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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 8, 2018·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Colorado Avalanche 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 7

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 84% of the time.

TBL winsCOL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against COL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Landeskog–MacKinnon–RantanenWilson–Compher–JostSoderberg–Calvert–NietoKerfoot–Andrighetto–KamenevNieto–Andrighetto–CompherWilson–Kerfoot–JostAndrighetto–Compher–JostSoderberg–Kerfoot–AndrighettoKerfoot–Compher–JostNieto–Kerfoot–AndrighettoSoderberg–Wilson–CalvertKerfoot–Andrighetto–JostSoderberg–Calvert–JostJohnson–GirardCole–BarrieNemeth–ZadorovBarrie–NemethCole–Nemeth
Callahan–Paquette–Joseph0:430.12–0.000:310.04–0.021:410.00–0.000:430.00–0.001:060.01–0.000:570.00–0.020:400.00–0.060:470.03–0.000:520.00–0.000:320.00–0.033:010.12–0.024:360.08–0.003:030.23–0.06
Johnson–Kucherov–Point10:300.31–0.354:440.07–0.103:130.27–0.132:050.00–0.110:370.00–0.00
Killorn–Miller–Cirelli4:050.35–0.010:460.05–0.001:210.22–0.010:300.00–0.050:360.00–0.003:190.54–0.022:240.25–0.002:000.22–0.00
Stamkos–Palat–Gourde0:310.14–0.001:190.03–0.003:200.21–0.200:480.08–0.001:120.12–0.052:130.17–0.053:590.14–0.282:060.27–0.000:370.00–0.05
McDonagh–Cernak7:460.06–0.380:380.03–0.000:340.00–0.000:480.08–0.000:480.00–0.050:580.00–0.000:370.00–0.000:530.03–0.004:240.09–0.184:560.11–0.132:590.00–0.080:370.00–0.000:370.00–0.05
Girardi–Hedman2:490.51–0.002:570.31–0.011:100.02–0.150:550.12–0.000:300.04–0.000:580.00–0.000:400.00–0.060:520.00–0.004:580.63–0.013:130.40–0.154:290.23–0.06
Coburn–Sergachev1:170.01–0.052:180.05–0.001:540.18–0.051:190.00–0.000:510.18–0.010:350.00–0.020:380.00–0.034:370.24–0.105:050.23–0.131:310.14–0.05
Hedman–Sergachev0:360.06–0.041:180.20–0.031:030.11–0.04
Girardi–McDonagh0:300.00–0.000:390.00–0.160:300.00–0.000:540.11–0.16
Hedman–Cernak0:580.00–0.000:520.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndJohnson FPoint FKucherov FMiller FKillorn FCirelli FPalat FGourde FStamkos FJoseph FPaquette FCallahan FMcDonagh DCernak DGirardi DHedman DSergachev DCoburn DDomingue GMacKinnon FLandeskog FRantanen FCalvert FSoderberg FNieto FJost FWilson FCompher FAndrighetto FKerfoot FKamenev FJohnson DGirard DCole DBarrie DNemeth DZadorov DVarlamov GGrubauer G
TBLCOLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Ian ColeCOL2422:130:561:5625
Samuel GirardCOL2622:120:511:5343
Victor HedmanTBL2622:090:512:0742
Tyson BarrieCOL2321:070:552:0534
Erik JohnsonCOL2620:550:481:5345
Ryan McDonaghTBL2320:000:521:4043
Nathan MacKinnonCOL2019:380:592:0043
Erik CernakTBL2519:360:471:4043
Mikhail SergachevTBL2519:260:471:1945
Dan GirardiTBL2318:510:491:3104
Mikko RantanenCOL2018:190:551:5343
Brayden PointTBL2018:170:551:3552
Nikita KucherovTBL2018:020:541:3552
Gabriel LandeskogCOL1917:060:541:5343
Carl SoderbergCOL2117:040:491:1844
J.T. CompherCOL2116:530:481:2123
Tyson JostCOL2116:500:481:1631
Braydon CoburnTBL2216:220:451:1934
Mathieu JosephTBL2115:570:461:3132
Patrik NemethCOL1915:480:502:1332
Steven StamkosTBL2015:360:471:3463
Cedric PaquetteTBL2115:050:431:3133
Yanni GourdeTBL2015:030:451:3463
Alexander KerfootCOL2114:450:421:1453
Colin WilsonCOL1914:310:461:5040
Alex KillornTBL2014:140:431:1414
Ryan CallahanTBL1714:030:501:4332
Tyler JohnsonTBL1914:000:441:2932
Matt NietoCOL2013:580:421:0364
Nikita ZadorovCOL1913:580:441:3522
Ondrej PalatTBL2013:060:391:0052
Anthony CirelliTBL1912:460:401:0705
Sven AndrighettoCOL1612:310:471:2121
Matt CalvertCOL1712:290:441:0824
J.T. MillerTBL1611:270:431:0713
Vladislav KamenevCOL64:180:430:5921