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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 15, 2018·Pepsi Center, Denver

Dallas Stars 4, Colorado Avalanche 6

Away

Dallas Stars

4

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 71% of the time.

COL winsDAL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:19Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Khudobin
  3. P1 2:59Shot by Rantanen, saved by Khudobin
  4. P1 4:26Shot by Nieto, saved by Khudobin
  5. P1 4:42Shot by Honka, saved by Varlamov
  6. P1 5:17Shot by Compher, saved by Khudobin
  7. P1 5:28Comeau: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Cole, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen · DAL Comeau, Fedun, Faksa, Lindell, Dickinson

  8. P1 5:36Shot by Compher, saved by Khudobin5v4
  9. P1 5:45Goal by Landeskog (Barrie, MacKinnon)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL Barrie, Landeskog, Compher, MacKinnon, Rantanen · DAL Polak, Faksa, Lindell, Dickinson

  10. P1 5:56Shot by Nieto, saved by Khudobin
  11. P1 7:57Goal by Calvert (Nieto)+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Johnson, Calvert, Nieto, Girard · DAL Radulov, Benn, Seguin, Honka, Heiskanen

  12. P1 8:18Shot by Bourque, saved by Khudobin
  13. P1 8:30Shot by Wilson, saved by Khudobin
  14. P1 9:00Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Khudobin
  15. P1 9:31Shot by Spezza, saved by Varlamov
  16. P1 9:44Shot by Heiskanen, saved by Varlamov
  17. P1 10:16Greer: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Johnson, Wilson, Bourque, Greer, Girard · DAL Comeau, Faksa, Dickinson, Honka, Bayreuther

  18. P1 10:53Shot by Fedun, saved by Varlamov4v5
  19. P1 11:54Shot by Calvert, saved by Khudobin4v5
  20. P1 12:03Shot by Soderberg, saved by Khudobin4v5
  21. P1 12:51Dickinson: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard · DAL Comeau, Fedun, Janmark, Dickinson, Bayreuther

  22. P1 13:11Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Khudobin5v4
  23. P1 13:11Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Khudobin5v4
  24. P1 14:30Shot by Girard, saved by Khudobin5v4
  25. P1 14:50Shot by Andrighetto, saved by Khudobin5v4
  26. P1 15:14Shot by Dickinson, saved by Varlamov
  27. P1 16:07Shot by Seguin, saved by Varlamov
  28. P1 16:33Shot by Dickinson, saved by Varlamov
  29. P1 16:37Shot by Heiskanen, saved by Varlamov
  30. P1 16:52Shot by Heiskanen, saved by Varlamov
  31. P1 17:40Shot by Compher, saved by Khudobin
  32. P1 18:17Faksa: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Cole, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen · DAL Comeau, Faksa, Lindell, Dickinson, Heiskanen

  33. P1 18:22Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Khudobin5v4
  34. P1 19:45Goal by Rantanen (MacKinnon)5v4+8 pts WP

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Barrie, Compher, MacKinnon, Rantanen · DAL Comeau, Fedun, Dickinson, Heiskanen

  35. P1 0:00Period end
  36. P2 0:00Period start
  37. P2 0:24Shot by Seguin, saved by Varlamov
  38. P2 1:11Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Varlamov
  39. P2 2:00Shot by Honka, saved by Varlamov
  40. P2 2:23Shot by Shore, saved by Varlamov
  41. P2 4:02Shot by Landeskog, saved by Bishop
  42. P2 5:11Shot by Zadorov, saved by Bishop
  43. P2 5:47Shot by Spezza, saved by Varlamov
  44. P2 5:54Shot by Bayreuther, saved by Varlamov
  45. P2 6:53Faksa: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Johnson, Andrighetto, Compher, Jost, Girard · DAL Faksa, Shore, Dickinson, Honka, Bayreuther

  46. P2 7:32Shot by Barrie, saved by Bishop5v4
  47. P2 8:36Goal by Lindell (Janmark, Fedun)5v4+7 pts WP

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Wilson, Compher, Rantanen, Girard · DAL Fedun, Lindell, Janmark, Nichushkin

  48. P2 9:20Goal by Seguin (Gurianov)+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Johnson, Calvert, Jost, Girard · DAL Benn, Seguin, Honka, Gurianov, Heiskanen

