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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 11, 2018·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Carolina Hurricanes 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 69% of the time.

CAR winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Marleau–Kadri–NylanderJohnsson–Kapanen–MatthewsTavares–Brown–MarnerEnnis–Gauthier–LindholmGardiner–ZaitsevHainsey–RiellyDermott–OzhiganovGardiner–OzhiganovHainsey–Zaitsev
Williams–Wallmark–Svechnikov2:530.36–0.055:230.33–0.201:060.00–0.020:490.04–0.001:490.24–0.026:440.28–0.250:460.04–0.020:340.00–0.00
Teravainen–Martinook–Aho1:070.00–0.031:360.03–0.005:130.65–0.205:240.53–0.221:580.15–0.00
Di Giuseppe–McGinn–Bishop2:020.08–0.000:570.00–0.040:450.00–0.000:370.00–0.001:550.08–0.04
Ferland–McGinn–Bishop2:240.00–0.240:320.00–0.080:360.00–0.030:300.00–0.061:340.04–0.15
Rask–Di Giuseppe–Foegele0:460.00–0.081:200.00–0.321:460.00–0.39
McGinn–Foegele–Bishop0:570.00–0.160:300.00–0.000:340.00–0.001:050.00–0.16
Rask–Martinook–Foegele0:420.00–0.071:120.00–0.07
Williams–Aho–Svechnikov
de Haan–Faulk3:350.24–0.051:340.09–0.005:380.44–0.070:590.00–0.006:440.52–0.063:020.16–0.001:450.00–0.04
Hamilton–Slavin1:150.00–0.074:320.24–0.201:540.20–0.391:300.00–0.095:200.24–0.201:460.33–0.390:350.00–0.00
Pesce–van Riemsdyk4:310.08–0.251:090.06–0.000:310.10–0.001:510.00–0.022:160.10–0.072:030.00–0.073:200.08–0.151:050.00–0.22
Slavin–Pesce1:340.11–0.001:340.01–0.021:070.11–0.000:570.00–0.051:340.01–0.02
Hamilton–van Riemsdyk0:340.00–0.080:370.00–0.151:010.06–0.021:140.06–0.17
Faulk–Slavin1:050.51–0.00
Hamilton–Pesce
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndWilliams FSvechnikov FWallmark FAho FTeravainen FMartinook FMcGinn FFerland FBishop FDi Giuseppe FFoegele FRask FHamilton DSlavin DFaulk Dde Haan Dvan Riemsdyk DPesce DMrazek GJohnsson FKapanen FMatthews FTavares FMarner FBrown FNylander FKadri FMarleau FLindholm FGauthier FEnnis FHainsey DRielly DZaitsev DGardiner DDermott DOzhiganov DAndersen G
CARTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Morgan RiellyTOR3023:000:461:3538
Justin FaulkCAR2422:320:561:2933
Jake GardinerTOR2722:250:501:3251
Nikita ZaitsevTOR2622:200:521:4040
Jaccob SlavinCAR2622:120:511:1830
Ron HainseyTOR2920:130:421:3518
Sebastian AhoCAR2319:580:521:5725
Andrei SvechnikovCAR2319:240:511:2962
Justin WilliamsCAR2318:510:491:4742
Lucas WallmarkCAR2518:340:451:3434
Brett PesceCAR2318:330:481:1613
Dougie HamiltonCAR2318:120:471:2131
Teuvo TeravainenCAR2117:480:511:5233
Patrick MarleauTOR2117:190:491:3052
Calvin de HaanCAR2217:120:471:1203
Nazem KadriTOR2017:080:511:3772
Mitch MarnerTOR2416:340:411:1861
William NylanderTOR2216:330:451:1152
Connor BrownTOR2416:310:411:0635
Auston MatthewsTOR2315:590:421:3552
Trevor van RiemsdykCAR2315:480:411:1614
John TavaresTOR2315:430:411:1663
Brock McGinnCAR2115:400:451:1515
Kasperi KapanenTOR2715:370:351:0944
Andreas JohnssonTOR2415:100:381:1742
Jordan MartinookCAR2514:250:351:0516
Phillip Di GiuseppeCAR1713:410:481:2151
Travis DermottTOR2413:410:341:0643
Clark BishopCAR1812:410:421:0722
Igor OzhiganovTOR2012:010:361:0333
Warren FoegeleCAR1811:540:401:0821
Victor RaskCAR1611:540:451:2220
Par LindholmTOR2011:540:361:1016
Tyler EnnisTOR1310:270:481:2002
Frederik GauthierTOR148:110:351:1412
Micheal FerlandCAR85:110:391:0311