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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 11, 2018·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Carolina Hurricanes 1

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

4

Final

Home

Carolina Hurricanes

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 69% of the time.

CAR winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:22Shot by Wallmark, saved by Andersen
  3. P1 1:24Shot by Kadri, saved by Mrazek
  4. P1 2:40Shot by Rielly, saved by Mrazek
  5. P1 3:19Shot by Rielly, saved by Mrazek
  6. P1 4:09Shot by Nylander, saved by Mrazek
  7. P1 5:55Shot by Kapanen, saved by Mrazek
  8. P1 6:00Shot by Ozhiganov, saved by Mrazek
  9. P1 6:46Shot by Johnsson, saved by Mrazek
  10. P1 7:48Shot by Kadri, saved by Mrazek
  11. P1 8:19Shot by Martinook, saved by Andersen
  12. P1 8:34Shot by Dermott, saved by Mrazek
  13. P1 8:35Goal by Ennis (Gauthier, Dermott)+18 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Rask, Hamilton, Di Giuseppe, Slavin, Foegele · TOR Ennis, Gauthier, Dermott, Ozhiganov, Lindholm

  14. P1 9:33Shot by Marleau, saved by Mrazek
  15. P1 9:59Shot by McGinn, saved by Andersen
  16. P1 10:09Shot by Brown, saved by Mrazek
  17. P1 13:11Shot by Kadri, saved by Mrazek
  18. P1 13:31Nylander: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: CAR de Haan, Martinook, McGinn, Slavin, Aho · TOR Marleau, Gardiner, Tavares, Nylander, Zaitsev

  19. P1 14:05Shot by Faulk, saved by Andersen5v4
  20. P1 14:12Shot by Wallmark, saved by Andersen5v4
  21. P1 17:07Shot by Marner, saved by Mrazek5v4
  22. P1 18:43Shot by Rask, saved by Andersen
  23. P1 19:13Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Andersen
  24. P1 19:14Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Andersen
  25. P1 19:44Shot by Matthews, saved by Mrazek
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 1:40Shot by Kadri, saved by Mrazek
  29. P2 4:02Shot by Aho, saved by Andersen
  30. P2 6:49Shot by Wallmark, saved by Andersen
  31. P2 8:15Shot by Teravainen, saved by Andersen
  32. P2 9:07Hamilton: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Williams, Hamilton, Slavin, Wallmark, Svechnikov · TOR Marleau, Kadri, Rielly, Nylander, Dermott

  33. P2 11:30Hainsey: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR de Haan, Teravainen, Martinook, van Riemsdyk, Aho · TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Johnsson, Gauthier, Zaitsev

  34. P2 9:54Shot by Kadri, saved by Mrazek4v5
  35. P2 11:41Shot by Aho, saved by Andersen5v4
  36. P2 12:44Goal by Williams (Aho, Rask)5v4+22 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Williams, Faulk, Rask, Slavin, Aho · TOR Kapanen, Dermott, Marner, Zaitsev

  37. P2 13:11Shot by Marleau, saved by Mrazek
  38. P2 13:41Shot by Marleau, saved by Mrazek
  39. P2 13:51Goal by Rielly (Matthews, Nylander)+23 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Hamilton, McGinn, Pesce, Bishop, Svechnikov · TOR Gardiner, Rielly, Johnsson, Kapanen, Matthews

  40. P2 14:25Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Andersen
  41. P2 14:31Shot by Slavin, saved by Andersen
  42. P2 15:32Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Mrazek
  43. P2 16:34Shot by Dermott, saved by Mrazek
  44. P2 17:16Shot by Foegele, saved by Andersen
  45. P2 18:55Shot by de Haan, saved by Andersen
  46. P2 19:22Nylander: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CAR de Haan, Faulk, Teravainen, Martinook, Wallmark · TOR Marleau, Gardiner, Tavares, Nylander, Zaitsev

  47. P2 19:59Shot by Di Giuseppe, saved by Andersen5v4
  48. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 0:26Shot by Faulk, saved by Andersen5v4
  51. P3 1:25Shot by Wallmark, saved by Andersen
  52. P3 2:56Shot by Aho, saved by Andersen6v5
  53. P3 3:19Shot by Williams, saved by Andersen6v5
  54. P3 3:20Kadri: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CAR Williams, Faulk, Pesce, Wallmark, Aho, Svechnikov · TOR Gardiner, Tavares, Brown, Marner, Zaitsev

  55. P3 3:22Shot by Faulk, saved by Andersen5v4
  56. P3 3:24Shot by Faulk, saved by Andersen5v4
  57. P3 4:49Shot by Rask, saved by Andersen5v4
  58. P3 5:49Goal by Marleau (Nylander, Kadri)+15 pts WP

    On ice: CAR de Haan, Hamilton, McGinn, Foegele, Bishop · TOR Marleau, Gardiner, Kadri, Nylander, Ozhiganov

  59. P3 7:58Shot by Johnsson, saved by Mrazek
  60. P3 8:29Goal by Tavares (Marner, Gardiner)+4 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Hamilton, Teravainen, Martinook, van Riemsdyk, Aho · TOR Gardiner, Tavares, Brown, Marner, Zaitsev

  61. P3 11:56Shot by Teravainen, saved by Andersen
  62. P3 12:48Shot by Pesce, saved by Andersen
  63. P3 13:21Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Mrazek
  64. P3 13:59Shot by Williams, saved by Andersen
  65. P3 14:12Shot by Hamilton, saved by Andersen
  66. P3 14:14Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Andersen
  67. P3 15:41Slavin: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Teravainen, Martinook, Slavin, Pesce, Aho · TOR Gardiner, Johnsson, Kapanen, Matthews, Zaitsev

  68. P3 15:56Shot by Matthews, saved by Mrazek4v5
  69. P3 16:40Shot by Matthews, saved by Mrazek4v5
  70. P3 17:46Shot by Marleau, saved by Mrazek
  71. P3 17:49Foegele: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR de Haan, Hamilton, Martinook, Slavin, Foegele · TOR Marleau, Gardiner, Ennis, Johnsson, Nylander

  72. P3 19:57Pesce: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Di Giuseppe, McGinn, Slavin, Pesce, Foegele · TOR Marleau, Gardiner, Ennis, Johnsson, Nylander

  73. P3 0:00Period end4v5
  74. P3 0:00Final4v5