  49. P2 10:03Shot by Compher, saved by Bishop
  50. P2 11:05Shot by Gurianov, saved by Varlamov
  51. P2 10:30Shot by Calvert, saved by Bishop
  52. P2 12:24Andrighetto: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Calvert, Nieto, Zadorov, Girard · DAL Benn, Seguin, Fedun, Gurianov, Bayreuther

  53. P2 13:07Shot by Fedun, saved by Varlamov4v5
  54. P2 14:29Shot by Gurianov, saved by Varlamov
  55. P2 14:40Janmark: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Cole, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen · DAL Comeau, Polak, Lindell, Janmark, Dickinson

  56. P2 14:53Goal by Rantanen (MacKinnon, Compher)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: COL Barrie, Landeskog, Compher, MacKinnon, Rantanen · DAL Polak, Seguin, Lindell, Dickinson

  57. P2 15:16Shot by Johnson, saved by Bishop
  58. P2 16:19Shot by Bourque, saved by Bishop
  59. P2 17:28Shot by Honka, saved by Varlamov
  60. P2 19:14Shot by Honka, saved by Varlamov
  61. P2 0:00Period end
  62. P3 0:00Period start
  63. P3 0:16Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Bishop
  64. P3 0:50Shot by Spezza, saved by Varlamov
  65. P3 2:17Shot by Landeskog, saved by Bishop
  66. P3 3:03Shot by Heiskanen, saved by Varlamov
  67. P3 3:34Shot by Heiskanen, saved by Varlamov
  68. P3 3:38Shot by Radulov, saved by Varlamov
  69. P3 3:39Shot by Seguin, saved by Varlamov
  70. P3 4:08Shot by Calvert, saved by Bishop
  71. P3 4:36Shot by Gurianov, saved by Varlamov
  72. P3 5:58Shot by Heiskanen, saved by Varlamov
  73. P3 7:01Radulov: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Cole, Wilson, Barrie, Andrighetto, Jost · DAL Radulov, Hanzal, Nichushkin, Honka, Bayreuther

  74. P3 9:20Seguin: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Calvert, Andrighetto, Jost, Girard · DAL Radulov, Seguin, Fedun, Lindell, Janmark

  75. P3 9:37Shot by Hanzal, saved by Varlamov5v4
  76. P3 11:10Shot by Jost, saved by Bishop5v4
  77. P3 11:20Shot by Jost, saved by Bishop5v4
  78. P3 11:20Soderberg: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Calvert, Andrighetto, Jost, Girard · DAL Hanzal, Fedun, Faksa, Heiskanen

  79. P3 13:14Goal by Seguin (Fedun, Radulov)4v5+11 pts WP

    On ice: COL Johnson, Cole, Calvert, Nieto · DAL Radulov, Benn, Seguin, Fedun, Heiskanen

  80. P3 13:41Shot by Dickinson, saved by Varlamov
  81. P3 13:42Shot by Dickinson, saved by Varlamov
  82. P3 14:04Shot by Landeskog, saved by Bishop
  83. P3 14:21Shot by Polak, saved by Varlamov
  84. P3 15:16Shot by Benn, saved by Varlamov
  85. P3 15:22Shot by Seguin, saved by Varlamov
  86. P3 15:24Goal by Benn (Seguin, Radulov)+41 pts WP

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Cole, Wilson, Nemeth, Jost · DAL Radulov, Benn, Seguin, Fedun, Bayreuther

  87. P3 15:57Shot by Rantanen, saved by Bishop
  88. P3 16:15Shot by Fedun, saved by Varlamov
  89. P3 16:25Shot by Fedun, saved by Varlamov
  90. P3 16:40Goal by Landeskog (Johnson)+44 pts WP

    On ice: COL Johnson, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard · DAL Radulov, Benn, Seguin, Fedun, Heiskanen

  91. P3 18:29Shot by Radulov, saved by Varlamov5v6
  92. P3 18:31Shot by Hanzal, saved by Varlamov5v6
  93. P3 18:37Goal by MacKinnon (Rantanen)5v6+4 pts WP

    On ice: COL Cole, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen · DAL Radulov, Hanzal, Benn, Seguin, Honka, Heiskanen

  94. P3 18:52Shot by Fedun, saved by Varlamov
  95. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  96. P3 0:00Final5v6