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Ice Lab

Mon, Dec 31, 2018·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

New York Islanders 3, Buffalo Sabres 1

Away

New York Islanders

3

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 81% of the time.

BUF winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:58Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Lehner
  3. P1 1:55Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Lehner
  4. P1 2:18Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Lehner
  5. P1 2:47Shot by Boychuk, saved by Hutton
  6. P1 3:07Shot by Okposo, saved by Lehner
  7. P1 3:41Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Lehner
  8. P1 5:20Shot by Mayfield, saved by Hutton
  9. P1 5:41Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Hutton
  10. P1 5:57Shot by Bogosian, saved by Lehner
  11. P1 7:36Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Hutton
  12. P1 8:16Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Hutton
  13. P1 8:24Shot by Skinner, saved by Lehner
  14. P1 10:02Shot by Nelson, saved by Hutton
  15. P1 10:58Shot by Thompson, saved by Lehner
  16. P1 13:39Shot by Reinhart, saved by Lehner
  17. P1 14:30Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Hutton
  18. P1 14:40Shot by Thompson, saved by Lehner
  19. P1 15:36Shot by Pulock, saved by Hutton
  20. P1 15:43Shot by Pulock, saved by Hutton
  21. P1 15:57Shot by Dal Colle, saved by Hutton
  22. P1 16:03Shot by Pelech, saved by Hutton
  23. P1 16:48Shot by McCabe, saved by Lehner
  24. P1 17:08Shot by Bailey, saved by Hutton
  25. P1 17:16Shot by Boychuk, saved by Hutton
  26. P1 17:20Shot by Boychuk, saved by Hutton
  27. P1 17:48Shot by Sobotka, saved by Lehner
  28. P1 19:54Shot by Cizikas, saved by Hutton
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 0:07Shot by Thompson, saved by Lehner
  32. P2 0:34Shot by Sobotka, saved by Lehner
  33. P2 1:41Shot by Lee, saved by Hutton
  34. P2 1:57Shot by Lee, saved by Hutton
  35. P2 2:59Goal by Komarov (Leddy, Barzal)+21 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Sobotka, Okposo, McCabe, Ristolainen, Smith · NYI Boychuk, Komarov, Leddy, Dal Colle, Barzal

  36. P2 3:11Shot by Smith, saved by Lehner
  37. P2 3:14Shot by Sobotka, saved by Lehner
  38. P2 4:12Shot by Barzal, saved by Hutton
  39. P2 5:14Shot by Reinhart, saved by Lehner
  40. P2 5:25Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Lehner
  41. P2 5:43Shot by Skinner, saved by Lehner
  42. P2 5:58Shot by Sheary, saved by Lehner
  43. P2 7:35Bogosian: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Pominville, Sobotka, Bogosian, Beaulieu, Thompson · NYI Clutterbuck, Bailey, Martin, Pelech, Pulock, Barzal

  44. P2 7:43Shot by Ho-Sang, saved by Hutton4v5
  45. P2 8:58Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Hutton4v5
  46. P2 9:14Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Hutton4v5
  47. P2 9:20Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Hutton4v5
  48. P2 11:23Shot by Skinner, saved by Lehner
  49. P2 11:41McCabe: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Skinner, McCabe, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Rodrigues · NYI Bailey, Pelech, Pulock, Barzal, Beauvillier

  50. P2 12:32Shot by Ho-Sang, saved by Hutton4v5
  51. P2 12:53Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Hutton4v5
  52. P2 13:00Shot by Pulock, saved by Hutton4v5
  53. P2 14:14Shot by Pominville, saved by Lehner
  54. P2 14:56Shot by Thompson, saved by Lehner
  55. P2 15:59Shot by Mayfield, saved by Hutton
  56. P2 16:03Shot by Nelson, saved by Hutton
  57. P2 16:40Shot by McCabe, saved by Lehner
  58. P2 17:32Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Lehner
  59. P2 17:53Shot by Cizikas, saved by Hutton
  60. P2 18:55Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Lehner
  61. P2 19:20Shot by Barzal, saved by Hutton
  62. P2 19:35Shot by Okposo, saved by Lehner
  63. P2 0:00Period end
  64. P3 0:00Period start
  65. P3 0:45Shot by Thompson, saved by Lehner
  66. P3 0:53Shot by Reinhart, saved by Lehner
  67. P3 1:12Shot by Skinner, saved by Lehner
  68. P3 1:13Shot by Reinhart, saved by Lehner
  69. P3 1:45Goal by Nelson (Ho-Sang, Mayfield)+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Scandella, Skinner, Reinhart, Thompson, Dahlin · NYI Lee, Nelson, Mayfield, Ho-Sang, Toews

  70. P3 6:34Shot by McCabe, saved by Lehner
  71. P3 8:32Barzal: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Bogosian, Ristolainen, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Smith · NYI Komarov, Mayfield, Dal Colle, Toews, Barzal

  72. P3 9:27Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Lehner5v4
  73. P3 9:35Shot by Dahlin, saved by Lehner5v4
  74. P3 10:01Shot by Dahlin, saved by Lehner5v4
  75. P3 10:14Goal by Okposo (Beaulieu, Mittelstadt)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Beaulieu, Sheary, Thompson, Mittelstadt · NYI Boychuk, Komarov, Nelson, Pelech

  76. P3 12:43Shot by Larsson, saved by Lehner
  77. P3 13:07Mayfield: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF Bogosian, Larsson, Skinner, Beaulieu, Reinhart, Rodrigues · NYI Komarov, Cizikas, Mayfield, Dal Colle, Toews

  78. P3 14:00Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Lehner5v4
  79. P3 17:09Shot by Cizikas, saved by Hutton
  80. P3 17:25Shot by Smith, saved by Lehner
  81. P3 19:28Goal by Pulock (Lehner)6v5+3 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Bogosian, Skinner, Sheary, Rodrigues, Dahlin · NYI Boychuk, Komarov, Clutterbuck, Cizikas, Pulock

  82. P3 19:47Shot by Smith, saved by Lehner
  83. P3 0:00Period end
  84. P3 0:00Final