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Ice Lab

Thu, Nov 8, 2018·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia

Arizona Coyotes 4, Philadelphia Flyers 5 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 73% of the time.

PHI winsARI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:54Shot by Konecny, saved by Kuemper
  3. P1 1:18Goal by Konecny (Giroux, Couturier)+14 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Gudas, Couturier, Sanheim, Konecny · ARI Richardson, Hjalmarsson, Grabner, Connauton, Hinostroza

  4. P1 1:46Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Pickard
  5. P1 2:32Panik: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Lehtera, Laughton, Gostisbehere, Folin, Aube-Kubel · ARI Demers, Ekman-Larsson, Panik, Perlini, Strome

  6. P1 3:14Shot by Couturier, saved by Kuemper5v4
  7. P1 5:14Shot by Demers, saved by Pickard
  8. P1 5:32Shot by Gudas, saved by Kuemper
  9. P1 5:47Goal by Laughton (Lehtera)+13 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Lehtera, Laughton, Hagg, Aube-Kubel, Provorov · ARI Panik, Connauton, Oesterle, Perlini, Strome

  10. P1 6:02Shot by Simmonds, saved by Kuemper
  11. P1 7:19Shot by Fischer, saved by Pickard
  12. P1 7:25Shot by Hjalmarsson, saved by Pickard
  13. P1 7:36Shot by Oesterle, saved by Pickard
  14. P1 7:38Simmonds: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Voracek, Gostisbehere, Folin, Lindblom, Patrick · ARI Hjalmarsson, Stepan, Cousins, Hinostroza, Oesterle

  15. P1 8:08Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Pickard4v5
  16. P1 8:22Shot by Keller, saved by Pickard4v5
  17. P1 8:30Goal by Ekman-Larsson (Galchenyuk, Keller)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Lehtera, Laughton, Folin, Provorov · ARI Stepan, Ekman-Larsson, Galchenyuk, Fischer, Keller

  18. P1 10:38Shot by Keller, saved by Pickard
  19. P1 14:27Shot by Patrick, saved by Kuemper
  20. P1 15:42Panik: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Simmonds, Weise, Weal, Hagg, Provorov · ARI Panik, Connauton, Oesterle, Perlini, Strome

  21. P1 17:08Shot by Patrick, saved by Kuemper5v4
  22. P1 18:27Simmonds: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Simmonds, Lehtera, Weal, Hagg, Provorov · ARI Richardson, Grabner, Ekman-Larsson, Panik, Connauton

  23. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:27Shot by Demers, saved by Pickard
  26. P2 0:58Shot by Voracek, saved by Kuemper
  27. P2 1:51Goal by Richardson (Grabner, Hinostroza)+20 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Lehtera, Weise, Gudas, Weal, Sanheim · ARI Richardson, Hjalmarsson, Grabner, Connauton, Hinostroza

  28. P2 2:05Shot by Cousins, saved by Pickard
  29. P2 2:53Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Pickard
  30. P2 4:05Shot by Perlini, saved by Pickard
  31. P2 4:10Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Pickard
  32. P2 4:21Shot by Fischer, saved by Pickard
  33. P2 5:27Hinostroza: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Simmonds, Weise, Gudas, Weal, Sanheim · ARI Richardson, Demers, Ekman-Larsson, Hinostroza, Keller

  34. P2 6:14Goal by Stepan, unassisted5v4+22 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Couturier, Gostisbehere, Konecny, Patrick · ARI Hjalmarsson, Stepan, Connauton, Crouse

  35. P2 6:38Goal by Grabner (Ekman-Larsson)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Voracek, Simmonds, Weal, Lindblom, Provorov · ARI Richardson, Grabner, Demers, Ekman-Larsson

  36. P2 9:03Shot by Lindblom, saved by Kuemper
  37. P2 10:30Shot by Lindblom, saved by Kuemper
  38. P2 10:46Shot by Stepan, saved by Elliott
  39. P2 11:08Shot by Crouse, saved by Elliott
  40. P2 11:35Shot by Hinostroza, saved by Elliott
  41. P2 13:05Shot by Fischer, saved by Elliott
  42. P2 13:32Shot by Hagg, saved by Kuemper
  43. P2 15:00Shot by Gudas, saved by Kuemper
  44. P2 15:42Shot by Aube-Kubel, saved by Kuemper
  45. P2 16:00Shot by Cousins, saved by Elliott
  46. P2 16:03Shot by Stepan, saved by Elliott
  47. P2 18:18Shot by Konecny, saved by Kuemper
  48. P2 19:37Connauton: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Voracek, Laughton, Gostisbehere, Folin, Aube-Kubel · ARI Hjalmarsson, Stepan, Connauton, Cousins, Fischer

  49. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 2:16Shot by Lindblom, saved by Kuemper
  52. P3 2:21Goal by Laughton (Weise, Lindblom)+15 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Weise, Laughton, Hagg, Folin, Lindblom · ARI Connauton, Cousins, Galchenyuk, Oesterle, Keller

  53. P3 2:20Shot by Weise, saved by Kuemper
  54. P3 2:57Shot by Strome, saved by Elliott
  55. P3 3:26Shot by Richardson, saved by Elliott
  56. P3 4:18Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Elliott
  57. P3 4:55Shot by Hagg, saved by Kuemper
  58. P3 4:57Shot by Lindblom, saved by Kuemper
  59. P3 5:26Shot by Konecny, saved by Kuemper
  60. P3 5:37Shot by Fischer, saved by Elliott
  61. P3 6:11Shot by Simmonds, saved by Kuemper
  62. P3 6:21Shot by Perlini, saved by Elliott
  63. P3 6:49Shot by Panik, saved by Elliott
  64. P3 9:05Shot by Strome, saved by Elliott
  65. P3 10:02Shot by Konecny, saved by Kuemper
  66. P3 10:53Shot by Gudas, saved by Kuemper
  67. P3 12:21Shot by Konecny, saved by Kuemper
  68. P3 12:32Shot by Konecny, saved by Kuemper
  69. P3 17:47Goal by Weise (Gostisbehere)+42 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Simmonds, Weise, Weal, Gostisbehere, Provorov · ARI Demers, Stepan, Ekman-Larsson, Cousins, Fischer

  70. P3 17:52Shot by Voracek, saved by Kuemper
  71. P3 19:20Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Elliott
  72. P3 19:24Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Elliott
  73. P3 19:39Shot by Stepan, saved by Elliott
  74. P3 19:59Shot by Voracek, saved by Kuemper
  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. OT 0:00Period start
  77. OT 0:55Shot by Voracek, saved by Kuemper3v3
  78. OT 1:01Goal by Gostisbehere (Voracek, Giroux)3v3+53 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Voracek, Gostisbehere · ARI Grabner, Connauton, Keller

  79. OT 1:01Period end3v3
  80. OT 1:01Final3v3