Tue, Dec 4, 2018·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Colorado Avalanche 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 53% of the time.
39%
8%
45%
PIT winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −3 | 5 | 24:10 | 0.20 | 45.9% | +7.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:37 | 0.06 | 54.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 22:24 | 0.56 | 64.7% | +7.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 22:23 | 0.57 | 66.3% | +7.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:52 | 0.35 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 20:23 | 0.08 | 61.4% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:48 | 0.02 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 17:37 | 0.50 | 51.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:26 | 0.12 | 43.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:07 | 0.41 | 44.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:07 | 0.07 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:02 | 0.05 | 64.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12:31 | 0.47 | 62.4% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 11:25 | 0.00 | 29.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:11 | 0.09 | 60.0% | +21.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10:33 | 0.32 | 59.5% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 10:19 | 0.07 | 35.9% | +21.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 9:19 | 0.02 | 27.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 32 | 26 | 6 | .813 | 3.72 | −2.3 | 57:47 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 24:46 | 0.13 | 44.8% | +42.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 21:00 | 0.04 | 57.9% | +8.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 20:26 | 0.00 | 48.5% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:08 | 0.10 | 45.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:46 | 0.15 | 32.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:25 | 0.00 | 63.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:36 | 0.21 | 28.4% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:30 | 0.23 | 56.4% | +8.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 17:51 | 0.36 | 63.6% | +26.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:42 | 0.21 | 50.1% | +28.2 | |
| 3 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 8 | 16:32 | 1.35 | 67.8% | +57.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:35 | 0.43 | 46.9% | +8.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:54 | 0.03 | 45.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:43 | 0.00 | 28.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 12:23 | 0.27 | 60.3% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:20 | 0.06 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:48 | 0.03 | 18.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 5:01 | 0.12 | 58.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 45 | 42 | 3 | .933 | 3.96 | +1.0 | 60:00 |