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Ice Lab

Mon, Dec 31, 2018·Capital One Arena, Washington

Nashville Predators 6, Washington Capitals 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 70% of the time.

WSH winsNSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Johansen–Hartman–ArvidssonBonino–Watson–SalomakiSmith–Jarnkrok–FialaRinaldo–Grimaldi–GaudreauWatson–Salomaki–GaudreauBonino–Grimaldi–GaudreauWatson–Johansen–SalomakiBonino–Smith–JarnkrokJosi–EllisSubban–EkholmHamhuis–BitettoHamhuis–Ekholm
Eller–Connolly–Burakovsky0:360.09–0.033:340.33–0.003:550.22–0.360:530.00–0.002:430.21–0.000:430.09–0.038:010.43–0.87
Ovechkin–Oshie–Backstrom5:120.34–0.281:010.04–0.111:380.00–0.250:490.05–0.007:030.16–0.501:530.04–0.110:570.29–0.03
Smith-Pelly–Boyd–Stephenson1:180.08–0.001:250.00–0.002:310.00–0.070:570.14–0.014:480.08–0.001:080.00–0.07
Kuznetsov–Wilson–Vrana1:100.13–0.061:510.00–0.061:090.06–0.081:540.05–0.090:320.09–0.001:210.06–0.094:150.18–0.160:470.09–0.11
Ovechkin–Kuznetsov–Wilson2:120.14–0.090:460.00–0.003:080.14–0.090:500.00–0.00
Oshie–Backstrom–Vrana0:390.00–0.071:270.02–0.000:340.00–0.071:540.02–0.03
Oshie–Kuznetsov–Vrana1:020.09–0.000:430.00–0.001:490.09–0.00
Ovechkin–Backstrom–Wilson1:160.00–0.400:390.00–0.271:130.00–0.400:390.00–0.27
Carlson–Kempny10:180.51–0.922:000.00–0.160:380.06–0.000:420.02–0.069:120.23–0.854:130.13–0.210:550.00–0.171:100.29–0.03
Orlov–Siegenthaler1:400.03–0.022:410.21–0.062:440.14–0.163:080.06–0.090:490.05–0.000:320.09–0.004:530.22–0.285:120.19–0.002:300.13–0.43
Orpik–Bowey0:360.06–0.005:000.34–0.002:250.22–0.201:440.18–0.003:380.01–0.104:210.43–0.21
Orlov–Bowey2:070.00–0.391:420.00–0.091:350.00–0.30
Orpik–Carlson1:330.21–0.000:440.04–0.001:040.08–0.00
Orpik–Siegenthaler0:310.00–0.000:340.08–0.000:440.00–0.000:350.08–0.001:110.00–0.00
Orlov–Kempny0:410.00–0.000:400.00–0.00
Siegenthaler–Kempny0:370.07–0.000:300.06–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndOvechkin FBackstrom FOshie FVrana FWilson FKuznetsov FConnolly FEller FBurakovsky FStephenson FSmith-Pelly FBoyd FKempny DCarlson DBowey DOrpik DOrlov DSiegenthaler DHoltby GArvidsson FHartman FJohansen FBonino FSalomaki FWatson FSmith FJarnkrok FFiala FGrimaldi FRinaldo FGaudreau FEllis DJosi DEkholm DSubban DBitetto DHamhuis DRinne G
WSHNSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Ryan EllisNSH2525:511:021:4036
Roman JosiNSH2524:250:591:3736
John CarlsonWSH2824:060:522:2062
Mattias EkholmNSH2622:190:521:3715
P.K. SubbanNSH2621:480:501:5815
Alex OvechkinWSH2221:040:572:1182
Dmitry OrlovWSH2521:040:511:2442
Viktor ArvidssonNSH2521:010:501:3234
Ryan JohansenNSH2520:520:501:3425
Michal KempnyWSH2520:470:501:4741
T.J. OshieWSH2020:071:002:5670
Evgeny KuznetsovWSH2119:210:552:1152
Nicklas BackstromWSH2119:170:552:5671
Nick BoninoNSH2518:270:441:2027
Brooks OrpikWSH2117:160:492:1023
Jonas SiegenthalerWSH2317:020:441:1431
Madison BoweyWSH2216:140:441:2122
Miikka SalomakiNSH2016:020:481:2604
Tom WilsonWSH2115:530:451:2852
Austin WatsonNSH2315:380:411:1407
Ryan HartmanNSH2215:280:421:2124
Lars EllerWSH1815:230:511:2903
Craig SmithNSH2014:490:441:3042
Dan HamhuisNSH1714:290:511:3911
Calle JarnkrokNSH2214:070:391:0833
Kevin FialaNSH1813:420:461:3150
Brett ConnollyWSH1613:270:501:1703
Jakub VranaWSH1913:150:421:1342
Andre BurakovskyWSH1612:480:481:1003
Frederick GaudreauNSH1511:510:471:2811
Anthony BitettoNSH1511:200:451:1310
Rocco GrimaldiNSH129:270:471:2211
Travis BoydWSH159:140:371:1331
Chandler StephensonWSH139:130:431:2130
Devante Smith-PellyWSH148:580:381:1330
Zac RinaldoNSH96:240:431:2211