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Ice Lab

Mon, Dec 10, 2018·Amalie Arena, Tampa

New York Rangers 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 80% of the time.

TBL winsNYR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NYR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Hayes–Strome–VeseyKreider–Zibanejad–NamestnikovFast–Howden–ChytilBeleskey–Fogarty–AnderssonHayes–Strome–AnderssonSkjei–DeAngeloStaal–PionkClaesson–PionkStaal–DeAngeloShattenkirk–ClaessonClaesson–SkjeiClaesson–DeAngeloStaal–SkjeiStaal–ShattenkirkSkjei–Pionk
Killorn–Miller–Cirelli7:430.46–0.060:480.02–0.040:360.00–0.000:390.00–0.003:250.00–0.052:240.48–0.012:090.02–0.040:570.02–0.001:240.09–0.001:140.10–0.00
Johnson–Kucherov–Point6:510.23–0.341:010.08–0.002:570.06–0.013:210.16–0.021:470.01–0.050:450.08–0.001:000.00–0.05
Stamkos–Palat–Gourde1:070.07–0.025:160.13–0.321:260.13–0.021:000.03–0.001:050.01–0.001:370.09–0.091:100.04–0.081:040.00–0.080:340.00–0.00
Callahan–Paquette–Joseph2:580.12–0.002:010.00–0.000:560.00–0.041:330.12–0.000:470.08–0.001:110.00–0.06
Callahan–Joseph–Cirelli
Coburn–Sergachev2:160.17–0.000:410.00–0.004:090.15–0.133:060.25–0.021:450.12–0.000:530.05–0.041:220.01–0.052:020.22–0.013:060.11–0.090:580.08–0.001:160.00–0.061:370.10–0.091:040.04–0.00
McDonagh–Cernak1:000.00–0.006:310.20–0.061:270.03–0.001:330.08–0.002:340.06–0.004:180.14–0.023:000.03–0.041:020.08–0.001:000.19–0.000:440.00–0.00
Girardi–Hedman6:020.36–0.371:590.00–0.350:460.00–0.082:000.00–0.065:430.01–0.092:330.35–0.290:330.00–0.050:500.00–0.000:460.00–0.08
McDonagh–Hedman0:440.00–0.000:320.00–0.00
Hedman–Sergachev0:390.00–0.000:530.00–0.00
McDonagh–Sergachev0:450.00–0.08
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndJohnson FPoint FKucherov FPalat FGourde FStamkos FMiller FKillorn FJoseph FCallahan FCirelli FPaquette FMcDonagh DCernak DGirardi DHedman DSergachev DCoburn DDomingue GKreider FNamestnikov FZibanejad FHayes FStrome FVesey FFast FHowden FAndersson FChytil FBeleskey FFogarty FStaal DPionk DShattenkirk DClaesson DSkjei DDeAngelo DLundqvist G
TBLNYRFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Marc StaalNYR2924:270:512:1313
Neal PionkNYR3223:370:441:4134
Victor HedmanTBL2423:020:582:2563
Brady SkjeiNYR2922:310:471:2527
Tony DeAngeloNYR2722:250:501:4143
Mikhail SergachevTBL1921:041:072:2012
Kevin HayesNYR2620:250:471:4065
J.T. MillerTBL2120:190:582:0842
Alex KillornTBL2219:560:541:3834
Fredrik ClaessonNYR2519:220:461:4123
Brayden PointTBL2118:530:542:4762
Nikita KucherovTBL2118:400:533:1363
Ryan McDonaghTBL2218:330:512:2433
Mika ZibanejadNYR2117:370:501:1612
Ryan StromeNYR2317:250:451:4053
Tyler JohnsonTBL2317:190:451:3863
Jimmy VeseyNYR2216:560:461:2943
Braydon CoburnTBL1716:480:591:3301
Steven StamkosTBL1616:191:012:4150
Anthony CirelliTBL2116:160:461:1925
Erik CernakTBL2115:420:451:1122
Yanni GourdeTBL1715:210:541:4050
Dan GirardiTBL1815:140:512:0932
Ondrej PalatTBL1714:120:501:3841
Filip ChytilNYR1614:100:531:4210
Chris KreiderNYR2013:560:421:2331
Brett HowdenNYR1813:390:461:1801
Jesper FastNYR1813:380:451:1502
Vladislav NamestnikovNYR2013:260:401:0933
Lias AnderssonNYR1611:080:421:1601
Mathieu JosephTBL1410:450:461:5810
Matt BeleskeyNYR1310:320:491:3101
Cedric PaquetteTBL149:550:431:4411
Ryan CallahanTBL139:420:451:5800
Steven FogartyNYR139:230:431:4401
Kevin ShattenkirkNYR107:380:461:1000