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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 8, 2018·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Colorado Avalanche 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 7

Away

Colorado Avalanche

1

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

7

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 84% of the time.

TBL winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:54Shot by Girardi, saved by Varlamov
  3. P1 1:23Shot by Palat, saved by Varlamov
  4. P1 1:25Shot by Sergachev, saved by Varlamov
  5. P1 2:28Jost: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Paquette, Cernak, Joseph, Cirelli · COL Nemeth, Kerfoot, Andrighetto, Zadorov, Jost

  6. P1 2:35Shot by Hedman, saved by Varlamov5v4
  7. P1 3:05Goal by Stamkos (Kucherov, Hedman)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Gourde, Point · COL Johnson, Cole, Nieto, Compher

  8. P1 5:12Gourde: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Girardi, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Gourde · COL Cole, Wilson, Barrie, Compher, Jost

  9. P1 7:32Shot by Zadorov, saved by Domingue
  10. P1 9:50Shot by Palat, saved by Varlamov
  11. P1 11:00Shot by Rantanen, saved by Domingue
  12. P1 12:26Shot by Sergachev, saved by Varlamov
  13. P1 13:15Goal by Stamkos, unassisted+13 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Stamkos, Palat, Gourde, Cernak · COL Cole, Barrie, Kerfoot, Andrighetto, Kamenev

  14. P1 13:35Shot by Hedman, saved by Varlamov
  15. P1 14:14Goal by MacKinnon (Landeskog, Rantanen)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Johnson, Kucherov, Point, Cernak · COL Nemeth, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen

  16. P1 14:39Shot by Landeskog, saved by Domingue
  17. P1 14:47Shot by Barrie, saved by Domingue
  18. P1 16:26Goal by Johnson (Point, Girardi)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Girardi, Johnson, Hedman, Kucherov, Point · COL Cole, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen

  19. P1 16:19Shot by Miller, saved by Varlamov
  20. P1 15:00Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Domingue
  21. P1 16:24Shot by Girardi, saved by Varlamov
  22. P1 17:00Zadorov: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Callahan, Paquette, Joseph, Sergachev · COL Nemeth, Kerfoot, Andrighetto, Zadorov, Kamenev

  23. P1 18:30Shot by Point, saved by Varlamov5v4
  24. P1 18:34Shot by Compher, saved by Domingue5v4
  25. P1 19:41Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Domingue
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:20Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Domingue
  29. P2 0:34Shot by Rantanen, saved by Domingue
  30. P2 1:30Shot by Girardi, saved by Varlamov
  31. P2 2:00Goal by Killorn (Gourde, Stamkos)+8 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Gourde, Sergachev · COL Soderberg, Cole, Calvert, Barrie, Jost

  32. P2 3:13Shot by Point, saved by Varlamov
  33. P2 4:13Shot by Rantanen, saved by Domingue
  34. P2 4:36Shot by Joseph, saved by Varlamov
  35. P2 5:06Shot by Callahan, saved by Varlamov
  36. P2 4:51Shot by Callahan, saved by Varlamov
  37. P2 6:37Shot by Killorn, saved by Varlamov
  38. P2 6:39Shot by Cirelli, saved by Varlamov
  39. P2 6:53Shot by Rantanen, saved by Domingue
  40. P2 6:59Shot by Cole, saved by Domingue
  41. P2 7:20Shot by Coburn, saved by Varlamov
  42. P2 7:59Goal by Palat (Stamkos, Sergachev)+3 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Stamkos, Palat, Gourde, Sergachev · COL Soderberg, Calvert, Nemeth, Nieto, Zadorov

  43. P2 9:59Shot by Coburn, saved by Grubauer
  44. P2 10:01Goal by Cirelli (Coburn)+1 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Killorn, Miller, Cirelli, Sergachev · COL Cole, Wilson, Barrie, Landeskog, Compher

  45. P2 11:04Shot by Soderberg, saved by Domingue
  46. P2 11:11Shot by Calvert, saved by Domingue
  47. P2 11:44Shot by Soderberg, saved by Domingue
  48. P2 12:08Shot by Andrighetto, saved by Domingue
  49. P2 12:19Shot by Kucherov, saved by Grubauer
  50. P2 13:05Shot by Point, saved by Grubauer
  51. P2 13:41Shot by Compher, saved by Domingue
  52. P2 14:25Stamkos: Illegal check to head (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Stamkos, Palat, Gourde, Sergachev · COL Soderberg, Cole, Barrie, Andrighetto, Jost

  53. P2 15:50Shot by Rantanen, saved by Domingue4v5
  54. P2 18:07Shot by Killorn, saved by Grubauer
  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 0:34Shot by Point, saved by Grubauer
  58. P3 1:11Shot by Soderberg, saved by Domingue
  59. P3 1:10Shot by Soderberg, saved by Domingue
  60. P3 2:00Shot by Andrighetto, saved by Domingue
  61. P3 2:31Shot by Andrighetto, saved by Domingue
  62. P3 2:41Zadorov: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Callahan, Girardi, Hedman, Paquette, Joseph · COL Nemeth, Nieto, Kerfoot, Andrighetto, Zadorov

  63. P3 3:29Goal by Palat (Johnson, Miller)5v40 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Johnson, Palat, Miller, Sergachev · COL Johnson, Cole, Calvert, Compher

  64. P3 4:13Shot by Rantanen, saved by Domingue
  65. P3 4:24Shot by Cole, saved by Domingue
  66. P3 4:23Shot by Nieto, saved by Domingue
  67. P3 5:45Compher: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Callahan, Girardi, Hedman, Paquette, Joseph · COL Nemeth, Kerfoot, Compher, Zadorov, Jost

  68. P3 5:45Paquette: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Callahan, Girardi, Hedman, Paquette, Joseph · COL Nemeth, Kerfoot, Compher, Zadorov, Jost

  69. P3 5:52Shot by Cernak, saved by Grubauer4v4
  70. P3 6:38Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Domingue4v4
  71. P3 7:06Shot by Hedman, saved by Grubauer4v4
  72. P3 8:21Shot by Joseph, saved by Grubauer
  73. P3 8:53Shot by Nemeth, saved by Domingue
  74. P3 10:16Shot by Killorn, saved by Grubauer
  75. P3 12:12Shot by Cernak, saved by Grubauer
  76. P3 13:37Shot by Johnson, saved by Grubauer
  77. P3 14:03Shot by Girardi, saved by Grubauer
  78. P3 14:40Shot by Compher, saved by Domingue
  79. P3 17:20Shot by Girard, saved by Domingue
  80. P3 19:33Shot by Joseph, saved by Grubauer
  81. P3 0:00Period end
  82. P3 0:00Final