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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 8, 2018·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

New York Islanders 3, Detroit Red Wings 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 67% of the time.

DET winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:26Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Bernier
  3. P1 2:34Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Greiss
  4. P1 4:57Shot by Larkin, saved by Greiss
  5. P1 4:59Goal by Abdelkader (Larkin, Nyquist)+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Abdelkader, Nyquist, Larkin, Cholowski · NYI Boychuk, Eberle, Leddy, Lee, Nelson

  6. P1 5:46Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Greiss
  7. P1 5:57Shot by Barzal, saved by Bernier
  8. P1 7:37Shot by Pulock, saved by Bernier
  9. P1 9:51Kronwall: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Green, Abdelkader, Nyquist, Larkin · NYI Boychuk, Eberle, Leddy, Lee, Nelson

  10. P1 12:56Shot by Nelson, saved by Bernier
  11. P1 13:41Shot by Witkowski, saved by Greiss
  12. P1 13:53Goal by Kronwall (Larkin)+13 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Abdelkader, Nyquist, Witkowski, Larkin · NYI Hickey, Eberle, Lee, Nelson, Pulock

  13. P1 15:04Shot by Mayfield, saved by Bernier
  14. P1 18:27Shot by Boychuk, saved by Bernier
  15. P1 18:39Bailey: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Abdelkader, Nyquist, Jensen, Larkin · NYI Boychuk, Bailey, Leddy, Barzal, Beauvillier

  16. P1 18:39Larkin: Fighting (5 min)5v3

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Abdelkader, Nyquist, Jensen, Larkin · NYI Boychuk, Bailey, Leddy, Barzal, Beauvillier

  17. P1 19:54Shot by Nyquist, saved by Greiss5v4
  18. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  19. P1 18:39Bailey: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Abdelkader, Nyquist, Jensen, Larkin · NYI Boychuk, Bailey, Leddy, Barzal, Beauvillier

  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 1:32Shot by Nyquist, saved by Greiss
  22. P2 1:44Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Greiss
  23. P2 4:19Shot by Hickey, saved by Bernier
  24. P2 4:31Goal by Cizikas (Johnston)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Ericsson, Abdelkader, Nyquist, Jensen, Larkin · NYI Clutterbuck, Hickey, Cizikas, Pulock, Johnston

  25. P2 5:21Ericsson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Ericsson, Abdelkader, Nyquist, Jensen, Larkin · NYI Martin, Leddy, Pulock, Barzal, Beauvillier

  26. P2 6:07Shot by Jensen, saved by Greiss4v5
  27. P2 6:30Shot by Eberle, saved by Bernier4v5
  28. P2 6:32Abdelkader: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Abdelkader, Witkowski, Cholowski · NYI Eberle, Leddy, Cizikas, Barzal, Beauvillier

  29. P2 6:44Shot by Eberle, saved by Bernier3v5
  30. P2 6:57Goal by Pulock (Bailey, Barzal)3v5+21 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Jensen, Glendening · NYI Bailey, Eberle, Pulock, Barzal, Beauvillier

  31. P2 8:44Shot by Cizikas, saved by Bernier
  32. P2 7:40Shot by Jensen, saved by Greiss4v5
  33. P2 11:17Cholowski: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DET Green, Abdelkader, Nyquist, Glendening, Cholowski · NYI Filppula, Boychuk, Bailey, Leddy, Barzal, Beauvillier

  34. P2 11:39Shot by Bailey, saved by Bernier4v5
  35. P2 13:36Abdelkader: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Ericsson, Abdelkader, Jensen, Cholowski · NYI Filppula, Boychuk, Clutterbuck, Nelson, Pulock

  36. P2 13:36Boychuk: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Ericsson, Abdelkader, Jensen, Cholowski · NYI Filppula, Boychuk, Clutterbuck, Nelson, Pulock

  37. P2 13:36Nelson: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Ericsson, Abdelkader, Jensen, Cholowski · NYI Filppula, Boychuk, Clutterbuck, Nelson, Pulock

  38. P2 13:36Ericsson: Roughing (2 min)4v3

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Ericsson, Abdelkader, Jensen, Cholowski · NYI Filppula, Boychuk, Clutterbuck, Nelson, Pulock

  39. P2 14:02Shot by Mayfield, saved by Bernier
  40. P2 14:23Shot by Ehn, saved by Greiss
  41. P2 14:40Shot by Barzal, saved by Bernier
  42. P2 16:29Shot by Nielsen, saved by Greiss
  43. P2 17:28Shot by Mayfield, saved by Bernier
  44. P2 17:49Shot by Larkin, saved by Greiss
  45. P2 18:28Beauvillier: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Green, Nyquist, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Cholowski · NYI Filppula, Bailey, Pelech, Pulock, Beauvillier

  46. P2 19:30Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Greiss5v4
  47. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 1:15Shot by Nielsen, saved by Greiss
  50. P3 3:24Goal by Martin (Clutterbuck, Leddy)+27 pts WP

    On ice: DET Witkowski, de la Rose, Larkin, Ehn, Cholowski · NYI Boychuk, Clutterbuck, Martin, Leddy, Cizikas

  51. P3 4:30Shot by Barzal, saved by Bernier
  52. P3 5:32Shot by Cholowski, saved by Greiss
  53. P3 6:24Shot by Kronwall, saved by Greiss
  54. P3 7:23Shot by Vanek, saved by Greiss
  55. P3 10:29Shot by Bailey, saved by Bernier
  56. P3 12:04Clutterbuck: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Green, Abdelkader, Nyquist, Larkin · NYI Clutterbuck, Hickey, Martin, Cizikas, Pulock

  57. P3 12:15Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Greiss5v4
  58. P3 15:57Shot by Cholowski, saved by Greiss
  59. P3 15:59Shot by Nielsen, saved by Greiss
  60. P3 16:37Shot by Jensen, saved by Greiss
  61. P3 17:51Shot by Larkin, saved by Greiss
  62. P3 19:14Shot by Kronwall, saved by Greiss6v5
  63. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  64. P3 0:00Final