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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 3, 2018·Capital One Arena, Washington

Dallas Stars 4, Washington Capitals 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 60% of the time.

WSH winsDAL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DAL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Comeau–Pitlick–FaksaSeguin–Shore–JanmarkSpezza–Benn–NichushkinRitchie–Smith–DickinsonSpezza–Benn–SeguinSeguin–Ritchie–SmithPolak–HeiskanenKlingberg–LindellLindell–HonkaKlingberg–HeatheringtonKlingberg–HeiskanenPolak–LindellHonka–HeiskanenHeatherington–Honka
Ovechkin–Kuznetsov–Vrana3:460.06–0.132:230.01–0.001:470.03–0.222:400.18–0.086:070.31–0.234:000.00–0.211:100.00–0.260:590.03–0.020:410.00–0.001:020.06–0.00
Eller–Connolly–Jaskin2:020.27–0.002:230.08–0.131:590.05–0.031:150.05–0.001:080.20–0.002:480.31–0.001:510.00–0.001:400.01–0.030:410.00–0.011:120.08–0.131:300.05–0.00
Oshie–Backstrom–Burakovsky1:430.02–0.002:430.05–0.233:010.02–0.000:300.00–0.000:590.00–0.053:450.02–0.181:550.05–0.062:370.02–0.000:300.00–0.00
Dowd–Smith-Pelly–Stephenson2:150.00–0.260:420.00–0.000:480.00–0.070:390.00–0.000:380.09–0.021:120.00–0.060:410.00–0.13
Ovechkin–Oshie–Backstrom0:380.00–0.000:380.00–0.00
Ovechkin–Kuznetsov–Jaskin0:540.06–0.001:080.14–0.00
Niskanen–Orlov1:470.00–0.242:370.03–0.305:580.15–0.071:490.18–0.111:040.04–0.056:000.30–0.384:000.09–0.151:410.00–0.111:250.03–0.052:330.16–0.010:450.00–0.18
Carlson–Kempny4:460.51–0.115:070.09–0.031:260.04–0.280:440.05–0.005:240.26–0.004:330.49–0.031:450.00–0.150:400.00–0.000:460.00–0.000:440.00–0.001:000.04–0.130:470.05–0.11
Djoos–Bowey3:040.06–0.050:360.00–0.000:430.02–0.013:190.16–0.002:560.22–0.031:460.00–0.111:390.02–0.042:030.10–0.041:150.06–0.001:310.05–0.00
Carlson–Djoos0:530.00–0.000:310.00–0.001:090.00–0.000:310.00–0.00
Niskanen–Kempny0:330.00–0.060:370.03–0.03
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndOvechkin FVrana FKuznetsov FBackstrom FBurakovsky FOshie FConnolly FEller FJaskin FDowd FSmith-Pelly FStephenson FKempny DCarlson DNiskanen DOrlov DBowey DDjoos DHoltby GFaksa FComeau FPitlick FJanmark FSeguin FShore FDickinson FRitchie FSmith FBenn FNichushkin FSpezza FHeiskanen DPolak DKlingberg DLindell DHonka DHeatherington DBishop G
WSHDALFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Miro HeiskanenDAL3127:100:531:2974
Esa LindellDAL3327:010:492:2556
John KlingbergDAL3126:570:521:3143
John CarlsonWSH2926:540:561:5365
Alex OvechkinWSH2224:281:073:0861
Evgeny KuznetsovWSH2224:041:062:2932
Dmitry OrlovWSH2623:380:551:5924
Tyler SeguinDAL2821:420:471:3153
Roman PolakDAL2521:380:521:3633
Matt NiskanenWSH2221:160:581:4713
T.J. OshieWSH2320:560:551:4928
Nicklas BackstromWSH2320:140:531:3917
Michal KempnyWSH2420:100:501:4547
Radek FaksaDAL2619:460:462:1616
Blake ComeauDAL2519:160:461:4105
Lars EllerWSH1917:500:562:3813
Tyler PitlickDAL2217:290:481:2204
Jakub VranaWSH1817:070:571:4521
Mattias JanmarkDAL2215:560:431:1652
Jamie BennDAL2315:440:411:2962
Jason SpezzaDAL2315:370:411:2972
Devin ShoreDAL2215:070:411:0561
Dmitrij JaskinWSH1615:020:562:0515
Brett ConnollyWSH1513:510:551:4114
Julius HonkaDAL1713:320:482:3244
Valeri NichushkinDAL1713:000:461:2851
Christian DjoosWSH1912:590:411:0850
Madison BoweyWSH1812:410:421:0840
Andre BurakovskyWSH1711:240:401:4006
Jason DickinsonDAL1610:180:391:2314
Brett RitchieDAL149:080:391:3112
Gemel SmithDAL138:310:391:1512
Nic DowdWSH128:240:421:1502
Devante Smith-PellyWSH127:480:391:2702
Chandler StephensonWSH157:100:290:5800
Dillon HeatheringtonDAL126:590:351:1501