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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 4, 2018·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Colorado Avalanche 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 6

Away

Colorado Avalanche

3

Final

Home

Pittsburgh Penguins

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 53% of the time.

PIT winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:49Shot by Calvert, saved by DeSmith
  3. P1 2:03Shot by Zadorov, saved by DeSmith
  4. P1 2:29Shot by Bourque, saved by DeSmith
  5. P1 2:46Goal by Guentzel (Letang, Dumoulin)+14 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Guentzel, Simon · COL Cole, Barrie, Bourque, Kerfoot, Kamenev

  6. P1 3:38Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Varlamov
  7. P1 3:53Shot by Pettersson, saved by Varlamov
  8. P1 4:03Shot by Compher, saved by DeSmith
  9. P1 5:07Shot by Cole, saved by DeSmith
  10. P1 6:52Goal by Malkin (Pearson, Hornqvist)+13 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Johnson, Hornqvist, Pearson, Pettersson · COL Cole, Wilson, Barrie, Compher, Jost

  11. P1 7:27Goal by Brassard (Maatta, Aston-Reese)+8 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Brassard, Kessel, Oleksiak, Maatta, Aston-Reese · COL Soderberg, Calvert, Nemeth, Nieto, Zadorov

  12. P1 8:02Shot by Landeskog, saved by DeSmith
  13. P1 8:27Shot by Kamenev, saved by DeSmith
  14. P1 8:31Shot by Barrie, saved by DeSmith
  15. P1 9:06Shot by Johnson, saved by DeSmith
  16. P1 9:07Shot by Compher, saved by DeSmith
  17. P1 9:38Shot by Crosby, saved by Varlamov
  18. P1 9:49Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Varlamov
  19. P1 11:29Shot by Zadorov, saved by DeSmith
  20. P1 12:22Shot by Johnson, saved by Varlamov
  21. P1 12:36Shot by Compher, saved by DeSmith
  22. P1 12:47Simon: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Guentzel, Simon · COL Johnson, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard

  23. P1 13:13Shot by Rantanen, saved by DeSmith4v5
  24. P1 14:23Shot by Soderberg, saved by DeSmith4v5
  25. P1 16:24Shot by Kessel, saved by Varlamov
  26. P1 16:44Shot by Simon, saved by Varlamov
  27. P1 16:55Shot by Johnson, saved by DeSmith
  28. P1 16:57Shot by Jost, saved by DeSmith
  29. P1 16:56Shot by Jost, saved by DeSmith
  30. P1 18:54Shot by Landeskog, saved by DeSmith
  31. P1 0:00Period end
  32. P2 0:00Period start
  33. P2 2:00Shot by Maatta, saved by Varlamov
  34. P2 2:53Shot by Rantanen, saved by DeSmith
  35. P2 3:09Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Varlamov
  36. P2 3:50Shot by Pearson, saved by Varlamov
  37. P2 5:12Shot by Cole, saved by DeSmith
  38. P2 6:03Shot by Malkin, saved by Varlamov
  39. P2 6:42Letang: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Pearson, Guentzel · COL Soderberg, Johnson, Landeskog, Zadorov, Rantanen

  40. P2 8:16Goal by Barrie (Rantanen, Landeskog)4v5+7 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Grant, Dumoulin, Rust, Oleksiak · COL Wilson, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen

  41. P2 8:22Shot by Girard, saved by DeSmith
  42. P2 9:32Goal by Soderberg (Calvert, Cole)+14 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Hornqvist, Dumoulin, Pearson · COL Soderberg, Cole, Calvert, Nieto, Zadorov

  43. P2 10:48Shot by Guentzel, saved by Varlamov
  44. P2 10:59Crosby: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Rust, Guentzel · COL Johnson, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard

  45. P2 11:44Rantanen: Interference (2 min)4v5

    On ice: PIT Johnson, Sheahan, Maatta, Aston-Reese · COL Cole, Wilson, Barrie, Landeskog, Rantanen

  46. P2 13:17Goal by Nieto (Bourque)5v4+22 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Kessel · COL Cole, Bourque, Nemeth, Nieto

  47. P2 13:42Shot by Letang, saved by Varlamov
  48. P2 13:55Shot by Rantanen, saved by DeSmith
  49. P2 14:51Shot by MacKinnon, saved by DeSmith
  50. P2 16:19Shot by Soderberg, saved by DeSmith
  51. P2 16:40Shot by Landeskog, saved by DeSmith
  52. P2 17:08Shot by Rust, saved by Varlamov
  53. P2 17:46Shot by Compher, saved by DeSmith
  54. P2 17:51Shot by Zadorov, saved by DeSmith
  55. P2 18:39Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Varlamov
  56. P2 18:40Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Varlamov
  57. P2 19:31Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Varlamov
  58. P2 19:33Shot by Brassard, saved by Varlamov
  59. P2 0:00Period end
  60. P3 0:00Period start
  61. P3 0:52Shot by Cole, saved by DeSmith
  62. P3 1:51Shot by Soderberg, saved by DeSmith
  63. P3 1:55Shot by Calvert, saved by DeSmith
  64. P3 2:09Shot by Zadorov, saved by DeSmith
  65. P3 2:34Shot by Landeskog, saved by DeSmith
  66. P3 3:03Shot by Rantanen, saved by DeSmith
  67. P3 3:00Shot by Rantanen, saved by DeSmith
  68. P3 3:17Shot by Crosby, saved by Varlamov
  69. P3 4:26Shot by Grant, saved by Varlamov
  70. P3 4:36Shot by Kessel, saved by Varlamov
  71. P3 5:47Nemeth: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Grant, Dumoulin, Rust · COL Cole, Nemeth, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen

  72. P3 6:09Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Varlamov5v4
  73. P3 6:11Goal by Hornqvist (Letang, Kessel)5v4+28 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Kessel · COL Soderberg, Johnson, Cole, Nieto

  74. P3 6:42Shot by Barrie, saved by DeSmith
  75. P3 7:02Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Varlamov
  76. P3 7:32Goal by Hornqvist (Malkin)+13 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Hornqvist, Dumoulin, Pearson · COL Johnson, Cole, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen

  77. P3 8:58Goal by Hornqvist, unassisted+4 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Hornqvist, Dumoulin, Pearson · COL Cole, Barrie, Bourque, Kerfoot, Kamenev

  78. P3 9:38Shot by Letang, saved by Varlamov
  79. P3 10:10Shot by Brassard, saved by Varlamov
  80. P3 11:26Shot by Letang, saved by Varlamov
  81. P3 11:52Shot by Calvert, saved by DeSmith
  82. P3 12:23Shot by Calvert, saved by DeSmith
  83. P3 13:11Shot by Nemeth, saved by DeSmith
  84. P3 14:41Shot by Wilson, saved by DeSmith
  85. P3 14:47Shot by Barrie, saved by DeSmith
  86. P3 14:48Johnson: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Johnson, Brassard, Kessel, Pettersson, Aston-Reese · COL Cole, Wilson, Barrie, Compher, Jost

  87. P3 14:48Compher: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Johnson, Brassard, Kessel, Pettersson, Aston-Reese · COL Cole, Wilson, Barrie, Compher, Jost

  88. P3 15:27Shot by Barrie, saved by DeSmith4v5
  89. P3 16:53Shot by MacKinnon, saved by DeSmith5v6
  90. P3 17:01MacKinnon: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: PIT Johnson, Letang, Grant, Dumoulin, Rust · COL Wilson, Landeskog, Compher, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard

  91. P3 0:00Period end
  92. P3 0:00Final