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Ice Lab

Mon, Dec 31, 2018·Capital One Arena, Washington

Nashville Predators 6, Washington Capitals 3

Away

Nashville Predators

6

Final

Home

Washington Capitals

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 70% of the time.

WSH winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:14Shot by Johansen, saved by Holtby
  3. P1 1:39Shot by Smith-Pelly, saved by Rinne
  4. P1 2:06Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Holtby
  5. P1 2:09Shot by Josi, saved by Holtby
  6. P1 2:41Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Rinne
  7. P1 4:33Goal by Kempny (Backstrom)+15 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, Kempny · NSH Josi, Rinaldo, Ellis, Grimaldi, Gaudreau

  8. P1 5:35Oshie: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Orpik, Oshie, Backstrom, Stephenson, Bowey · NSH Subban, Ekholm, Johansen, Hartman, Arvidsson

  9. P1 6:43Shot by Smith, saved by Holtby4v5
  10. P1 8:03Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Rinne
  11. P1 8:45Goal by Vrana (Carlson, Kuznetsov)+13 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Orpik, Carlson, Kuznetsov, Wilson, Vrana · NSH Hamhuis, Johansen, Bitetto, Hartman, Arvidsson

  12. P1 9:08Goal by Grimaldi (Rinaldo, Ekholm)+13 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Orpik, Kuznetsov, Wilson, Bowey, Vrana · NSH Bonino, Subban, Rinaldo, Ekholm, Grimaldi

  13. P1 9:42Shot by Fiala, saved by Holtby
  14. P1 10:43Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Holtby
  15. P1 12:10Shot by Backstrom, saved by Rinne
  16. P1 13:28Shot by Grimaldi, saved by Holtby
  17. P1 13:48Shot by Burakovsky, saved by Rinne
  18. P1 16:13Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Holtby
  19. P1 18:47Shot by Backstrom, saved by Rinne
  20. P1 18:49Shot by Oshie, saved by Rinne
  21. P1 19:06Shot by Hartman, saved by Holtby
  22. P1 19:48Shot by Ekholm, saved by Holtby
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:59Shot by Backstrom, saved by Rinne
  26. P2 2:12Shot by Bowey, saved by Rinne
  27. P2 2:44Shot by Grimaldi, saved by Holtby
  28. P2 3:56Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Holtby
  29. P2 4:55Shot by Smith, saved by Holtby
  30. P2 5:12Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Holtby
  31. P2 7:30Shot by Hartman, saved by Holtby
  32. P2 7:46Shot by Vrana, saved by Rinne
  33. P2 8:22Goal by Stephenson (Smith-Pelly, Holtby)+14 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Orlov, Smith-Pelly, Boyd, Stephenson, Siegenthaler · NSH Josi, Ellis, Smith, Jarnkrok, Fiala

  34. P2 9:00Shot by Connolly, saved by Rinne
  35. P2 9:57Goal by Salomaki (Bonino, Ekholm)+14 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, Kempny · NSH Bonino, Subban, Ekholm, Watson, Salomaki

  36. P2 10:58Shot by Burakovsky, saved by Rinne
  37. P2 11:39Shot by Connolly, saved by Rinne
  38. P2 11:55Shot by Hartman, saved by Holtby
  39. P2 11:58Shot by Josi, saved by Holtby
  40. P2 11:59Goal by Johansen (Josi)+23 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Backstrom, Carlson, Wilson, Kempny · NSH Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Hartman, Arvidsson

  41. P2 13:57Shot by Hamhuis, saved by Holtby
  42. P2 14:28Shot by Grimaldi, saved by Holtby
  43. P2 14:30Goal by Gaudreau (Grimaldi, Smith)+23 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Eller, Orlov, Connolly, Burakovsky, Siegenthaler · NSH Hamhuis, Smith, Bitetto, Grimaldi, Gaudreau

  44. P2 14:50Shot by Josi, saved by Holtby
  45. P2 15:12Shot by Josi, saved by Holtby
  46. P2 15:44Shot by Vrana, saved by Rinne
  47. P2 16:01Shot by Bowey, saved by Rinne
  48. P2 17:43Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Rinne
  49. P2 18:49Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Holtby
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 1:50Shot by Fiala, saved by Holtby
  53. P3 3:36Shot by Hartman, saved by Holtby
  54. P3 3:54Shot by Wilson, saved by Rinne
  55. P3 4:57Ekholm: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Orpik, Oshie, Backstrom, Bowey, Vrana · NSH Bonino, Subban, Ekholm, Watson, Salomaki

  56. P3 5:07Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Rinne5v4
  57. P3 5:49Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Rinne5v4
  58. P3 8:24Shot by Vrana, saved by Rinne
  59. P3 10:35Goal by Ellis (Johansen, Arvidsson)+13 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, Vrana, Kempny · NSH Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Hartman, Arvidsson

  60. P3 10:45Shot by Fiala, saved by Holtby
  61. P3 12:39Shot by Watson, saved by Holtby
  62. P3 14:53Shot by Grimaldi, saved by Holtby
  63. P3 16:03Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Rinne
  64. P3 16:29Kuznetsov: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Orlov, Kuznetsov, Wilson, Bowey · NSH Subban, Ekholm, Watson, Johansen, Hartman

  65. P3 16:29Ovechkin: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Orlov, Kuznetsov, Wilson, Bowey · NSH Subban, Ekholm, Watson, Johansen, Hartman

  66. P3 17:27Shot by Johansen, saved by Holtby3v5
  67. P3 18:00Goal by Arvidsson (Johansen, Fiala)3v50 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Orpik, Wilson, Kempny · NSH Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Fiala, Arvidsson

  68. P3 19:00Shot by Wilson, saved by Rinne
  69. P3 0:00Period end
  70. P3 0:00Final