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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 24, 2018·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Buffalo Sabres 3, Detroit Red Wings 2 (SO)

Away

Buffalo Sabres

3

Final

Shootout

Home

Detroit Red Wings

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 61% of the time.

DET winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:27Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Ullmark
  3. P1 0:44Shot by Larkin, saved by Ullmark
  4. P1 0:59Shot by Elie, saved by Howard
  5. P1 2:22Shot by Pominville, saved by Howard
  6. P1 2:48Rasmussen: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Vanek, Jensen, de la Rose, Bertuzzi, Rasmussen · BUF Pominville, Sobotka, McCabe, Ristolainen, Thompson

  7. P1 3:35Shot by Eichel, saved by Howard4v5
  8. P1 3:37Goal by Skinner (Eichel, Ristolainen)4v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: DET Daley, Glendening, DeKeyser, Larkin · BUF Okposo, Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel

  9. P1 4:11Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Ullmark
  10. P1 4:24Shot by Larsson, saved by Howard
  11. P1 5:05Shot by Glendening, saved by Ullmark
  12. P1 5:58Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Ullmark
  13. P1 6:03Shot by Jensen, saved by Ullmark
  14. P1 8:25Shot by Thompson, saved by Howard
  15. P1 8:58Shot by Cholowski, saved by Ullmark
  16. P1 9:28Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Ullmark
  17. P1 9:53Shot by Reinhart, saved by Howard
  18. P1 10:56Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Howard
  19. P1 11:07Shot by Cholowski, saved by Ullmark
  20. P1 11:22McCabe: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Nielsen, Nyquist, Athanasiou, Cholowski · BUF Pominville, Sobotka, McCabe, Ristolainen, Thompson

  21. P1 12:42Shot by Cholowski, saved by Ullmark5v4
  22. P1 13:08Shot by Sobotka, saved by Howard5v4
  23. P1 13:48Shot by Eichel, saved by Howard
  24. P1 14:44Shot by Larkin, saved by Ullmark
  25. P1 15:12Shot by Sheary, saved by Howard
  26. P1 15:54Shot by de la Rose, saved by Ullmark
  27. P1 16:02Shot by Kronwall, saved by Ullmark
  28. P1 16:39Shot by Bogosian, saved by Howard
  29. P1 17:29Shot by Eichel, saved by Howard
  30. P1 17:32Shot by Skinner, saved by Howard
  31. P1 17:35Shot by Pominville, saved by Howard
  32. P1 17:30Shot by Skinner, saved by Howard
  33. P1 19:03Shot by Sheary, saved by Howard
  34. P1 0:00Period end
  35. P2 0:00Period start
  36. P2 0:53Goal by Larkin (Mantha, Abdelkader)+20 pts WP

    On ice: DET Daley, Green, Abdelkader, Mantha, Larkin · BUF Skinner, McCabe, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel

  37. P2 3:17Daley: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Daley, Vanek, Green, de la Rose, Ehn · BUF Pominville, Sobotka, Scandella, Nelson, Thompson

  38. P2 4:06Shot by Reinhart, saved by Howard4v5
  39. P2 5:04Shot by Eichel, saved by Howard4v5
  40. P2 5:42Shot by Thompson, saved by Howard
  41. P2 5:51Shot by Larsson, saved by Howard
  42. P2 6:03Shot by Mantha, saved by Ullmark
  43. P2 7:53Shot by Mantha, saved by Ullmark
  44. P2 7:55Shot by Mantha, saved by Ullmark
  45. P2 8:15Shot by Larkin, saved by Ullmark
  46. P2 8:27Shot by Larkin, saved by Ullmark
  47. P2 10:48Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Ullmark
  48. P2 12:49Scandella: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Nielsen, Green, Nyquist, Athanasiou · BUF Sobotka, Scandella, Elie, Nelson, Thompson

  49. P2 13:22Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Ullmark5v4
  50. P2 15:32Shot by Larkin, saved by Ullmark
  51. P2 17:51Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Howard
  52. P2 18:10Shot by Cholowski, saved by Ullmark
  53. P2 18:27Shot by Larkin, saved by Ullmark
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 0:14Shot by Eichel, saved by Howard
  57. P3 0:22Shot by Larkin, saved by Ullmark
  58. P3 0:49Shot by Elie, saved by Howard
  59. P3 3:44Shot by Bogosian, saved by Howard
  60. P3 3:47Shot by Nelson, saved by Howard
  61. P3 4:31Shot by Green, saved by Ullmark
  62. P3 4:47Shot by Larsson, saved by Howard
  63. P3 5:15Reinhart: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Nyquist, Jensen, Athanasiou, DeKeyser · BUF Skinner, McCabe, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel

  64. P3 6:01Vanek: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Vanek, Athanasiou, Cholowski, Rasmussen · BUF Sobotka, Bogosian, Scandella, Larsson

  65. P3 6:38Shot by Larkin, saved by Ullmark4v4
  66. P3 7:40Goal by Thompson (Dahlin, Bogosian)4v5+26 pts WP

    On ice: DET Daley, Nielsen, Green, Abdelkader · BUF Bogosian, Reinhart, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin

  67. P3 7:49Shot by Reinhart, saved by Howard
  68. P3 8:01Shot by Eichel, saved by Howard
  69. P3 8:15Shot by Kronwall, saved by Ullmark
  70. P3 9:04Shot by Dahlin, saved by Howard
  71. P3 10:03Shot by Larsson, saved by Howard
  72. P3 10:57Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Ullmark
  73. P3 11:44Shot by Green, saved by Ullmark
  74. P3 11:48McCabe: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Daley, Green, Abdelkader, Mantha, Larkin · BUF Skinner, McCabe, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel

  75. P3 13:52Goal by Mantha (Bertuzzi, Green)+35 pts WP

    On ice: DET Green, Nyquist, Bertuzzi, Mantha, Larkin · BUF Sobotka, Bogosian, Scandella, Larsson, McCabe

  76. P3 13:51Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Ullmark
  77. P3 16:22Shot by Kronwall, saved by Ullmark
  78. P3 17:19Shot by Larkin, saved by Ullmark
  79. P3 18:58Shot by Nielsen, saved by Ullmark
  80. P3 19:03Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Ullmark
  81. P3 0:00Period end
  82. OT 0:00Period start
  83. OT 0:52Shot by Eichel, saved by Howard3v3
  84. OT 0:55Larkin: Holding (2 min)3v3

    On ice: DET DeKeyser, Mantha, Larkin · BUF Sheary, Eichel, Dahlin

  85. OT 1:37Shot by Dahlin, saved by Howard3v4
  86. OT 2:11Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Howard3v4
  87. OT 4:46Shot by Daley, saved by Ullmark4v4
  88. OT 5:00Period end3v4
  89. SO Period start
  90. SO Shot by Nielsen, saved by Ullmarkother
  91. SO Shot by Vanek, saved by Ullmarkother
  92. SO Shot by Pominville, saved by Howardother
  93. SO Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Howardother
  94. SO Shot by Larkin, saved by Ullmarkother
  95. SO Shot by Sheary, saved by Howardother
  96. SO Goal by Athanasiou, unassistedother
  97. SO Goal by Thompson, unassistedother
  98. SO Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Ullmarkother
  99. SO Shot by Skinner, saved by Howardother
  100. SO Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Ullmarkother
  101. SO Goal by Reinhart, unassistedother
  102. SO Period end
  103. SO Final