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Ice Lab

Mon, Dec 10, 2018·Amalie Arena, Tampa

New York Rangers 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 6

Away

New York Rangers

3

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 80% of the time.

TBL winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:10Shot by McDonagh, saved by Lundqvist
  3. P1 1:02Strome: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Girardi, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Gourde · NYR Shattenkirk, Hayes, Claesson, Strome, Vesey

  4. P1 1:09Shot by Hedman, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  5. P1 1:25Shot by Point, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  6. P1 4:29Shot by Skjei, saved by Domingue
  7. P1 4:32Shot by Strome, saved by Domingue
  8. P1 6:48Shot by Kreider, saved by Domingue
  9. P1 8:07Shot by Sergachev, saved by Lundqvist
  10. P1 8:44Shot by Stamkos, saved by Lundqvist
  11. P1 10:06Shot by Skjei, saved by Domingue
  12. P1 10:08Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Domingue
  13. P1 10:14Hedman: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Girardi, Johnson, Hedman, Kucherov, Point · NYR Shattenkirk, Kreider, Zibanejad, Namestnikov, Skjei

  14. P1 12:19Goal by Hayes (Strome, Namestnikov)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Johnson, Hedman, Point, Cernak · NYR Staal, Hayes, Strome, Namestnikov, Pionk

  15. P1 12:39Shot by Hedman, saved by Lundqvist
  16. P1 13:25Staal: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Johnson, Kucherov, Point, Cernak · NYR Staal, Hayes, Strome, Vesey, Pionk

  17. P1 14:09Goal by Stamkos (Hedman, Miller)5v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Johnson, Hedman, Miller, Gourde · NYR Claesson, Vesey, DeAngelo, Howden

  18. P1 14:44Shot by Joseph, saved by Lundqvist
  19. P1 15:05Shot by Vesey, saved by Domingue
  20. P1 15:07Goal by Hayes (Vesey)+19 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Girardi, Killorn, Hedman, Miller, Paquette · NYR Staal, Hayes, Strome, Vesey, Pionk

  21. P1 15:50Shot by Cirelli, saved by Lundqvist
  22. P1 16:21Shot by Cernak, saved by Lundqvist
  23. P1 16:23Kreider: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Johnson, Kucherov, Point, Cernak · NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Namestnikov, Skjei, DeAngelo

  24. P1 16:22Shot by Johnson, saved by Lundqvist
  25. P1 17:51Shot by Stamkos, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  26. P1 17:52Pionk: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Gourde, Point · NYR Staal, Hayes, Vesey, Pionk

  27. P1 18:49Shot by Kucherov, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:05Shot by Cernak, saved by Lundqvist
  31. P2 0:19Shot by Kucherov, saved by Lundqvist
  32. P2 0:52Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Domingue
  33. P2 1:28Shot by Howden, saved by Domingue
  34. P2 1:55Shot by Chytil, saved by Domingue
  35. P2 3:33Shot by Paquette, saved by Lundqvist
  36. P2 5:11Shot by Cernak, saved by Lundqvist
  37. P2 5:45Pionk: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Stamkos, Palat, Gourde, Cernak · NYR Staal, Fast, Howden, Chytil, Pionk

  38. P2 6:04Shot by Hayes, saved by Domingue5v4
  39. P2 6:19Goal by Stamkos (Hedman, Point)5v4+20 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Gourde, Point · NYR Hayes, Claesson, Namestnikov, Skjei

  40. P2 9:04Shot by McDonagh, saved by Lundqvist
  41. P2 10:19Shot by Fogarty, saved by Domingue
  42. P2 12:23Shot by Cirelli, saved by Lundqvist
  43. P2 12:42Goal by McDonagh (Point, Kucherov)+24 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Johnson, Kucherov, Point, Cernak · NYR Staal, Kreider, Zibanejad, Namestnikov, Pionk

  44. P2 13:22Shot by Girardi, saved by Lundqvist
  45. P2 14:26Shot by Callahan, saved by Lundqvist
  46. P2 14:34Shot by Sergachev, saved by Lundqvist
  47. P2 14:53Shot by Callahan, saved by Lundqvist
  48. P2 15:22Shot by Johnson, saved by Lundqvist
  49. P2 15:36Shot by Cernak, saved by Lundqvist
  50. P2 19:37Shot by Miller, saved by Lundqvist
  51. P2 19:39Shot by Killorn, saved by Lundqvist
  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 0:21Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Domingue
  55. P3 0:42Shot by Staal, saved by Domingue
  56. P3 1:46Shot by Gourde, saved by Lundqvist
  57. P3 2:04Shot by Staal, saved by Domingue
  58. P3 3:35Shot by Kreider, saved by Domingue
  59. P3 3:57Namestnikov: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Callahan, Girardi, Hedman, Paquette, Joseph · NYR Staal, Claesson, Zibanejad, Namestnikov, Vesey

  60. P3 5:00Shot by Killorn, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  61. P3 5:55Shot by Stamkos, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  62. P3 9:05Shot by Staal, saved by Domingue
  63. P3 9:23Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Domingue
  64. P3 10:17Goal by Cirelli (Cernak)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Miller, Cernak, Cirelli · NYR Fast, Claesson, Vesey, DeAngelo, Howden

  65. P3 10:41Goal by Stamkos (Palat, Coburn)+3 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Stamkos, Palat, Gourde, Sergachev · NYR Staal, Fast, DeAngelo, Howden, Chytil

  66. P3 13:16Shot by Cirelli, saved by Lundqvist
  67. P3 14:23Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Domingue
  68. P3 15:17Cernak: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL Callahan, McDonagh, Paquette, Cernak, Joseph · NYR Beleskey, Fogarty, Zibanejad, Skjei, Pionk

  69. P3 15:17Beleskey: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Callahan, McDonagh, Paquette, Cernak, Joseph · NYR Beleskey, Fogarty, Zibanejad, Skjei, Pionk

  70. P3 16:12Shot by Strome, saved by Domingue
  71. P3 17:34Goal by Fast (Chytil)0 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Girardi, Stamkos, Palat, Gourde · NYR Staal, Fast, Skjei, Howden, Chytil

  72. P3 17:57Shot by Hayes, saved by Domingue5v6
  73. P3 18:11Shot by Hayes, saved by Domingue5v6
  74. P3 18:55Shot by Skjei, saved by Domingue5v6
  75. P3 19:21Goal by Cirelli (Killorn, Miller)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Girardi, Killorn, Hedman, Miller, Cirelli · NYR Fast, Strome, Namestnikov, Skjei, Andersson, Chytil

  76. P3 19:35Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Domingue
  77. P3 0:00Period end
  78. P3 0:00Final