Sat, Nov 24, 2018·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Buffalo Sabres 3, Detroit Red Wings 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 61% of the time.
32%
53%
DET winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 27:10 | 0.46 | 33.2% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 24:56 | 0.06 | 42.7% | +26.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23:18 | 0.31 | 58.0% | +26.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 7 | 21:53 | 0.66 | 42.3% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:13 | 0.00 | 30.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 17:26 | 0.24 | 32.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 17:23 | 0.47 | 42.1% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:21 | 0.32 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:23 | 0.00 | 44.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:06 | 0.02 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:40 | 0.16 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:33 | 0.10 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:19 | 0.02 | 55.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:11 | 0.00 | 60.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:05 | 0.00 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12:54 | 0.54 | 52.5% | +26.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:24 | 0.20 | 54.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:38 | 0.38 | 41.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 37 | 35 | 2 | .946 | 3.27 | +1.3 | 65:00 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:41 | 0.01 | 45.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 10 | 23:19 | 0.84 | 76.2% | +20.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 22:33 | 0.10 | 54.1% | +35.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 20:58 | 0.61 | 77.5% | +55.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:17 | 0.02 | 47.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19:44 | 0.42 | 71.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:44 | 0.14 | 37.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:35 | 0.01 | 47.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:19 | 0.00 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:41 | 0.14 | 59.1% | +20.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:19 | 0.18 | 40.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:35 | 0.24 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:30 | 0.28 | 74.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:17 | 0.13 | 59.0% | +35.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:40 | 0.10 | 50.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:30 | 0.00 | 25.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:06 | 0.01 | 35.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:39 | 0.03 | 83.2% | 0.0 |
| O | 35 | 33 | 2 | .943 | 3.93 | +1.9 | 65:00 |