Mon, Dec 31, 2018·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
New York Islanders 3, Buffalo Sabres 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 81% of the time.
13%
75%
BUF winsNYI wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NYI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Lee–Nelson–Ho-Sang | Bailey–Barzal–Beauvillier | Clutterbuck–Martin–Cizikas | Komarov–Cizikas–Dal Colle | Komarov–Dal Colle–Barzal | Bailey–Lee–Nelson | Boychuk–Leddy | Mayfield–Toews | Pelech–Pulock | Pulock–Toews | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pominville–Sobotka–Thompson | 2:080.14–0.05 | 3:160.15–0.00 | 1:270.02–0.00 | 4:000.20–0.05 | 2:460.12–0.00 | |||||
| Skinner–Reinhart–Rodrigues | 1:090.07–0.00 | 2:420.19–0.06 | 1:540.00–0.10 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 2:530.01–0.10 | 1:530.06–0.00 | 1:370.36–0.00 | |||
| Sheary–Rodrigues–Mittelstadt | 2:550.00–0.12 | 1:010.27–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.10 | 1:350.14–0.10 | 2:160.22–0.12 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | |||
| Okposo–Larsson–Smith | 2:160.05–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:300.03–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.08 | 1:210.06–0.01 | 1:340.01–0.00 | 2:010.00–0.08 | |||
| Okposo–Sheary–Mittelstadt | 3:230.00–0.37 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:400.00–0.37 | 1:050.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Skinner–Reinhart–Eichel | 1:410.07–0.00 | 0:330.07–0.12 | 0:590.07–0.13 | 1:370.07–0.00 | ||||||
| Sheary–Thompson–Mittelstadt | 0:550.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.02 | 0:490.00–0.02 | 0:500.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Larsson–Skinner–Reinhart | 0:440.00–0.00 | 1:200.02–0.00 | 0:560.02–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Larsson–Thompson–Smith | 0:460.00–0.09 | 0:340.04–0.09 | ||||||||
| Pominville–Sobotka–Smith | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:320.02–0.00 | 1:050.02–0.00 | |||||||
| Skinner–Reinhart–Mittelstadt | 0:300.00–0.12 | 0:360.00–0.04 | ||||||||
| Pominville–Larsson–Thompson | 0:380.00–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.12 | ||||||||
| Bogosian–Beaulieu | 3:170.03–0.37 | 0:540.14–0.00 | 5:070.05–0.10 | 2:010.05–0.00 | 1:350.00–0.11 | 6:450.25–0.18 | 4:370.02–0.37 | 3:540.02–0.09 | ||
| McCabe–Ristolainen | 2:470.19–0.00 | 6:090.42–0.27 | 1:320.14–0.00 | 1:100.19–0.00 | 2:490.27–0.21 | 4:160.13–0.12 | 6:240.71–0.00 | |||
| Scandella–Dahlin | 5:070.08–0.16 | 1:590.13–0.03 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 3:420.00–0.03 | 2:290.22–0.16 | 2:500.08–0.03 | 0:340.00–0.00 | |||
| Bogosian–Dahlin | 0:480.00–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.12 | 0:460.00–0.09 | 1:380.00–0.13 | ||||||
| Beaulieu–Ristolainen | 0:540.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Ristolainen–Dahlin | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:300.06–0.00 | ||||||||
| Scandella–Ristolainen | 0:360.01–0.17 | 0:300.01–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFNYIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 25 | 25:06 | 1:00 | 2:51 | 5 | 5 |
 Zach BogosianBUF | 25 | 23:24 | 0:56 | 1:38 | 3 | 4 |
 Ryan PulockNYI | 29 | 22:22 | 0:46 | 1:48 | 3 | 9 |
 Evan RodriguesBUF | 22 | 22:07 | 1:00 | 1:46 | 5 | 2 |
 Brock NelsonNYI | 25 | 20:58 | 0:50 | 1:25 | 3 | 9 |
 Nathan BeaulieuBUF | 22 | 20:14 | 0:55 | 1:47 | 5 | 3 |
 Mathew BarzalNYI | 22 | 20:12 | 0:55 | 1:53 | 1 | 3 |
 Johnny BoychukNYI | 28 | 19:36 | 0:42 | 1:23 | 3 | 6 |
 Devon ToewsNYI | 26 | 19:33 | 0:45 | 1:30 | 1 | 4 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 20 | 19:23 | 0:58 | 1:44 | 7 | 2 |
 Casey CizikasNYI | 24 | 19:11 | 0:48 | 1:35 | 2 | 4 |
 Nick LeddyNYI | 26 | 19:09 | 0:44 | 1:23 | 3 | 3 |
 Scott MayfieldNYI | 25 | 19:02 | 0:46 | 1:49 | 0 | 4 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 20 | 18:23 | 0:55 | 1:44 | 7 | 2 |
 Adam PelechNYI | 27 | 17:58 | 0:40 | 1:15 | 1 | 9 |
 Anders LeeNYI | 20 | 17:44 | 0:53 | 1:24 | 3 | 7 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 20 | 17:42 | 0:53 | 1:42 | 5 | 0 |
 Josh BaileyNYI | 22 | 16:43 | 0:46 | 1:22 | 2 | 3 |
 Joshua Ho-SangNYI | 17 | 16:33 | 0:58 | 1:24 | 2 | 6 |
 Cal ClutterbuckNYI | 21 | 16:32 | 0:47 | 1:26 | 1 | 4 |
 Casey MittelstadtBUF | 18 | 16:22 | 0:55 | 1:33 | 5 | 0 |
 Johan LarssonBUF | 18 | 16:21 | 0:55 | 1:35 | 3 | 7 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 18 | 16:19 | 0:54 | 1:32 | 5 | 1 |
 Jake McCabeBUF | 21 | 16:17 | 0:47 | 1:14 | 3 | 3 |
 Conor ShearyBUF | 18 | 15:47 | 0:53 | 1:23 | 6 | 0 |
 Marco ScandellaBUF | 18 | 15:46 | 0:53 | 1:17 | 4 | 4 |
 Anthony BeauvillierNYI | 17 | 15:39 | 0:55 | 1:51 | 1 | 3 |
 Leo KomarovNYI | 19 | 14:14 | 0:45 | 1:35 | 3 | 3 |
 Vladimir SobotkaBUF | 19 | 14:12 | 0:45 | 2:09 | 2 | 4 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 16 | 13:54 | 0:52 | 1:58 | 5 | 3 |
 Jason PominvilleBUF | 16 | 11:45 | 0:44 | 1:13 | 2 | 1 |
 C.J. SmithBUF | 19 | 11:31 | 0:36 | 1:24 | 1 | 1 |
 Michael Dal ColleNYI | 15 | 10:37 | 0:42 | 1:35 | 2 | 1 |
 Matt MartinNYI | 14 | 9:50 | 0:42 | 1:11 | 0 | 2 |
 Jack EichelBUF | 4 | 2:42 | 0:41 | 0:53 | 1 | 1 |
 Valtteri FilppulaNYI | 1 | 0:32 | 0:32 | 0:32 | 0 | 0 |