Thu, Nov 8, 2018·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia
Arizona Coyotes 4, Philadelphia Flyers 5 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 73% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 19 | 315 | 010 | 00 | 434 |
| PHI | 28 | 07 | 214 | 12 | 531 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:18PHITravis KonecnyAssists: Claude Giroux, Sean Couturier · Backhand, 0.11 xG0–1
- P1 5:47PHIScott LaughtonAssists: Jori Lehtera · Backhand, 0.12 xG0–2
- P1 8:30ARIOliver Ekman-LarssonPPAssists: Alex Galchenyuk, Clayton Keller · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–2
- P2 1:51ARIBrad RichardsonAssists: Michael Grabner, Vinnie Hinostroza · Snap, 0.06 xG2–2
- P2 6:14ARIDerek StepanSHUnassisted · Backhand, 0.12 xG3–2
- P2 6:38ARIMichael GrabnerSHAssists: Oliver Ekman-Larsson · Backhand, 0.16 xG4–2
- P3 2:21PHIScott LaughtonAssists: Dale Weise, Oskar Lindblom · Backhand, 0.09 xG4–3
- P3 17:47PHIDale WeiseAssists: Shayne Gostisbehere · Snap, 0.27 xG4–4
- OT 1:01PHIShayne GostisbehereGWGAssists: Jakub Voracek, Claude Giroux · Slap, 0.08 xG4–5
Penalties (6)
- P1 2:32ARIRichard Panik: Hooking2 min
- P1 7:38PHIWayne Simmonds: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- P1 15:42ARIRichard Panik: Hooking2 min
- P1 18:27PHIWayne Simmonds: Cross checking2 min
- P2 5:27ARIVinnie Hinostroza: Tripping2 min
- P2 19:37ARIKevin Connauton: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Weal won the faceoff against Stepan
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestStepan – Cousins – Fischer9:45
xG 0.78–0.45 (64%)attempts 18–7goals 0–1
- Galchenyuk – Crouse – Keller8:42
xG 0.26–0.43 (38%)attempts 8–10goals 0–0
- Richardson – Grabner – Hinostroza10:42
xG 0.14–0.43 (24%)attempts 5–17goals 1–1
- Panik – Perlini – Strome9:16
xG 0.09–0.87 (9%)attempts 4–14goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestEkman-Larsson – Connauton2:48
xG 0.23–0.06 (80%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
- Demers – Oesterle3:50
xG 0.08–0.03 (69%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Hjalmarsson – Connauton7:34
xG 0.32–0.30 (52%)attempts 10–10goals 1–1
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestGiroux – Couturier – Konecny12:12
xG 0.64–0.18 (78%)attempts 16–7goals 1–0
- Voracek – Lindblom – Patrick11:28
xG 0.53–0.37 (59%)attempts 12–12goals 0–0
- Lehtera – Laughton – Aube-Kubel2:17
xG 0.14–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–2goals 1–0
- Simmonds – Weise – Weal12:09
xG 0.47–0.60 (44%)attempts 15–9goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestHagg – Folin2:38
xG 0.69–0.03 (96%)attempts 7–2goals 1–0
- Hagg – Provorov12:15
xG 0.65–0.21 (75%)attempts 16–13goals 1–0
- Gostisbehere – Provorov3:15
xG 0.42–0.02 (96%)attempts 4–2goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHI is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 73% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHI − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).