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Kapanen, Marner, Ozhiganov

  48. P2 11:58Shot by Gardiner, saved by Murray
  49. P2 12:41Shot by Maatta, saved by Andersen
  50. P2 12:49Shot by Johnson, saved by Andersen
  51. P2 15:38Rust: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Johnson, Letang, Sheahan, Rust, Guentzel · TOR Brown, Johnsson, Dermott, Ozhiganov, Lindholm

  52. P2 16:07Shot by Marner, saved by Murray4v5
  53. P2 16:44Shot by Tavares, saved by Murray4v5
  54. P2 17:19Shot by Cullen, saved by Andersen4v5
  55. P2 18:40Shot by Ennis, saved by Murray
  56. P2 19:33Shot by Tavares, saved by Murray
  57. P2 0:00Period end
  58. P3 0:00Period start
  59. P3 0:46Shot by Maatta, saved by Andersen
  60. P3 1:00Shot by Kessel, saved by Andersen
  61. P3 2:11Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Andersen
  62. P3 3:32Ozhiganov: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Johnson, Grant, Ruhwedel, Sprong · TOR Ennis, Leivo, Gauthier, Dermott, Ozhiganov

  63. P3 5:44Shot by Cullen, saved by Andersen
  64. P3 6:15Shot by Gardiner, saved by Murray
  65. P3 7:21Shot by Simon, saved by Andersen
  66. P3 8:25Shot by Sheahan, saved by Andersen
  67. P3 8:59Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Andersen
  68. P3 9:07Shot by Simon, saved by Andersen
  69. P3 11:58Shot by Oleksiak, saved by Andersen
  70. P3 12:50Shot by Kessel, saved by Andersen
  71. P3 14:31Shot by Kessel, saved by Andersen
  72. P3 14:42Hagelin: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Kessel, Hagelin, Dumoulin · TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Marner

  73. P3 15:33Goal by Rielly (Marner, Gardiner)4v50 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Johnson, Maatta, Guentzel · TOR Marleau, Gardiner, Tavares, Rielly, Marner

  74. P3 18:55Shot by Grant, saved by Andersen
  75. P3 19:11Brown: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Johnson, Grant, Ruhwedel, Sprong · TOR Gardiner, Kadri, Brown, Johnsson, Dermott

  76. P3 19:40Goal by Hyman, unassisted5v40 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Kessel · TOR Hainsey, Hyman, Kapanen, Zaitsev

  77. P3 19:51Shot by Sprong, saved by Andersen5v4
  78. P3 0:00Period end5v4
  79. P3 0:00Final5v4